- My Forums
- Tiger Rant
- LSU Recruiting
- SEC Rant
- Saints Talk
- Pelicans Talk
- More Sports Board
- Fantasy Sports
- Golf Board
- Soccer Board
- O-T Lounge
- Tech Board
- Home/Garden Board
- Outdoor Board
- Health/Fitness Board
- Movie/TV Board
- Book Board
- Music Board
- Political Talk
- Money Talk
- Fark Board
- Gaming Board
- Travel Board
- Food/Drink Board
- Ticket Exchange
- TD Help Board
Customize My Forums- View All Forums
- Show Left Links
- Topic Sort Options
- Trending Topics
- Recent Topics
- Active Topics
Started By
Message
re: Latest Updates: Russia-Ukraine Conflict
Posted on 11/5/23 at 3:22 am to WeeWee
Posted on 11/5/23 at 3:22 am to WeeWee
British Defence Intelligence
INTELLIGENCE UPDATE
UPDATE ON UKRAINE 05 November 2023
As winter approaches, eyewitness accounts from deployed Russian troops in Ukraine suggests that the soldier's age-old battle against the elements remains a major preoccupation for Russia's army.
On 1 November 2023, recently returned Russian soldiers speaking at the Ogakov Readings military affairs conference in Moscow described being "wet from head to toe" for weeks on end on the front line. One soldier highlighted that the risk of fire alerting Ukrainian forces meant that they "couldn't even boil a mug of tea". They highlighted living and eating "monotonous" food in pervasive mud.
Maintaining a decent level of personal comfort and sound administration in defensive positions is challenging for any army. However, open-source evidence suggests a generally very poor level on enforcement of basic field administration amongst Russian forces. This is likely partially caused by a deficit in motivated junior commanders as well as variable logistical support.
INTELLIGENCE UPDATE
UPDATE ON UKRAINE 05 November 2023
As winter approaches, eyewitness accounts from deployed Russian troops in Ukraine suggests that the soldier's age-old battle against the elements remains a major preoccupation for Russia's army.
On 1 November 2023, recently returned Russian soldiers speaking at the Ogakov Readings military affairs conference in Moscow described being "wet from head to toe" for weeks on end on the front line. One soldier highlighted that the risk of fire alerting Ukrainian forces meant that they "couldn't even boil a mug of tea". They highlighted living and eating "monotonous" food in pervasive mud.
Maintaining a decent level of personal comfort and sound administration in defensive positions is challenging for any army. However, open-source evidence suggests a generally very poor level on enforcement of basic field administration amongst Russian forces. This is likely partially caused by a deficit in motivated junior commanders as well as variable logistical support.
1
Posted on 11/5/23 at 6:42 am to cypher
Satellite images of damaged Russian ship in Kerch emerge
Roman Petrenko — Sunday, 5 November 2023, 13:37
Planet Labs' images dated 5 November reveal the site of the damage at the plant in Kerch and a Russian military vessel that also appears damaged.
Source: Andrii Ryzhenko, Captain 1st Class, Ukraine's Navy Reserve, in a comment to Schemes
Quote from Ryzhenko: "I have information that there was only one vessel in Kerch at the time of the explosions, capable of carrying Kalibr class missiles, namely the Askold, on 4 November.
I think that this warship, as we can see, was already at the berth and was being refurbished since it was supposed to be put into operation in December. You can see that it's still afloat, but the ship's top is noticeably damaged."
Ukrainska Pravda
Roman Petrenko — Sunday, 5 November 2023, 13:37
Planet Labs' images dated 5 November reveal the site of the damage at the plant in Kerch and a Russian military vessel that also appears damaged.
Source: Andrii Ryzhenko, Captain 1st Class, Ukraine's Navy Reserve, in a comment to Schemes
Quote from Ryzhenko: "I have information that there was only one vessel in Kerch at the time of the explosions, capable of carrying Kalibr class missiles, namely the Askold, on 4 November.
