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re: Tension growing big time. Inflation climbing. Labor market weakening. Political pressures

Posted on 11/14/25 at 10:10 am to
Posted by scorb
Baton Rouge
Member since Sep 2009
2169 posts
Posted on 11/14/25 at 10:10 am to
The folks moving into the DR Horton homes behind my neighborhood are not H1B1.

Some H-Juan B-Juan and others with a little more melanin.
Posted by RohanGonzales
Pronoun: Whatever
Member since Apr 2024
10711 posts
Posted on 11/14/25 at 10:12 am to
Ball of Confusion

That's what the world is today, hey hey

...

and the band played on
Posted by trinidadtiger
Member since Jun 2017
19987 posts
Posted on 11/14/25 at 10:13 am to

I broke my shoelace today....

egro millions of Americans will suffer the same....

ergo shoelace manufacturers in the states can no longer be trusted

ergo we will have to import our shoelaces and TARIFFS, TARIFFS, TARIFFS

The economy is in free fall, Im telling you its in freefall!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!
Posted by RollTide4547
Member since Dec 2024
4723 posts
Posted on 11/14/25 at 10:21 am to
quote:

this is a load of propaganda

Freudian slip and telling on yourself?
Posted by Bard
Definitely NOT an admin
Member since Oct 2008
59300 posts
Posted on 11/14/25 at 11:18 am to
quote:

Unemployment and inflation are also significantly lower right now than in 2008 (although it's always hard to trust government data).


They are but they have been trending in the wrong direction. Unemployment has slowly been creeping up since around 2022, Inflation hasn't been close to 2% since early 2021 and has been moving in the wrong direction every month this year since May.

This is why I was saying prior to the election that no matter who won, they would be facing a recession because you can't frick over your economy (with trillions in stimmy checks and other benefits, along with shutting down much of your supply lines) without serious repercussions. It's why Jerry P's whole "soft landing" rhetoric is and was bullshite.
Posted by Powerman
Member since Jan 2004
173799 posts
Posted on 11/14/25 at 11:21 am to
quote:


Manufacturing payrolls are steady
Posted by goatmilker
Castle Anthrax
Member since Feb 2009
76527 posts
Posted on 11/14/25 at 11:23 am to
Dogs and cats living together total chaos!
Posted by how333
Member since Dec 2020
4460 posts
Posted on 11/14/25 at 11:32 am to
Hey sidewalkside, shouldn't you be watching CNN?
Posted by 4cubbies
Member since Sep 2008
61456 posts
Posted on 11/14/25 at 12:11 pm to
quote:

They are but they have been trending in the wrong direction. Unemployment has slowly been creeping up since around 2022, Inflation hasn't been close to 2% since early 2021 and has been moving in the wrong direction every month this year since May.


Are we heading towards a recession or are we already in one, iyo? The job market is very discouraging. Inflation has been at varying levels of insanity for 5 years now.
Posted by Auburn1968
NYC
Member since Mar 2019
26540 posts
Posted on 11/14/25 at 12:42 pm to
Posted by Boomer Rick
Member since Apr 2021
371 posts
Posted on 11/14/25 at 12:52 pm to
A few colleagues/friends operate foreclosure mill law firms. They’ve been slow ever since Covid, slowly….very slowly returning to normal. This return to normal isn’t alarming.
Posted by tigerinthebueche
Member since Oct 2010
38055 posts
Posted on 11/14/25 at 1:06 pm to
In other news, sidewalkside grasps at any negative report on OMB he can find, after his side caved on the shutdown

Despite some missteps, the Admin keeps on winning. Film at 11.
Posted by Bard
Definitely NOT an admin
Member since Oct 2008
59300 posts
Posted on 11/14/25 at 3:12 pm to
quote:

Are we heading towards a recession or are we already in one, iyo? The job market is very discouraging. Inflation has been at varying levels of insanity for 5 years now.


It gets a bit tricky because there's so fricking much deficit spending going on and that deficit spending props up GDP and it's been that way since the GFC.

Prior to the GFC, GDP growth outpaced annual deficit spending almost every year. For example, from 1981 - 2007 there was only one year when GDP growth did not outpace deficit spending (1991). From 2008-2024 there have been only 4 years where GDP growth has outpaced deficit spending and one of those was 2022 (due to the stimmy checks and other COVID benefits in 2021).

In other words, the ridiculous amounts of deficit spending has obscured whether we have been in a recession or not. My guess is that we have been and if we were to ever start cutting back on deficit spending, we would absolutely see it.

This is why I've said in other economic threads that we have to cut spending and that it's going to hurt LOTS of people.
Posted by GeneralLeeAwesome
Down the road
Member since Aug 2017
653 posts
Posted on 11/14/25 at 10:00 pm to
I don't know about all of that, I do know that I've earned and been given a 31% pay raise this year. So I guess the K isn't getting wider at the lower end for me.
Posted by HagaDaga
Member since Oct 2020
7893 posts
Posted on 11/15/25 at 6:18 am to
So is Bitcoin dropping because people are dumping it cause they need the cash? Cause I thought it would go up during bad economic outlook periods.
Posted by Victor R Franko
Member since Dec 2021
3503 posts
Posted on 11/15/25 at 6:21 am to
Midterm elections coming up in less than one year. Time to start the narratives.
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