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Serious Prediction Trump or Biden?

Posted on 7/19/20 at 11:27 am
Posted by BillyBoy22
Mandeville
Member since Mar 2018
2193 posts
Posted on 7/19/20 at 11:27 am
While every single poll says Biden is ahead nationally and all swing states. What do you feel the outcome will actually be? Has Trump blown his chance with all of the crazy Tweets and divisiveness tone along with 4 years of 24 hours per day of Trump bashing by both the media and Social media? Will all of that persuade Independents who don't follow politics too much to vote Dem?
Has Biden gone too far left? Do the riots and defunding police talk, scare people enough to vote Trump? Does his mental mis-cues hurt him as much as some say? Will AOC supporting him scare people as well? So who will win?
Posted by Redleg Guy
Member since Nov 2012
2536 posts
Posted on 7/19/20 at 11:29 am to
Unless Trump starts doing something different, then Biden will win from his basement
Posted by Auburn1968
NYC
Member since Mar 2019
19475 posts
Posted on 7/19/20 at 11:30 am to
Trump will win in a landslide and he will have big coat tails due to all of the disgusting crap the dems have been doing. Our good citizens are going to punish the demprogs for their political BS, their hoaxes, their wrecking the economy in handling of the coronavirus and for their riots, looting and arson.
Posted by jawnybnsc
Greer, SC
Member since Dec 2016
4970 posts
Posted on 7/19/20 at 11:34 am to
This was a walkaway until some time in June. Now . . . Trump has some work to do to regain his footing.
Posted by Celery
Nuevo York
Member since Nov 2010
11088 posts
Posted on 7/19/20 at 11:35 am to
Biden wins Popular Vote, Trump wins Electoral College. Or some Covid related voting controversy with Trump not leaving the White House.
Posted by BayouCatFan
Member since Jul 2008
4580 posts
Posted on 7/19/20 at 11:35 am to
I read an article last night on polling. Cant find it now, but the gist of it says Trump will win in a landslide. According to this article there are two basic polling questions. Who are you voting for and who do you think will win. Studies from previous elections show the second question is what matters. This article says people polled the majority are saying they will vote for Biden, but that Trump will win. So if this is accurate, Trump wins in a landslide.
Posted by tduecen
Member since Nov 2006
161244 posts
Posted on 7/19/20 at 11:35 am to
It's going to be closer than a lot of people think. There is a lot of hate for Trump and a push to get people to vote from mostly Democrats, at least from what you see in the news and media.

Biden wins the popular vote and Trump narrowly wins the electoral you will see a larger push to eliminate the electoral college from many Democratic states.


Michigan and Arizona will be close
This post was edited on 7/19/20 at 11:38 am
Posted by Roll Tide Ravens
Birmingham, AL
Member since Nov 2015
42309 posts
Posted on 7/19/20 at 11:36 am to
I could see it going either way. Probably going to be a close one.

I guess I’ll say Trump at the moment, but it’s closer than 2016. When I say Trump wins, I mean the Electoral College. I have little doubt that Biden will win the popular vote.
This post was edited on 7/19/20 at 11:38 am
Posted by Redleg Guy
Member since Nov 2012
2536 posts
Posted on 7/19/20 at 11:40 am to
I don’t trust polls but I absolutely trust gamblers and betting odds. The betting odds are not looking good for Trump right now.

For those who don’t believe it, now is the time to make some serious bank. Put your money where your mouth is.

RCP Betting Odds
Posted by Auburn1968
NYC
Member since Mar 2019
19475 posts
Posted on 7/19/20 at 11:43 am to
quote:

I read an article last night on polling. Cant find it now, but the gist of it says Trump will win in a landslide. According to this article there are two basic polling questions. Who are you voting for and who do you think will win. Studies from previous elections show the second question is what matters. This article says people polled the majority are saying they will vote for Biden, but that Trump will win. So if this is accurate, Trump wins in a landslide.


The by-elections strongly support a major Trump victory.
Posted by Kino74
Denham springs
Member since Nov 2013
5344 posts
Posted on 7/19/20 at 11:52 am to
Trump will get reelected and the dems know it. The real issue becomes whether or not the House and Senate go dem. If that happens, Trump won't serve his 4 years. People will need to support thr GOP in maintaining the Senate and get control of the House. The dems aren't pulling any punches and have shown they will try to oust him. This is definitely the election to where if you're not voting GOP, you're casting a vote for the dems whether you voted 3rd party or abstained.

Hate to say that buts its the unfortunate reality we currently live in.
Posted by Wolfhound45
Hanging with Chicken in Lurkistan
Member since Nov 2009
120000 posts
Posted on 7/19/20 at 11:56 am to
Trump
Posted by rstamp1
Baton Rouge
Member since Jan 2009
1121 posts
Posted on 7/19/20 at 12:04 pm to
I’ve thought Biden would win. As Biden goes more and more left and the violence continues in these Democrat cities with no condemnation from Democrat leaders I’ve started to believe Trump will win.

Many of the moderates and suburban white women who would have voted for Biden will end up voting for Trump as a result of the violence. It would help if the covid numbers would start decreasing in the next few weeks.
Posted by aubie101
Russia
Member since Nov 2010
3090 posts
Posted on 7/19/20 at 12:06 pm to
Biden, this planned take d ou wn is going to work
Posted by Bow08tie
Louisiana
Member since Oct 2011
4221 posts
Posted on 7/19/20 at 12:07 pm to
Extreme high awareness will need to be in place come November. That is come election day and vote cheating.
The dems have their plan in place

We've heard about the popular voter from dems but have we heard much from the dems about the electoral college vote. This is what cost them 2016
Posted by Jp1LSU
Fiji
Member since Oct 2005
2542 posts
Posted on 7/19/20 at 12:15 pm to
quote:

Unless Trump starts doing something different, then Biden will win from his basement


If the election was today it would be Biden bigly. Trump has time to step away from the Tweeter Machine and reverse his stance on the two issues he’s stumbled. He’s running against himself in the sense he just has to keep it together. Half the people I know who voted for him 4 years ago will vote for him no matter what happens the other half have changed their minds in the past six months.
Posted by TigerWise
Front Seat of an Uber
Member since Sep 2010
35113 posts
Posted on 7/19/20 at 12:15 pm to
Ridin with Biden
Posted by OchoDedos
Republic of Texas
Member since Oct 2014
34080 posts
Posted on 7/19/20 at 12:16 pm to
quote:

Biden wins Popular Vote, Trump wins Electoral College

That was already a forgone conclusion. I'm still saying Trump, but they should be destroying Biden, and they're making stupid mistakes.
Posted by ArHog
Muss is a coward
Member since Jan 2008
33055 posts
Posted on 7/19/20 at 12:16 pm to
Huge red wave

Posted by TigerAxeOK
Where I lay my head is home.
Member since Dec 2016
24786 posts
Posted on 7/19/20 at 12:16 pm to
quote:

Our good citizens are going to punish the demprogs for their political BS, their hoaxes, their wrecking the economy in handling of the coronavirus and for their riots, looting and arson. 

No they're not.

They might vote for Trump but they'll still continue to sit on their hands and do nothing while the spineless GOPe does the same, and the left continues to grow more powerful and emboldened.

Real action is needed, and by the time the right is actually pissed off enough to take action, it will be too late. This is what it has come down to, when we've spent years trying to be noble while the left has been playing dirty and winning.
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