I think that this warship, as we can see, was already at the berth and was being refurbished since it was supposed to be put into operation in December. You can see that it's still afloat, but the ship's top is noticeably damaged."
Ukrainska Pravda
This post was edited on 11/5/23 at 6:44 am
Posted on 11/5/23 at 4:44 pm to cypher
quote:
I RARELY am an OP’er, but I seen this speech from Putin.
I knew this for a good while, but posting this for the newbie politicos.
NATO/UN/EU banking cartel using Ukraine to push into Russia for the NWO takeover.
Putin just wants to preserve his country’s freedoms and individualism versus NWO where everyone is a ## and disposable.
They lied to Russia over 20 years ago & now it came to a gunfight!
I believe him although I know he’s ex-KGB specialist, but listen from 4:30 to 15-20 minutes if you’re pressed for time and you’ll get his side of the story.
This is a special and annual meeting of International Players.
Believe it or not, these are the common sense good guys!
Disclaimer: I’ve done my own research on the Federal Reserve, Bolsheviks, all the money laundering wars, JFK etc… the USA has been hijacked, wtfu If your not already!
Posted on 11/5/23 at 5:07 pm to WestCoastAg
Some of the people posting like this have got to be doing a bit
Posted on 11/5/23 at 6:46 pm to Hateradedrink
Christopher Miller
@ChristopherJM
Huge explosion this evening, possibly at a Russian ammo depot, in the occupied town of Sedove, on the Sea of Azov coast, 5 miles west of the Russian border. Video was posted to local Telegram channels and Ukrainian media channels.
Twitter video
@ChristopherJM
Huge explosion this evening, possibly at a Russian ammo depot, in the occupied town of Sedove, on the Sea of Azov coast, 5 miles west of the Russian border. Video was posted to local Telegram channels and Ukrainian media channels.
Twitter video
Posted on 11/5/23 at 7:19 pm to WestCoastAg
quote:
WestCoastAg
Think you might have forgotten the LINK
Eta
But don't worry I'm sure our resident trolls will be along any minute to tell us that no one actually supports Putin
This post was edited on 11/5/23 at 7:39 pm
Posted on 11/5/23 at 8:30 pm to StormyMcMan
ISW Update
quote:
Ukrainian forces conducted a successful strike on a Russian shipyard in Kerch, occupied Crimea on November 4, likely damaging a naval vessel. The Ukrainian Amed Forces Center for Strategic Communications (StratCom) stated that Ukrainian forces conducted successful strikes on Russian marine and port infrastructure at the Zalyv Shipyard in Kerch on the evening of November 4.
Ukrainian forces reportedly intensified strikes on rear Russian areas in southern Ukraine and occupied Crimea on November 5. Russian sources claimed that Ukrainian forces struck Skadovsk, occupied Kherson Oblast on the night of November 4-5.[11] Russian sources claimed that Russian forces also disabled Ukrainian drones targeting a railway at an oil refinery in Dzhankoi, occupied Crimea on November 5.[12] A Russian milblogger claimed that Ukrainian forces conducted a Storm Shadow missile strike on Berdyansk, Zaporizhia Oblast on November 5.
Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky gave an interview to NBC and repeated that the war is not in a stalemate. Zelensky emphasized that the situation on the battlefield remains very challenging but noted that he does not believe that the war is at a "stalemate." He described it instead as a "check on the part of the Russian army," suggesting that Ukraine can resume making significant advances when it resolves the military parity with Russian forces described by Ukrainian Commander-in-Chief General Valerii Zaluzhnyi.[17] Zelensky noted that Ukraine continues to destroy Russian Black Sea Fleet assets and continued to reiterate Ukraine’s urgent need to receive air defense systems from Western partners. Zelensky further noted that Ukraine will not negotiate with Russia until or unless Russia entirely withdraws from Ukrainian territories, concluding that Ukraine is not ready to concede its freedom to the "f###ing terrorist Putin."
