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Potential Diesel Export Ban: Who to Believe

Posted on 9/23/26 at 1:30 pm
Posted by Yaboylsu63
Member since Mar 2014
3754 posts
Posted on 9/23/26 at 1:30 pm
Trump is supposedly making decisions on this this week. Looks like all the O&G companies are begging him to not do it…. But his base is looking for relief and an America First policy.

Do we think this would be a disaster or the correct move?

Posted by LegendInMyMind
Member since Apr 2019
76722 posts
Posted on 9/23/26 at 1:31 pm to
quote:

Who to Believe

I'd probably go with all the knowledgeable people Donald has put in positions of leadership who are saying this is a bad idea.
Posted by SlidellCajun
Slidell la
Member since May 2019
17194 posts
Posted on 9/23/26 at 1:33 pm to
How does banning exports lower the price of diesel?


Posted by lurking
Member since Nov 2022
3619 posts
Posted on 9/23/26 at 1:34 pm to
It’s a shortsighted political move not a long term economic solution.
Posted by TrueTiger
Chicken's most valuable
Member since Sep 2004
84129 posts
Posted on 9/23/26 at 1:34 pm to
Generally, government meddling in markets makes things worse.

A lot of the prices we see now are due to meddling.


On the other hand, looking out for number 1 is not a bad argument.
Posted by LegendInMyMind
Member since Apr 2019
76722 posts
Posted on 9/23/26 at 1:35 pm to
quote:

How does banning exports lower the price of diesel?


Short term? By artificially influencing the markets. Long term? It likely doesnt unless it is coincidentally accompanied by some other significant market mover like an end to Ukrainian/Russian hostility.
Posted by LegendInMyMind
Member since Apr 2019
76722 posts
Posted on 9/23/26 at 1:36 pm to
quote:

It’s a shortsighted political move not a long term economic solution.

Yep. The timing tells all.
Posted by CitizenK
BR
Member since Aug 2019
16691 posts
Posted on 9/23/26 at 1:38 pm to
Trump has never shown to me that he understands crude oil and refining.

He pissed off US EPC firms who had other refinery projects awaiting funding when he made the big announcement of the Indian built (made in India) and backed refinery for Brownsville when the products will be all for export.
This post was edited on 9/23/26 at 1:41 pm
Posted by el Gaucho
He/They
Member since Dec 2010
60641 posts
Posted on 9/23/26 at 1:38 pm to
If Trump would ban the h1b truckers the price would go down



Most of our diesel supply is being wasted when they flip their trucks over
Posted by Bonkers119
Baton Rouge
Member since Dec 2015
12167 posts
Posted on 9/23/26 at 1:39 pm to
I'm sure this won't impact the US economy at all in the long term. Seems like a fantastic idea that shouldn't have any long term negative consequences. Thank you Mr. President.
Posted by 1999
Where I be
Member since Oct 2009
34196 posts
Posted on 9/23/26 at 1:39 pm to
We could end the war tomorrow. Stop sending Ukraine cash and weapons.
Posted by Figgy
CenCal
Member since May 2020
10632 posts
Posted on 9/23/26 at 1:41 pm to
Not a fan whatsoever.
Posted by Bigfishchoupique
Member since Jul 2017
9704 posts
Posted on 9/23/26 at 1:42 pm to
Setting himself up for a payoff to “ change his mind “ later.
This post was edited on 9/23/26 at 1:44 pm
Posted by notiger1997
Metairie
Member since May 2009
62050 posts
Posted on 9/23/26 at 1:43 pm to
Here are my thoughts

LINK
Posted by DeBoar
Member since Jan 2024
5640 posts
Posted on 9/23/26 at 1:49 pm to
quote:

Looks like all the O&G companies are begging him to not do it…. But his base is looking for relief and an America First policy.


His base doesn’t want high gas prices but most of us in the real world aren’t crying on a message board. We also understand other factors of why it’s high including Ukraine bombing Russian facilities causing a further shortage and pinch.
Posted by Mo Jeaux
Member since Aug 2008
65082 posts
Posted on 9/23/26 at 1:54 pm to
quote:

I'm sure this won't impact the US economy at all in the long term. Seems like a fantastic idea that shouldn't have any long term negative consequences. Thank you Mr. President.


There are many on this board who aren’t going to detect your sarcasm here.
Posted by Figgy
CenCal
Member since May 2020
10632 posts
Posted on 9/23/26 at 2:02 pm to
quote:


Generally, government meddling in markets makes things worse.


Correct.

quote:

On the other hand, looking out for number 1 is not a bad argument.


Think about that and what else can be justified using that rationale. That slippery slope you find yourself on is a steep one.
This post was edited on 9/23/26 at 2:04 pm
Posted by CitizenK
BR
Member since Aug 2019
16691 posts
Posted on 9/23/26 at 2:07 pm to
Screws every nation in Central and South America is not a good idea
Posted by Harper
Member since Dec 2003
153 posts
Posted on 9/23/26 at 3:25 pm to
This is why it’s a bad idea.

US Refineries are maxing out diesel production to take advantage of the pricing. The distribution system/facilities for domestic and foreign sales are not the same. Both are maximized right now so if foreign exports are cut there is literally no where to put the diesel. So they will be faced with containment issues that will result in the slowing down of production of diesel which means slowing down production of gasoline as well. This will result in shortages which will drive prices up further. Go to the API and AFPM websites for more information. Thank you for your attention to this matter.
Posted by ragincajun03
Member since Nov 2007
30216 posts
Posted on 9/23/26 at 3:27 pm to
quote:

Most of our diesel supply is being wasted when they flip their trucks over


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