re: Robert Mann: “Cassidy’s vote to impeach Trump could help him for Governor’

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That said - don't you ever talk to me like that again. I've got a thick skin. And I can take a joke. But you're probably the one that owes me an apology now

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Sentrius is a Dan Satterberg Republican.

For information on Heroin Dan Satterberg, a Republican until KTTH basically shamed the Washington State GOP into kicking him out.

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If Cassidy makes the runoff vs Landry, democrats will vote for him.

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Agreed, but provided there is a Democrat candidate, Cassidy won't make the runoff.

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And where is this propping up of Cassidy for governor coming from? Has he indicated that he may look at that at some point or something?

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I think a lot of people are taking Mann's speculation as a feeler planted by Cassidy's people.

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Why would any self described conservative want Cassidy as their governor?

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Cassidy voted with Trump 89% of the time.

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I think a lot of people are taking Mann's speculation as a feeler planted by Cassidy's people.

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Well if they're reading this, hopefully this will help: don't waste yours or anyone else's time and money. You ain't got this.

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I see absolutely 0 percent chance that there is a Cassidy-Landry runoff. A democrat will make the runoff. A democrat always makes the runoff in LA, if there is a runoff.

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Agreed.

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but I see absolutely 0 percent chance that there is a Cassidy-Landry runoff.

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I'm not sure on this.

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A democrat will make the runoff. A democrat always makes the runoff in LA, if there is a runoff.

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Best case scenario for Landry is to hope that the Ds think KCP is their woman....in that case she probably gets less than 50% in the jungle primary and Landry has a good chance to get the biggest percent of the R votes assuming the state GOP and Cassidy/Nungesser don't Vitter him.

Worst case scenario is if the Ds come up with some way to make Cassidy the best of the worst from the beginning in the jungle primary with no real candidate of their own (aka they tell KCP to sit this one out)....in that case you still might be right there may not be 2 Rs in the runoff....Cassidy probably wins it outright.

That fricking RINO bitch couldn't win for Governor if he handed out 100.00 bills at the voting booth.
frick that embarrassment to Louisiana.

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Best case scenario for Landry is to hope that the Ds think KCP is their woman....in that case she probably gets less than 50% in the jungle primary and Landry has a good chance to get the biggest percent of the R votes assuming the state GOP and Cassidy/Nungesser don't Vitter him.

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Remember, LA, ESPECIALLY when it comes to governor, is the least red Southern State there is, for now at least until GA finishes turning blue.

A generic Democrat - assuming they don't have some late-race major scandal - will get 35% of the jungle primary vote. That will put them in the runoff.

In a Landry - Generic Dem - Cassidy Jungle... I think you end up somewhere around...

Landy 40
Generic Dem 35
Cassidy 25

So then the question is... assuming Landry and Generic Dems both show up on Runoff day... can Landry peel away 40% of Cassidy supporters? Personally, I don't think he can.

I'd love to see polling on Landry's undecided favorable/unfavorable. I'd have to imagine he would poll favorable and unfavorable close to 100. Not many people are unsure about Landry... they love him or hate him.

In a Landry / Generic Dem race, I think you have a repeat of 2015 and 2019. The "moderates" will think Landry is too mean and will go to the softer Dem.

You are exactly correct Mickey.

That’s what I’m trying to explain to Sentrius but he’s too busy calling me a cocksucker and failing to apologize for it.

Cassidy isn’t running for Governor bc Republicans want to. He cut a deal with JBE- bc JBE is smart enough to know there’s no other Democrat palatable statewide, but that Cassidy is the Republican that Democrats would vote for.