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Penn Flips Red on Polymarket

Posted on 10/6/24 at 11:11 am
Posted by rds dc
Member since Jun 2008
21589 posts
Posted on 10/6/24 at 11:11 am
MI and WI have also been trending towards Trump. I would expect Nate Silver's model to start trending more aggressively towards Trump, but Nate (and the other molders) have a heavy incumbent bias built in, and recent economic data included in the model also favor the incumbent.

Posted by prouddawg
Member since Sep 2024
9532 posts
Posted on 10/6/24 at 11:14 am to
If we had honest elections and secure borders the whole darn country would be red.
Posted by Seldom Seen
Member since Feb 2016
48737 posts
Posted on 10/6/24 at 11:15 am to
Posted by LSUSkip
Central, LA
Member since Jul 2012
24717 posts
Posted on 10/6/24 at 11:16 am to
PA is going to massive in this election. I THINK if Trump wins PA, it'll be over for Kamala. There won't be enough for her to fight back with.
Posted by SDVTiger
Cabo San Lucas
Member since Nov 2011
98962 posts
Posted on 10/6/24 at 11:16 am to
Stidham is crying in his parents basement
Posted by TrueTiger
Chicken's most valuable
Member since Sep 2004
82886 posts
Posted on 10/6/24 at 11:17 am to

I'm concerned about the overseas ballot scam.

Apparently you can get an overseas ballot without any identification.
Posted by WestBay
Member since Jul 2023
363 posts
Posted on 10/6/24 at 11:20 am to
Democrats spend millions to move these lines in their favor, they arent an accurate representation of anything except how corrupt theyve become.
Posted by SeeeeK
some where
Member since Sep 2012
30763 posts
Posted on 10/6/24 at 11:21 am to
trump is up bigly

I was never one to make this claim, but i see no harris signs, bumper stickers, etc and i'm surrounded by prog filth, libtards.

and majority of trump voters are keeping quiet, just like in 2020. they will speak with their votes


Posted by wareagle7298
Birmingham
Member since Dec 2013
3720 posts
Posted on 10/6/24 at 11:24 am to
I think he might sweep all the swing states. I feel good about Wisconsin. Michigan has things lining up nicely. Nevada will be trickly, because it is basically Clark county and then a bunch of much smaller counties.
Posted by RedmanChew
Member since Jun 2024
447 posts
Posted on 10/6/24 at 11:24 am to
whoever made the Republicans blue and the Democrats red might be colorblind…
Posted by East Coast Band
Member since Nov 2010
66950 posts
Posted on 10/6/24 at 11:27 am to
Minnesota is very disappointing
Posted by prouddawg
Member since Sep 2024
9532 posts
Posted on 10/6/24 at 11:32 am to
quote:

Minnesota is very disappointing


Those are some idiotic white people. And yes I know they have immigrants but still …
Posted by Jwho77
cyperspace
Member since Sep 2003
84479 posts
Posted on 10/6/24 at 11:35 am to
quote:

Nate Silver's model


Only morons give a frick about this.
Posted by prouddawg
Member since Sep 2024
9532 posts
Posted on 10/6/24 at 11:42 am to
quote:

Minnesota


Feel sorry for true Virginians with all those government worker interlopers fricking their state up.
Posted by TrueTiger
Chicken's most valuable
Member since Sep 2004
82886 posts
Posted on 10/6/24 at 11:46 am to
quote:

Feel sorry for true Virginians with all those government worker interlopers fricking their state up.


If Trump wins he needs to:

a. reduce the federal administrative workforce

b. relocate several agency HQs out of the D.C. area and spread them across the country.

A large exodous of them out of Virgina might make it red again.
Posted by Tasseo
Member since Feb 2024
3252 posts
Posted on 10/6/24 at 11:51 am to
quote:

If we had honest elections and secure borders the whole darn country would be red.

Pre-2016, + national ID and citizenship laws, election laws would have Trump win easily.

Democrats needing to constantly change rules and move the goal posts is something the “leaders” on the Right need to figure out. Though they don’t seem to want too. Board dems and their legal council seem to think it’s normal instead of diabolical.
Posted by NC_Tigah
Make Orwell Fiction Again
Member since Sep 2003
139771 posts
Posted on 10/6/24 at 11:52 am to
quote:

PA is going to massive in this election. I THINK if Trump wins PA, it'll be over for Kamala.
Trump can win w/o PA. Kamala cannot.
Posted by XenScott
Pensacola
Member since Oct 2016
4168 posts
Posted on 10/6/24 at 12:42 pm to
Kam has to sweep the blue wall. Trump
does not.
This post was edited on 10/6/24 at 12:47 pm
Posted by TakingStock
Member since Jun 2009
7512 posts
Posted on 10/6/24 at 12:49 pm to
The government’s complete and utter failure in NC post hurricane coupled with Biden and Harris thumbing their noses up at residents in favor of foreign aid for Lebanon doesn’t help.
Posted by Lake08
Member since Jun 2023
2778 posts
Posted on 10/6/24 at 1:02 pm to
Everyone that I know that lives in MN are nutcase liberals….and it’s not even close
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