For what it's worth, here's why I think it's Herman

I think the Jimbo information is a smokescreen, that the Orgeron information is to keep him and the team motivated, and that the real target and next coach will be Tom Herman. Reasons:

(1) The announced time frame by LSU. Houston is done soon and it would be easy to turn around and announce Herman on short notice after they are finished. I think you could say the same about FSU, but I doubt seriously that LSU announces Jimbo a week after the FSU season ends. That would be strange for a school of that caliber to have that happen For Houston, though, it would not.

(2) Money. Herman will command less than Fisher.

(3) Misdirection. Also plays to (2). If you put it out that Jimbo is leading the race, you have leverage in negotiation with Herman. It also throws people off your primary target to avoid a bidding war.

(4) Aranda. Herman and Aranda have ties and it is likely Aranda would have less issue with Herman than with Fisher. LSU clearly wants to keep Aranda. This would make it easier.

(5) Texas. They are apparently announcing that Strong will be retained. I doubt Herman stays another year at Houston, especially since the Big 12 decided not to expand. USC has turned it around and won't be open. Notre Dame might become open, but is that a better job than LSU? No. So where else would Herman go? LSU.

(6) News. Earlier this year all signs pointed to Herman being the guy. He was asked about it in interviews, and it was discussed on ESPN Gameday. Fisher was spurned last year, or turned LSU down, depending on what you read. Hard to think he comes now, and Herman stays put.

Take all of that for whatever it's worth. I don't think our guy is Jimbo. I think it's Herman, and I think it'll be announced in about 2 weeks. It just makes too much sense.