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Message
re: We're 10 weeks From the Mid-Term General Election. What's Your Prediction For Congress?
Posted on 8/24/26 at 1:35 pm to KCT
Posted on 8/24/26 at 1:35 pm to KCT
quote:
The Current Breakdown:
U.S. Senate: 53 GOP (Including turncoats); 45 Dems; 2 Independents
House: 218 GOP; 212 Donkeys; 1 Independent; 4 Vacancies
I think the GOP will hold their slight majorities in each chamber. I don't see a "Red Wave" at this point, but I hope I'm wrong. (I don't like the Republican Party, but the Democrats are total crap. Both the old guard and the new DSA radicals).
I'm worried all the issues going on now, war, inflation, costs, are going to cause losses for republicans. I think Andy Barr's old seat may go blue. His replacement is weak, and they are going up against an upstart new guy who has a military background. I can see that seat flipping. I hope not, but it might.
Posted on 8/24/26 at 1:36 pm to GatorOnAnIsland
The left is in a predicament. The normal losers aren't far enough left for these new DSA shitheads. I don't think they're going to have the numbers to gain control of both. Remember, we have deported a shite LOAD of voters in the last 2 years.
Posted on 8/24/26 at 1:40 pm to Rip Torner
Trump is the one saying these things at rallies. Why are you mad at me?
Posted on 8/24/26 at 1:41 pm to BearCrocs
quote:
Is your life better today than two years ago?
Well, the Southern border has been shut down. It was purposely opened wide as soon as the Brandon Administration took control. Illegal immigration, human trafficking, and drug trafficking exploded while the puppet Brandon was pretending to be President.
USAID and other fraudulent money-laundering schemes (using OUR money) were exposed and derailed. That's the main reason why the Democrat Party is broke right now, among other things.
Control of the Panama Canal was taken away from China. That's a much bigger deal than most people realize.
The "Venezuelan excursion" was also more important than casual observers realize. We haven't heard the last of that regarding what was being run thru that country.
Things aren't as good domestically as I would've hoped, but the problem there is Congress. People automatically think that REPUBLICAN President Trump should be able to have his way with a REPUBLICAN controlled Congress. The problem, though, is that 1) The majorities are slim, and 2) Some of the Republicans are practically openly hostile to Trump because they owe their allegiance to the corrupt Political Establishment.
The fact that Congress wouldn't even pass the Save Act, which was supported by 80% of the American people, should alert everybody to that simple fact even if they didn't already know it.
Posted on 8/24/26 at 1:42 pm to Tigerdew
quote:
The left is in a predicament. The normal losers aren't far enough left for these new DSA shitheads. I don't think they're going to have the numbers to gain control of both. Remember, we have deported a shite LOAD of voters in the last 2 years.
Agreed. The left is pretty fractured as well, it's not just the GOP. Part of their base wants to go hardcore DSA while the other parts are more moderate. Both parties are currently made up of factions that don't at all agree with one another.
Posted on 8/24/26 at 1:44 pm to Sharlo
quote:
I don't see any engaged voters on either side being swayed by anything that's happened since '24.
Dems still hate Trump. Most on the right still either like him or tolerate him as the lesser of two evils. And the left has only deviated further form American norms. So I think any losses of votes on the right will be offset by the left scaring away centrists who won't go full commie.
I think that will make this election more dependent on structural advantages in terms of what specific seats are open in what districts. (Yes, I know all midterms are, but I think more so for this one.)
All that said, I think the GOP maintains slim majorities in both houses. Mainly because the dems are too politically inept to get out of their own way.
Pretty good assessment.
Posted on 8/24/26 at 1:45 pm to KCT
quote:
People automatically think that REPUBLICAN President Trump should be able to have his way with a REPUBLICAN controlled Congress. The problem, though, is that 1) The majorities are slim, and 2) Some of the Republicans are practically openly hostile to Trump because they owe their allegiance to the corrupt Political Establishment.
