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UW model updates again overnight

Posted on 4/8/20 at 6:38 am
Posted by anc
Member since Nov 2012
18072 posts
Posted on 4/8/20 at 6:38 am
LINK

Another 20k off the US death projections. Peak will be this weekend and entire outbreak over by mid May.
This post was edited on 4/8/20 at 6:39 am
Posted by the808bass
The Lou
Member since Oct 2012
111524 posts
Posted on 4/8/20 at 6:39 am to
Their model is going to be so accurate!
Posted by CoachChappy
Member since May 2013
32541 posts
Posted on 4/8/20 at 6:40 am to
It’s time to let healthy people get back to normal. People with underlying conditions can continue to shelter in place while the rest of us build up a herd immunity.
Posted by rumproast
Member since Dec 2003
12094 posts
Posted on 4/8/20 at 6:43 am to
Well looky there....so it actually is the flu. Social distancing obviously explains the difference in 1.5 million and 60k. Panic monger much? Nah....
Posted by cave canem
pullarius dominus
Member since Oct 2012
12186 posts
Posted on 4/8/20 at 6:48 am to
quote:

Another 20k off the US death projections. Peak will be this weekend and entire outbreak over by mid May.




hope that is correct
Posted by Pintail
Member since Nov 2011
10446 posts
Posted on 4/8/20 at 6:49 am to
I would love to see a time lapse of the model.
Posted by LuckyTiger
Someone's Alter
Member since Dec 2008
45259 posts
Posted on 4/8/20 at 6:51 am to
Bad news for the media.

What do you think the talking points will be today in light of this bad news?

Black people dying because of Trump’s racist response to Corona?

Navarro memo?

China is awesome?

Chloroquine is dangerous, bad, and unhelpful and Trump is pushing it to make money for himself?

A new whistleblower of some kind?

Captain Queeg?
Posted by BestBanker
Member since Nov 2011
17478 posts
Posted on 4/8/20 at 6:52 am to
2.2 million down to 60k projections.

Oh, it was projected. Fear. The number 1 tool of evil.

Be strong and vigilant. Uphold good.
Posted by OTIS2
NoLA
Member since Jul 2008
50122 posts
Posted on 4/8/20 at 6:55 am to
Yep. Nailing it!
Posted by Sidicous
Middle of Nowhere
Member since Aug 2015
17168 posts
Posted on 4/8/20 at 6:55 am to
quote:


Oh, it was projected. Fear. The number 1 tool of evil.

And the #1 most commonly commanded phrase in the bible?

"Fear Not"
Posted by Sus-Scrofa
Member since Feb 2013
8152 posts
Posted on 4/8/20 at 6:56 am to
quote:

2.2 million down to 60k projections.


Trump saves 2,140,000 people.
Posted by Nado Jenkins83
Land of the Free
Member since Nov 2012
59651 posts
Posted on 4/8/20 at 6:56 am to
Gonna have to change the scale soon so we can read the graph.
Posted by NIH
Member since Aug 2008
112641 posts
Posted on 4/8/20 at 6:57 am to
But muh Italy! We can’t even think about it till July!
Posted by YouAre8Up
in a house
Member since Mar 2011
12792 posts
Posted on 4/8/20 at 6:59 am to
This is what happens when you let medical people and scientist make policy and restrictions over a country. These people along with their friends in the media caused a mass panic.
Posted by Shaun176
Baton Rouge
Member since Aug 2008
2465 posts
Posted on 4/8/20 at 7:01 am to
quote:

What do you think the talking points will be today in light of this bad news?


The narrative is changing. We have to stay locked down until there is vaccine and people can get reinfected, so there will never be a vaccine.

Plus, they are running stories for Drs. And nurses on the frontline to scare people. If they have enough time to reflect and interview, it must be getting better.
This post was edited on 4/8/20 at 7:04 am
Posted by NIH
Member since Aug 2008
112641 posts
Posted on 4/8/20 at 7:02 am to
People are getting antsy and governments are losing tax revenue. Media can spin things anyway they want but they can’t prevent those two things.
Posted by meeple
Carcassonne
Member since May 2011
9372 posts
Posted on 4/8/20 at 7:06 am to
Where is the line between this having been overblown, and social distancing working as it should to reduce the numbers?

Seems this will be the argument going forward.
Posted by weptiger
Georgia
Member since Feb 2007
10341 posts
Posted on 4/8/20 at 7:07 am to
Oh, what will come to light about this whole catastrophe in time and how “we” were manipulated for leftist gain.
Posted by BestBanker
Member since Nov 2011
17478 posts
Posted on 4/8/20 at 7:10 am to
quote:

Trump saves 2,140,000 people



Posted by Maytheporkbewithyou
Member since Aug 2016
12630 posts
Posted on 4/8/20 at 7:13 am to
Sounds like this projection evolves about as much as the cone does tracking a hurricane.
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