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ESPN's FPI Predicts The Outcome Of Every Game On LSU's 2024 Schedule

by Staff Reporter

August 20, 202452 Comments

Gary Cosby Jr.-USA TODAY Sports

ESPN’s Football Power Index (FPI) recently predicted win probabilities for every game on LSU's 2024 Schedule.

The Tigers are favored to win its first seven games but are considered underdogs at Texas A&M, vs. Alabama, and vs. Oklahoma in the second half of the season.

Sept. 1: vs. USC (in Las Vegas) — 54.6%
Sept. 7: vs. Nicholls — 98.2%
Sept. 14: at South Carolina — 63.%
Sept. 21: vs. UCLA — 79.8%
Sept. 28: vs. South Alabama — 90.4%
Oct. 12: vs. Ole Miss — 62.1%
Oct. 19: at Arkansas — 65%
Oct. 26: at Texas A&M — 47.1%
Nov. 9: vs. Alabama — 36.7%
Nov. 16: at Florida — 53.4%
Nov. 23: vs. Vanderbilt — 86.2%
Nov. 30: vs. Oklahoma — 47.6%

Thoughts? Predict LSU's 2024 record in the comment section.

Filed Under: LSU Football

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52 Comments

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hg•10 months

Lol at being underdogs to OU at home

BadaBingBadaBoom•10 months

Quite laughable for sure! Not saying we can't lose, but being an underdog is ridiculous! As is being a 63.3% underdog against Alabama at home!

Geaux1967•10 months

11/1

TDsngumbo•10 months

We're not losing to Oklahoma at home. Also, we have a much higher chance than 36% of beating Alabama at home. Hate to say it but I do actually see A&M being a 50/50 tossup. Those frickers have our number when we're least expecting it.

Timeoday•10 months

I see an undefeated season baws!!

sportsfan•10 months

I don't see Nicholls having a 1.8% chance

cajunmud•10 months

I think I might put some $ on Nuss for Heisman while the odds are high. After we rout USC they're gonna drop like a rock.

Crusty•10 months

UCLA, Arkansas and Ole Piss all seem to high to me. The Florida percentage seems too low. By that point in the season, I expect UF players would have checked out. Hell, half of them may have opted out by that point.

cbree88•10 months

What makes them think A&M will be so good after the talent exodus they had after Jimbo was fired and also while they’re breaking in a new coach who is an unknown.

A&M is like Notre Dame and Oklahoma now. They get ranked unreasonably high every preseason for no reason.

dayswork1•9 months

Well two reasons

1) you keep using the phrase talent exodus but if you dig deeper you’ll find A&M still has the 6th most talented roster in the country according to 247 sports (not saying jimbo didn’t have talented teams, just that less people left than you think).

2) the game is at Kyle field and probably a night game. When was the last time LSU won at Kyle?

MintBerry Crunch•10 months

10-2. We will beat A&M, Oklahoma, Bama, but lose to Ole Miss and Florida.

theballguy•10 months

lol ok

Fat Bastard•10 months

retard

Domeskeller•10 months

Not sure why anyone pays attention to ESPN's made-up statistics. From FPI to Bill Connelly's SP+ that still has 15-0 LSU in 2019 as an underdog to Ohio State, all of ESPN's analytics are trash.

IM_4_LSU•10 months

How is OU a 53% loss? Thats the only one that doesn’t make sense to me.

tiger109•10 months

My thoughts exactly

ColonelAngus•10 months

As an Auburn fan its not right with no LSU game.

Hoops•10 months

Yep frick Texas and Oklahoma

ATLSUfan•10 months

Why is everybody still overhyping A&M

LSUbacchus81•10 months

Their QB is actually pretty good. They have as much talent as LSU. Arguably more.

L S Usetheforce•10 months

No they don’t but ok

cbree88•10 months

They just had a talent exodus, and they’re breaking in a new coach. Also, their QB sucks. Not sure why anyone is impressed with that guy. He won’t be any better this year

Show 1 last reply in this conversation

Houtexlandscape•10 months

Texas AtM- until they actually win something - and it wont be this year with new staff- or a seasoned team that can navigate the SEC

da prophet•10 months

Ole Miss at 62 and Oklahoma at 47?

jp4lsu•10 months

A&M at 47%. How do they have a higher chance at beating LSU than Ole Miss? This puzzles me.

LSUGraduate2002•10 months

At a&m while ole miss is a home game

Koolazzkat•10 months

My prediction: LSU doesn’t lose until the SEC championship against Georgia.

The Mick•10 months

8-4

ThomasShelby•10 months

Realistically…I agree. Special teams still isn’t settled, Daniels made the offense look really great, and the defense is improving and will continue to do so….but they are not there this year. I will be happy to be wrong, but I won’t be calling for firings by the Oklahoma game. Recruiting is incredible, culture is good, we just missed the chance last year with poor defensive coaching.

theballguy•10 months

How does LSU make the SECCG in 2022 but not improve defense in 2023? Something is off with Kelly.

LSUSkip•9 months

Sports aren't linear.

Show 1 last reply in this conversation

GumboPot•10 months

I was expecting outcomes before I clicked on the link. Probabilities are fine though. OU too low.

FATBOY TIGER•10 months

Stupid

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