Ukrainian forces continued offensive operations near Bakhmut and made confirmed gains in western Zaporizhia Oblast and on the east (left) bank of Kherson Oblast on November 5. The Ukrainian General Staff reported that Ukrainian forces continued offensive operations south of Bakhmut and in the Melitopol (western Zaporizhia Oblast) direction.[20] Geolocated footage indicates that Ukrainian forces have made limited advances west of Verbove (10km east of Robotyne in western Zaporizhia Oblast), as well as on the east bank of Kherson Oblast near Pidstepne (12km east of Kherson City and 3km from the Dnipro River) and in Krynky (30km east of Kherson City and 2km from the Dnipro River).[21]
Chechen officials announced that Chechen Republic Head Ramzan Kadyrov appointed his 15-year-old-son Adam to a prominent position in a Chechen security service, though there is confusion over Adam Kadyrov’s exact position. Chechen Duma Chairperson Magomed Daudov, Chechen Republic Press Head Akhmed Dudaev, and Russian State Duma Deputy Adam Delimkhanov stated that Adam holds an unspecified “important position” in the security service of the Head of the Chechen Republic.[22] Chechen Ministry of Internal Affairs special regiment commander Zamid Chalaev and Health Minister Adam Alkhanov claimed that Adam Kadyrov was appointed as the head of this security service.[23] Ramzan Kadyrov has not yet commented on his son’s appointment. Ramzan Kadyrov notably headed the security service of his father, former Chechen Republic President Akhmat Kadyrov, in the early 2000s until Akhmat Kadyrov’s death in 2004.[24] Adam Kadyrov will turn 16-years-old on November 24, 2023.[25]
Courts in the Republic of Dagestan reportedly charged participants in the antisemitic riots on October 29 with minor crimes and issued limited punishments. Russian authorities reportedly charged many of the antisemitic riot participants with using obscene language, disobedience of police orders, petty hooliganism, and violations of procedures for holding a rally.[26] Dagestani courts sentenced rioters to six to 10 days of administrative arrest or compulsory labor. ISW previously assessed that the Russian leadership is likely avoiding wider punishments for antisemitism in the North Caucasus out of concerns that they will inflame discontent towards the Kremlin.
quote:
Key Takeaways:
Ukrainian forces conducted a successful strike on a Russian shipyard in Kerch, occupied Crimea on November 4, likely damaging a naval vessel. Ukrainian forces reportedly intensified strikes on rear Russian areas in southern Ukraine and occupied Crimea on November 5.
Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky gave an interview to NBC and repeated that the war is not in a stalemate.
Ukrainian forces continued offensive operations near Bakhmut and made confirmed gains in western Zaporizhia Oblast and on the east (left) bank of Kherson Oblast on November 5.
Chechen officials announced that Chechen Republic Head Ramzan Kadyrov appointed his 15-year-old-son Adam to a prominent position in a Chechen security service, though there is confusion over Adam Kadyrov’s exact position.
Courts in the Republic of Dagestan reportedly charged participants in the antisemitic riots on October 29 with minor crimes and issued limited punishments.
Russian forces conducted offensive operations along the Kupyansk-Svatove-Kreminna line, near Bakhmut, near Avdiivka, west and southwest of Donetsk City, in the Donetsk-Zaporizhia Oblast border area, and in western Zaporizhia Oblast and advanced in some areas.
A Russian milblogger called on Russian “propagandists” to increase the use of Russian propaganda against Ukrainian prisoners of war (POWs) held in Russia in an effort to increase the number of “volunteers” in the Russian military.
Kremlin-appointed Children’s Rights Commissioner Maria Lvova-Belova continued to promote the illegal deportation of Ukrainian children to Russia under the guise of vacations.
Posted on 11/6/23 at 6:11 am to StormyMcMan
British Defence Intelligence
INTELLIGENCE UPDATE
UPDATE ON UKRAINE
06 November 2023
Inflation rose to 6 per cent in Russia in September 2023, up 5.3 per cent in August 2023. This was driven by rises in consumer prices such as food and fuel. Higher inflation is almost certain to increase the costs of funding Russia's war in Ukraine.
