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I Need Advice Selling Individual Stock (update in OP)

Posted on 6/2/22 at 8:53 am
Posted by Enadious
formerly B5Lurker City of Central
Member since Aug 2004
18537 posts
Posted on 6/2/22 at 8:53 am
Here is the situation. I'm too heavy in XOM and need to diversify. To sell stock, I can put in a sell order the day before. I can stop the sell order the next day before 6am Central. After that, the stock will sell for the average of price of the day.
Of course, the biggest concern is a huge drop on that day.
Can anyone suggest indicators I can watch that might allow me to pick a day where to expect 'relative calm'??
I know to avoid earnings report days or dividend declarations. I don't know how puts/calls work but it would seem an end date could affect things. Are after hour prices a reliable indicator? Is there some OPEC months meeting that could swing things?
Any advice would be appreciated.

UPDATE: So for Thursday, the stock unusually varied within a dollar and closed -.17 cents from opening. After hours remained steady. I awoke at 5:30 and checked the premarket and it remained calm. I could cancel the sell option up to 6am.
Opening gate looks good. Up almost 2%. Although, it wouldn't surprise me at a near all time high if owners cashed in and took some profits, reducing the gain by the end of the day. I will get the price of the average of the day. Fingers crossed.
This post was edited on 6/3/22 at 9:07 am
Posted by j1897
Member since Nov 2011
4303 posts
Posted on 6/2/22 at 8:58 am to
You're at multi-year highs, you should have made a shite ton of money. Just sell it.
Posted by Enadious
formerly B5Lurker City of Central
Member since Aug 2004
18537 posts
Posted on 6/2/22 at 9:02 am to
I'm happy to do that. I just wanted to feel more comfortable with the decision.
Posted by Mingo Was His NameO
Brooklyn
Member since Mar 2016
37070 posts
Posted on 6/2/22 at 9:05 am to
Can you not set a limit stop?
Posted by UpstairsComputer
Prairieville
Member since Jan 2017
1799 posts
Posted on 6/2/22 at 9:07 am to
Do not watch indicators for this. Every indicator is a derivative of price. Therefore, they are all trailing. What you're talking about is basing your trading decision for tomorrow on yesterday's newspaper.

quote:

I'm too heavy in XOM and need to diversify


Do it now and stop worrying about it - there's nothing wrong with selling at a high. Or make a plan to do it at specific times. Or learn options.

Whatever you do don't try to predict. Thinking you know what happens next will burn you.
Posted by JDPndahizzy
JDP
Member since Nov 2013
6918 posts
Posted on 6/2/22 at 9:09 am to
quote:

Can you not set a limit stop?


This is your answer
Posted by Pendulum
Member since Jan 2009
7918 posts
Posted on 6/2/22 at 9:21 am to
What a stressful way to invest. Just sell it. Set a limit the day of to protect against a flash crash and sell it.

I would lose my hair if I was as obsessed with timing every penny on not only a daily basis but an hourly basis like youre indicating. You're overthinking it unless you are trying to sell millions.

This post was edited on 6/2/22 at 9:23 am
Posted by Enadious
formerly B5Lurker City of Central
Member since Aug 2004
18537 posts
Posted on 6/2/22 at 9:27 am to
quote:

Can you not set a limit stop?

No. It's the average of the day. That's the only option I have
Posted by Enadious
formerly B5Lurker City of Central
Member since Aug 2004
18537 posts
Posted on 6/2/22 at 9:32 am to
quote:

You're overthinking it unless you are trying to sell millions.

Think of it this way, it's a large percentage of my total wealth. So, I don't want the decision I make on one day to negatively affect the next 25 years of my life
Posted by WallsAllAroundMe
Member since Jan 2016
1065 posts
Posted on 6/2/22 at 9:32 am to
(no message)
This post was edited on 5/16/23 at 3:15 pm
Posted by Turf Taint
New Orleans
Member since Jun 2021
6010 posts
Posted on 6/2/22 at 9:37 am to
XOM is up 50+% last 12-months. It lost 0.00002% while you were typing this. Just sell.

