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Started By
Message
2
Posted on 8/7/18 at 6:41 pm to KosmoCramer
quote:
Hearing internally that the turnout will be over 30%.
Great news
Posted on 8/7/18 at 7:05 pm to Fireman17
LEGGGGOOOO BALDY!!! 
Posted on 8/7/18 at 7:10 pm to SirWinston
Posted on 8/7/18 at 7:13 pm to KeyserSoze999
Wow... landslide loss. frick.
Posted on 8/7/18 at 7:13 pm to KeyserSoze999
So whats going on here. Dense blue population reporting in sooner?
Posted on 8/7/18 at 7:13 pm to YumYum Sauce
quote:
Wow... landslide loss. frick.
Less than 1%
Posted on 8/7/18 at 7:13 pm to t00f
It is all early vote
Posted on 8/7/18 at 7:13 pm to YumYum Sauce
Nate Cohn
?
@Nate_Cohn
The big picture: the early vote is as expected.
Why was it expected? Because we knew the geographic/partisan composition of the early vote and it was highly unrepresentative.
Now we need some Election Day data. How big is the turnout and how good is it for Balderson?
?
@Nate_Cohn
The big picture: the early vote is as expected.
Why was it expected? Because we knew the geographic/partisan composition of the early vote and it was highly unrepresentative.
Now we need some Election Day data. How big is the turnout and how good is it for Balderson?
quote:
Early vote goes to O'Connor by 26.5 points. No surprise here (was expecting something near 30, see below from Sunday)
This post was edited on 8/7/18 at 7:15 pm
Posted on 8/7/18 at 7:13 pm to t00f
Early voting.
Posted on 8/7/18 at 7:13 pm to YumYum Sauce
quote:
Wow... landslide loss. frick.
Posted on 8/7/18 at 7:14 pm to KosmoCramer
I know its early
Nvm, I assume this is early voting they put in first.
Nvm, I assume this is early voting they put in first.
This post was edited on 8/7/18 at 7:16 pm
Posted on 8/7/18 at 7:15 pm to Bunyan
Lol my bad
Posted on 8/7/18 at 7:16 pm to YumYum Sauce
lulz
Posted on 8/7/18 at 7:17 pm to YumYum Sauce
I'm looking at this as the new democrat method: vote early and then stay and protest the republicans who are coming in from jobs to vote
Posted on 8/7/18 at 7:20 pm to PaperTiger
Baldy only has to make up 9000 votes with over 200,000 still expected to come in (all ED votes).
Baldy has it IMO. early voting not nearly strong enough or plentiful enough for O'Loser. He also likely cannibalized his ED margins in Franklin and Deleware counties.
Jump in and double your money, mates.
Baldy has it IMO. early voting not nearly strong enough or plentiful enough for O'Loser. He also likely cannibalized his ED margins in Franklin and Deleware counties.
Jump in and double your money, mates.
This post was edited on 8/7/18 at 7:21 pm
Posted on 8/7/18 at 7:21 pm to SirWinston
The Politico pundits aren't reacting very much to this early lead, which would agree with your analysis that it's probably not enough to hold off election day votes.
Posted on 8/7/18 at 7:22 pm to SirWinston
Nothing better than seeing Dems invest heavily in early voting turnout, hype that turnout, and then realize that all they did was shift their voters from election day to a week before the election.
Posted on 8/7/18 at 7:37 pm to SirWinston
The first 6 precincts in Franklin County, Ohio are consistent with a districtwide turnout of approximately 220k, early vote would be 16% of final vote
Posted on 8/7/18 at 7:38 pm to Iowa Golfer
Narrowing quickly
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