The Central Bank of Russia (CBR) responded by increasing the base interest rate by 2 percentage points, to a new base rate of 15 per cent. These are the highest rates since May 2022. It is highly likely the CBR will maintain high interest rates through 2024. This is highly likely to increase borrowing costs for Russian consumers and is likely to also impact the Russian government's debt servicing costs.
Due to increasing demand, partially due to large increases in defence spending, along with continued pressures of a tightening labour market, the Russian economy is likely at risk of overheating. This is highly likely to ensure inflation in Russia in 2024 remains above the target rate of 4 per cent. Continued high inflation is likely to erode real terms government spending, particularly in areas such as social care with below-inflation spending rises. This further illustrates the reorientation of Russia's economy to fuel the war above all else.
INTELLIGENCE UPDATE
UPDATE ON UKRAINE
06 November 2023
Inflation rose to 6 per cent in Russia in September 2023, up 5.3 per cent in August 2023. This was driven by rises in consumer prices such as food and fuel. Higher inflation is almost certain to increase the costs of funding Russia's war in Ukraine.
The Central Bank of Russia (CBR) responded by increasing the base interest rate by 2 percentage points, to a new base rate of 15 per cent. These are the highest rates since May 2022. It is highly likely the CBR will maintain high interest rates through 2024. This is highly likely to increase borrowing costs for Russian consumers and is likely to also impact the Russian government's debt servicing costs.
Due to increasing demand, partially due to large increases in defence spending, along with continued pressures of a tightening labour market, the Russian economy is likely at risk of overheating. This is highly likely to ensure inflation in Russia in 2024 remains above the target rate of 4 per cent. Continued high inflation is likely to erode real terms government spending, particularly in areas such as social care with below-inflation spending rises. This further illustrates the reorientation of Russia's economy to fuel the war above all else.
This post was edited on 11/6/23 at 6:12 am
Posted on 11/6/23 at 6:33 am to doubleb
quote:
I think Wee Wee is right. Ukraine counter attacked before they really should
The USA forced them to keep counter attacking to "show" progress. For Ukraine it was either attack and get destroyed 10-1 or we will stop sending equipment.
Now Ukraine is on the brink on not having the manpower to use the equipment.
And Now Russia is trying to force that breaking point sooner by starting their own offensive after decimating Ukraine's military with their sacrifice of thousands of true military personel to their failed offensive.
Posted on 11/6/23 at 7:01 am to omegaman66
quote:
Now Ukraine is on the brink on not having the manpower to use the equipment.
True but be prepared for 10 of the thread generals to call you a liar.
Posted on 11/6/23 at 7:06 am to Tiger985
quote:
True but be prepared for 10 of the thread generals to call you a liar.
I won’t call anyone a liar, but I’d love to see a source on this.
Posted on 11/6/23 at 8:33 am to RuLSU
Ukraine confirms mass production of Ukrainian equivalent of Shahed attack drones
Monday, 6 November 2023, 09:54
Ukroboronprom, a Ukrainian state-owned arms manufacturer, has said that a new kamikaze drone has gone into mass production and is already being ordered by the Ukrainian Defence Forces for their operations.
Source: Ukroboronprom CEO Herman Smetanin in an interview with Ekonomichna Pravda
Details: Smetanin said that the record combat range of the new development is 1,000 kilometres.
Quote: "There are many state and private manufacturers in Ukraine. We have an equivalent of the Shahed UAV, and there are more powerful models because the Shahed does not fly that far. We are now focusing on the production of more complex and expensive projects with high performance."
Ukrainska Pravda
Monday, 6 November 2023, 09:54
Ukroboronprom, a Ukrainian state-owned arms manufacturer, has said that a new kamikaze drone has gone into mass production and is already being ordered by the Ukrainian Defence Forces for their operations.