Which is a primary reason Republicans will at least lose Congress in November.
Posted on 8/24/26 at 1:48 pm to BearCrocs
quote:
Is your life better today than two years ago?
Taxes are less, both State and Fed. Just noticed today that the max SS contribution is $11,400. That's increased by $3,000 from just 6-8 years ago. Food is high, but going all out on groceries is a choice. The one thing that gets me down is the price of cars. It's complete bullshite.
Posted on 8/24/26 at 1:52 pm to East Coast Band
It’s not looking good for Republicans IMO. The war was a massive mistake.
Posted on 8/24/26 at 1:56 pm to KCT
just blindly following Cook Political Report would put an over/under on Democrat seats as 214.5, maybe even a seat or half a seat less
LINK
So Republican 220-222 Democrats 213-215
The problem with this is that the Generic Congressional Ballots polls are moving into Blue Wave territory, almost all are showing Democrats +5 or more (at least they were,haven't looked in a week or so)
Senate
CPR would put over/under at 50.
LINK
LINK
So Republican 220-222 Democrats 213-215
The problem with this is that the Generic Congressional Ballots polls are moving into Blue Wave territory, almost all are showing Democrats +5 or more (at least they were,haven't looked in a week or so)
Senate
CPR would put over/under at 50.
LINK
Posted on 8/24/26 at 1:58 pm to Tigerdew
Doesn't matter. The Democrats could scream at each other non-stop until election day and they will still win. The GOP fricked up, as usual, and will pay the price.
Posted on 8/24/26 at 1:59 pm to KCT
I've been warning y'all it's going to be a bloodbath
Save a turn in Iraq, that would be a game changer
But the Iraqi nat. Guard understand this
Save a turn in Iraq, that would be a game changer
But the Iraqi nat. Guard understand this
Posted on 8/24/26 at 2:01 pm to KCT
230 ish Dems in the House.
50-50 Senate w/Vance breaking ties.
50-50 Senate w/Vance breaking ties.
Posted on 8/24/26 at 2:11 pm to Gee Grenouille
Cars are high due to all the electric car bs and environmental regulations not Trump. That’s the problem, people blame Trump for issues that largely aren’t his fault. You can blame him for not addressing them but he lowered fuel standards and EV mandates unfortunately the damage has been done. Congress has been unwilling to do pretty much anything
Posted on 8/24/26 at 2:12 pm to KCT
Prediction:
We will elect 435 reps and 35 senators that will be more about their self interests then the voters that elected them.
All 470 of those elected in November will do what ever it takes to stay in DC.
We will elect 435 reps and 35 senators that will be more about their self interests then the voters that elected them.
All 470 of those elected in November will do what ever it takes to stay in DC.
Posted on 8/24/26 at 2:18 pm to KCT
Rs lose both chambers. I mean Talarico is poised to win Texas
It’s going to be very ugly.
It’s going to be very ugly.
Posted on 8/24/26 at 2:28 pm to tigeraddict
quote:
Prediction:
We will elect 435 reps and 35 senators that will be more about their self interests then the voters that elected them.
All 470 of those elected in November will do what ever it takes to stay in DC.
Sad but true.
Posted on 8/24/26 at 2:31 pm to KCT
Until they arrest people the rigging will continue.
Posted on 8/24/26 at 2:34 pm to BearCrocs
Nope. Much much worse.
But not one politician or billionaire give a shite because they all colluded to fleece trillions from US taxpayers.
But not one politician or billionaire give a shite because they all colluded to fleece trillions from US taxpayers.
Posted on 8/24/26 at 2:46 pm to PUB
Republican senate candidate in Michigan asked AIPAC not to donate to his campaign. Israel will be an issue hurting republicans. Trumps iran war hurt MAGA. I don't see any reason to go vote for Republicans yet democrats offer nothing. Winner will be who can get their voters out. It will be close either way.
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