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Started By
Message
re: US Chinese Virus Tracker - 466,299 Cases, 16,686 Deaths, 26,104 Recovered (4/10/2020)
Posted on 3/6/20 at 8:50 pm to Homesick Tiger
Posted on 3/6/20 at 8:50 pm to Homesick Tiger
quote:In Oklahoma 11 have been tested.
The six supposedly maybe infected people in Arkansas all came back with negative results today.
One positive, six negative, 4 results pending.
0
Posted on 3/6/20 at 9:00 pm to Mickey Goldmill
quote:
can’t you come up with something better than that tired line?
You’ve been pimping this virus as the be all end all for weeks now and you want me to come up with something better?
Posted on 3/6/20 at 9:05 pm to Boatshoes
Trump announced the travel bans he was roundly criticized for on Jan 31
That is 35 fricking days ago
35 fricking days of panic for this shite?
That is 35 fricking days ago
35 fricking days of panic for this shite?
Posted on 3/6/20 at 9:11 pm to thebigmuffaletta
quote:
You’ve been pimping this virus as the be all end all for weeks now and you want me to come up with something better?
Have I? What have I said? I think you’re confused.
Posted on 3/6/20 at 9:27 pm to Mickey Goldmill
quote:
Have I? What have I said? I think you’re confused.
Must have been some other Mickey Goldmill that’s been commenting on every Coronavirus thread for the last 3 weeks telling us how it’s gonna kill us all.
Posted on 3/6/20 at 9:40 pm to Boatshoes
quote:
I expect this percentage to decrease somewhat as more people are diagnosed.
You mean like everyone on this board, who isn't a scared puss, has told you?
This post was edited on 3/6/20 at 9:45 pm
Posted on 3/6/20 at 9:57 pm to Boatshoes
quote:
I expect this percentage to decrease somewhat as more people are diagnosed.
Don't start acting rational now. You've been pimping this as a catastrophe. I'm finally on board. Don't puss out on me. This is the beginning of the end. The world as we know it will be over in 5 months. It was a good run. It had to happen eventually. C'est la vie.
Posted on 3/6/20 at 9:59 pm to TenWheelsForJesus
quote:
Don't start acting rational now.
Boatshoes, Bard et al have kept waiting for the next day to be the harbinger of all doom and dread. I think they’re coming around to the realization that it’s not World War Z.
Posted on 3/6/20 at 10:03 pm to Boatshoes
We are basically only testing patients with severe symptoms. The mortality rate is drastically over stated.
Here is the criteria needed to test in Louisiana at this time.
“The testing criteria below are subject to change according to the availability of laboratory testing and updated epidemiologic information.
Testing of samples for non-hospitalized patients may be delayed according to the volume of samples and changes in testing availability.
Criteria to Guide Evaluation of Persons Under Investigation for COVID-19
Clinical Features
Fever1 or signs/symptoms of lower respiratory illness (e.g. cough or shortness of breath)
AND
Epidemiologic Risk
Close contact with a laboratory-confirmed COVID-19 patient within 14 days of symptom onset
Clinical Features
Fever1 and signs/symptoms of a lower respiratory illness (e.g., cough or shortness of breath)
AND
Epidemiologic Risk
A history of travel from affected geographic areas2 within 14 days of symptom onset
Clinical Features
Fever1 with severe acute lower respiratory illness (e.g., pneumonia, ARDS [acute respiratory distress syndrome]) requiring hospitalization and without alternative explanatory diagnosis (e.g., influenza)
AND
Epidemiologic Risk
No identified source of exposure
1Measured as = 100.4°F.
2Affected geographic areas are defined as countries assigned a level 2 or 3 travel health notice by CDC or other areas determined to have sustained community transmission
Here is the criteria needed to test in Louisiana at this time.
“The testing criteria below are subject to change according to the availability of laboratory testing and updated epidemiologic information.
Testing of samples for non-hospitalized patients may be delayed according to the volume of samples and changes in testing availability.