Perhaps you should reflect on your worry (ie, your opportunity cost for being too heavily weighted in XOM to begin with as a bigger concern than intra-day sell flexibility to correct it).
Posted by Triple Bogey
19th Green
Member since May 2017
6571 posts
Posted on 6/2/22 at 9:42 am to
It's going to break $100
Posted by TorchtheFlyingTiger
1st coast
Member since Jan 2008
2916 posts
Posted on 6/2/22 at 9:47 am to
What broker are you using with those limitations? You have a fee options:

- Sell over multiple days (depending on size of position may want to spread gains over multiple years even)

- Switch brokers so you can place stop limit orders

- Bite the bullet an accept the risk. Every day you wait you ate accepting risk of a pull back anyway. As you stated, concentrated position is too much of your overall portfolio and places your financial position at undue risk.

O would shop for new broker even if you sell immediately with current one.
Posted by PlanoPrivateer
Frisco, TX
Member since Jan 2004
2929 posts
Posted on 6/2/22 at 10:25 am to
I am unfamiliar with this type of arrangement (sell for the average price of the day). Are you an XOM employee and this is some kind of employee stock purchase program?

You don’t say how many shares you own and how many you are looking to sell. For example, let’s say you own 1,000 shares and want to sell 500. If I was in that situation (given that you said you can not enter stop loss orders), I would put in a sell order for 100 shares for the next day. See what price you get and consider selling 100 shares the next day after. Rinse and repeat.

As far as indicators go – I’d watch the overnight price of Crude Oil. If Bent and West Texas Intermediate go up that is probably a good day to take some profits if you have or want to.

I own XOM and have laddered stop loss orders on all of it. I’ve enjoyed this run up but not the pain at the pump.
Posted by Diseasefreeforall
Member since Oct 2012
7192 posts
Posted on 6/2/22 at 10:27 am to
Make sure you know what the fee for your sale is going to be. Did you inherit it? I inherited a good bit of KO that was transferred through Computershare and they charged a per share fee plus a general fee that would have totaled a grand so I transferred the shares to my Etrade account. But that can take days.

The bottom line, as others have basically said, is that you can't time the market so the odds are you won't sell at a relative high and you won't buy whatever you plan to buy after selling at a relative low. That's the way the world works.
Posted by el Gaucho
He/They
Member since Dec 2010
58500 posts
Posted on 6/2/22 at 10:30 am to
Real men only sell when they’re down 40
Posted by Enadious
formerly B5Lurker City of Central
Member since Aug 2004
18537 posts
Posted on 6/2/22 at 11:23 am to
quote:

I am confused. Who is your broker to sell stock in this fashion?

Thrift plan through exxonmobil. I can make 2 trades a month. No charge on my end
Posted by Jag_Warrior
Virginia
Member since May 2015
4292 posts
Posted on 6/2/22 at 11:32 am to
quote:

I am unfamiliar with this type of arrangement (sell for the average price of the day). Are you an XOM employee and this is some kind of employee stock purchase program?


After reading over his posts a couple of times, I believe this is it… or something like this. He really should have offered this information, or explain what type of account he’s dealing with, if that’s the case. I don’t care how many shares he has, but what percentage of his investment portfolio does this position make up?

Rather than trying to time the sale (which is a waste of time), he could just lighten the position over several trading days. For him to think that a Monday sale is going to affect him more in 20 years than a sale on Tuesday, Wednesday, etc. is one of the more bizarre things that I’ve read here (and there have been some real doozies lately ).
Posted by Jag_Warrior
Virginia
Member since May 2015
4292 posts
Posted on 6/2/22 at 11:35 am to
quote:

Thrift plan through exxonmobil. I can make 2 trades a month. No charge on my end


OK. That’s helpful information. So lighten the position over time. Think of it as the reverse of dollar cost averaging when you buy.
Posted by Hankg
Member since Feb 2011
638 posts
Posted on 6/2/22 at 11:50 am to
I think he is trying to avoid selling on a day like a couple Monday’s ago when xom dropped several dollars. So yes, selling several thousand shares on that Monday could negatively effect him. Not so bizarre.
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