Source: Ukroboronprom CEO Herman Smetanin in an interview with Ekonomichna Pravda
Details: Smetanin said that the record combat range of the new development is 1,000 kilometres.
Quote: "There are many state and private manufacturers in Ukraine. We have an equivalent of the Shahed UAV, and there are more powerful models because the Shahed does not fly that far. We are now focusing on the production of more complex and expensive projects with high performance."
Ukrainska Pravda
Posted on 11/6/23 at 10:03 am to cypher
This war is over. Heard it from a political insider and a current Army Ranger they are beginning to gear up for the Middle East again once his state side rotation is over.
Half a million Ukrainians dead, billions in infrastructure gone, Putin will eventually take Odessa but has what he wants and gained more land, and a fading US population support, and 50% of Ukraines are either refugees, dead or under Russian control.
Does any of this still sound like a stalemate?
Half a million Ukrainians dead, billions in infrastructure gone, Putin will eventually take Odessa but has what he wants and gained more land, and a fading US population support, and 50% of Ukraines are either refugees, dead or under Russian control.
Does any of this still sound like a stalemate?
Posted on 11/6/23 at 10:08 am to RuLSU
NBC said this the other day.
LINK
quote:
President Joe Biden has been intensely focused on Ukraine’s depleting military forces, according to two people familiar with the matter.
"Manpower is at the top of the administration’s concerns right now,” one said. The U.S. and its allies can provide Ukraine with weaponry, this person said, “but if they don’t have competent forces to use them it doesn’t do a lot of good”
LINK
Posted on 11/6/23 at 10:44 am to Bunk Moreland
quote:
President Joe Biden has been intensely focused on Ukraine’s depleting military forces, according to two people familiar with the matter.
"Manpower is at the top of the administration’s concerns right now,” one said. The U.S. and its allies can provide Ukraine with weaponry, this person said, “but if they don’t have competent forces to use them it doesn’t do a lot of good”
It's one source.
I heard the same thing in March 2022, January 2023, June 2023, etc. I'm not saying it's false, I'm saying it's one report.
Regardless, I think we may look back on the vaunted "counter-offensive" as a massive mistake, though. Ukraine should have continued on a defensive posture indefinitely until they had F-16s and ATACMS to hit Rusisan defenses/supplies.
This post was edited on 11/6/23 at 10:45 am
Posted on 11/6/23 at 10:51 am to Errerrerrwere
quote:
This war is over.
So, no more bombing and killing?
quote:
Putin will eventually take Odessa
Will he bomb it to rubble like Mariupol and Bakhmut and all the other cities he takes?
quote:
50% of Ukraines are either refugees, dead or under Russian control
Do you consider this a good outcome for all parties?
Serious question: when a large, aggressive state invades a smaller neighbor, should the victim state in that situation just roll over and submit? Or should they fight back?
Posted on 11/6/23 at 10:51 am to Bunk Moreland
quote:
but if they don’t have competent forces to use them it doesn’t do a lot of good”
Bump bump bah daaaah
Posted on 11/6/23 at 11:08 am to Errerrerrwere
quote:
Heard it from a political insider and a current Army Ranger
Posted on 11/6/23 at 11:24 am to GOP_Tiger
quote:
3) The West gives up on supporting Ukraine, and Russia grinds Ukrainian troops down. After steadily advancing in the Donbas and Ukrainian political turmoil, Russia forces Ukraine to agree to a humiliating peace treaty.
Seems like that would only create a pause in the fighting.
Posted on 11/6/23 at 11:30 am to Auburn1968
Not if they get 100% denazification and a Russian puppet in the presidency. Then you get a mass exodus to Poland but probably no more war for the foreseeable future.
If the war goes on, I think Russia collapses economically by 2025, but the Ukrainians may not be inclined to fight that long.
If the war goes on, I think Russia collapses economically by 2025, but the Ukrainians may not be inclined to fight that long.
Page 3335 of 3915
Popular
Back to top
Follow TigerDroppings for LSU Football News