Criteria to Guide Evaluation of Persons Under Investigation for COVID-19
Clinical Features
Fever1 or signs/symptoms of lower respiratory illness (e.g. cough or shortness of breath)
AND
Epidemiologic Risk
Close contact with a laboratory-confirmed COVID-19 patient within 14 days of symptom onset
Clinical Features
Fever1 and signs/symptoms of a lower respiratory illness (e.g., cough or shortness of breath)
AND
Epidemiologic Risk
A history of travel from affected geographic areas2 within 14 days of symptom onset
Clinical Features
Fever1 with severe acute lower respiratory illness (e.g., pneumonia, ARDS [acute respiratory distress syndrome]) requiring hospitalization and without alternative explanatory diagnosis (e.g., influenza)
AND
Epidemiologic Risk
No identified source of exposure
1Measured as = 100.4°F.
2Affected geographic areas are defined as countries assigned a level 2 or 3 travel health notice by CDC or other areas determined to have sustained community transmission
This post was edited on 3/6/20 at 10:30 pm
Posted on 3/6/20 at 10:24 pm to thebigmuffaletta
quote:
Must have been some other Mickey Goldmill that’s been commenting on every Coronavirus thread for the last 3 weeks telling us how it’s gonna kill us all.
I really do think you are confused. I haven’t said anything of the sort. Check my posts. There aren’t that many over the last 3 weeks.
Oh well.
Posted on 3/7/20 at 5:33 am to TenWheelsForJesus
quote:
Don't start acting rational now. You've been pimping this as a catastrophe. I'm finally on board. Don't puss out on me. This is the beginning of the end. The world as we know it will be over in 5 months. It was a good run. It had to happen eventually. C'est la vie.
Oh, this is a catastrophe in ways not even yet imagined on this board. India has banned the export of a couple of dozen medications. Do you think China is making any in substantial numbers right now? Where do you think the overwhelming majority of our medications come from? Magic globalization faries? By the time this is over, more people may die from medication shortages than from coronavirus.
I expect the mortality rate to go down from the (overstated) 5% we see here right now to the ~ 2%-3% rate that other countries have observed. But even if only a third of the country gets it, that's 2.33 million dead. Think we're going to institute the sort of societal measures here to make the number of infected plateau like it has in China?
I guess that's the new normal now, try and weaponize a pandemic for political gain if you're a democrat and try and ignore it because it might adversely affect your 401k if you're a republican.
This post was edited on 3/7/20 at 5:37 am
Posted on 3/7/20 at 5:38 am to Boatshoes
Dude.
Posted on 3/7/20 at 5:55 am to Boatshoes
quote:
But even if only a third of the country gets it, that's 2.33 million dead. Think we're going to institute the sort of societal measures here to make the number of infected plateau like it has in China?
Only a third of the country?
For comparison h1n1 the swine flu, infected 60 million Americans. Some 40 million short of 1/3 of the country. Maybe covid 19 will be worse than swine flu, maybe not. It may have a higher death rate but I would be shocked if it infects 1/3 of the country.
Posted on 3/7/20 at 6:00 am to Boatshoes
Wooky numbahs
Posted on 3/7/20 at 6:29 am to Mickey Goldmill
quote:
This thread at least has substance to it.
Fear is not substance. Substance requires data. Fear requires propaganda. Statistics are based on sample size. The death rate reported by the OP does not reflect information that should guide our attitudes and behaviors.
Do you have a sound understanding of biostatistics?
Posted on 3/7/20 at 6:41 am to Boatshoes
You're a fricking kook. And your shite rings hollow, but keep it up, maybe you can get some ban land time.
Posted on 3/7/20 at 6:59 am to Boatshoes
quote:
I expect the mortality rate to go down from the (overstated) 5% we see here right now to the ~ 2%-3% rate that other countries have observed.
You're doing this again?
What is it that you do not understand between "reported cases" vs all cases?
There must be a better way to explain this to you.
In situations where testing captures the bulk of infections, CFR is ~5X lower than your numbers indicate. I don't know how to make that more clear.
In South Korea where per capita testing exceeds that of other countries 10 to 20-fold, mortality rate is found to be 0.6%. Just as I've told you it would for two weeks.
This post was edited on 3/7/20 at 7:02 am
Posted on 3/7/20 at 7:21 am to Hurricane Mike
quote:
How bout you just update one thread
Because he wants to scare you everyday with his fake numbers and fake empty shelves.
Posted on 3/7/20 at 7:25 am to NC_Tigah
quote:
In South Korea where per capita testing exceeds that of other countries 10 to 20-fold, mortality rate is found to be 0.6%
So you're expecting this to be about 4 times as bad as normal flu?
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