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re: What is the reason for tightening in the betting markets?
Posted on 10/31/24 at 2:36 pm to jennBN
Posted on 10/31/24 at 2:36 pm to jennBN
This isn’t sports. There is literally nothing that is showing an edge towards either candidate
Both campaigns spend millions on polling and internal people on both sides have no clue.
Both campaigns spend millions on polling and internal people on both sides have no clue.
This post was edited on 10/31/24 at 2:37 pm
1
Posted on 10/31/24 at 2:39 pm to Rhames
Right, but as the lines move you can take advantage of it to hedge your losses. Regardless of polls, as money flows, the payout changes. If you bet on DT 2 months ago and now the lines are moving towards KH then you bet enough to win your original buy in. It's math, not politics. Most degerate gamblers, like me, know if you stand to win big hedge.
Posted on 10/31/24 at 2:41 pm to jennBN
quote:
Ahh. Got it. So giving it away because you like to frick is morally superior than liking to frick and using it to your advantage. She has so many shortcomings that make her less desirable as a leader than the candidate you support. Maybe being able to articulate that in someway other than by shaming her for sex would be a better approach. The hyperbole in politics is so boring and over fricking done. Low hanging fruit. Just like both candidates tits.
Trump’s family wealth can be traced back to his grandfather’s involvement in brothels, and metaphorically speaking their business model has always been about making their money and “f——“ other people over to leave them holding the bag.
Trump is by far the more amoral person of the two candidates and it’s not even close.
At the end of the day, there is no doubt Kamala Harris lacks the qualifications to be President of the United States. Trump’s flaws should preclude him from holding the office.
Posted on 10/31/24 at 2:42 pm to jennBN
This is more like live game betting though.
Regardless, it’s close.
Regardless, it’s close.
This post was edited on 10/31/24 at 2:43 pm
Posted on 10/31/24 at 2:43 pm to lsusa
Meh, both of them suck.
either side winning will never restore our democracy. we are in the death throws as a country and are beyond redemption. which is why betting on them is about the only rewarding thing you can do in this election.
either side winning will never restore our democracy. we are in the death throws as a country and are beyond redemption. which is why betting on them is about the only rewarding thing you can do in this election.
Posted on 10/31/24 at 2:45 pm to lsusa
That's a crock of shite. Because of this Grandpa's brothels?
Trivial and fake charges?
Being a Russian Agent?
She screwed Brown to get her start in politics.
There is nothing ethical about the Democrats. They are all scum of the earth.
Your commiting Trump on moral grounds is laughable.
Trivial and fake charges?
Being a Russian Agent?
She screwed Brown to get her start in politics.
There is nothing ethical about the Democrats. They are all scum of the earth.
Your commiting Trump on moral grounds is laughable.
This post was edited on 10/31/24 at 2:46 pm
Posted on 10/31/24 at 2:48 pm to RiverCityTider
Calm down, Francis.
Posted on 10/31/24 at 2:51 pm to TakingStock
Polymarket has moved almost 6 points off Trump since I checked it last night.
The next few days are going to be wild.
The next few days are going to be wild.
Posted on 10/31/24 at 2:52 pm to TakingStock
quote:
Some clown on Predictit's board is saying the election is "over" because EV data (except NV) shows women are enthusiastic and "more Republicans will cross the aisle to vote for Kamala" than the other way around.
He needs to look at the breakdown for women. This is simply not happening. In most swing states, he has a bigger lead among men than she does with women.
This guy breaks down the Atlas/Intel poll:
14:15 Mark
Posted on 10/31/24 at 2:58 pm to jennBN
quote:
So giving it away because you like to frick is morally superior than liking to frick and using it to your advantage.
It certainly undermines a person's career "achievements" if they earned their advancement in bed.
Posted on 10/31/24 at 3:34 pm to TakingStock
Betting is easily manipulated
Anyone relying on these odds is foolish
It’s a game and you can get whipsawed very easily
Anyone relying on these odds is foolish
It’s a game and you can get whipsawed very easily
Posted on 10/31/24 at 3:37 pm to timdonaghyswhistle
quote:
Kamala betting some of Bill Gates' $50M on herself.
Exactly albeit illegal. Someone else could do it though.
Think about how the odds are done
All it takes is money being bet for someone and it changes the odds
Trump could have had people making bets on him in big lots which would sway the odds in his favor. That, in turn sways naive public opinion…
Now camela could have people doing the same thing and odds move in her favor…
Posted on 10/31/24 at 4:31 pm to lsufball19
quote:
every liberal message board seems to think Kamala is winning. Every conservative board feels the opposite. Polls I see reflect the same. That gives me the idea that no one knows shite and is just throwing shite against the wall for clicks
1000% this! I don't think they know at all because in all the swing states it's going to come down to who actually goes and votes.
Posted on 10/31/24 at 4:38 pm to TakingStock
quote:Games. Margaret Hoover, who is a "severe" Romney "conservative," just put this out.
What is the reason for tightening in the betting markets?
quote:
“I think if you’re the Trump campaign, you’re not looking at CNN’s numbers. You’re looking at your own internals,” said Hoover, who is the great-granddaughter of former President Herbert Hoover.
“And I honestly think — I think their internals are actually giving them pause,” she went on. “They do have a lot of resources for polling, more than ... media companies have, and they’re probably seeing the same things that you guys are talking about, which is that there is real groundswell in the early vote.”
“There is real enthusiasm, which is hard to measure,” Hoover continued. “I have heard from Republicans that there is concern at the Trump campaign — amongst the operatives that actually really do know the political wherewithal — that the turnout and enthusiasm numbers aren’t where they need to be.”
LINK
Posted on 10/31/24 at 8:12 pm to lsusa
quote:
Trump’s family wealth can be traced back to his grandfather’s involvement in brothels,
Such a lazy take.
Do Kennedy or bush next.
You are reaching.
Try harder. Maybe address policies.
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