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re: Official US/Israel vs Iran war thread
Posted on 5/9/26 at 11:56 am to BayouBengal51
Posted on 5/9/26 at 11:56 am to BayouBengal51
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Notable shipping movement in the Strait of Hormuz.
Qatar is sending a laden LNG tanker (if sucesfull, it would be 1st crossing for Qatar since the start of the war).
Crucially, the Al Kharaitiyat tanker is following the new Iranian shipping lanes. Her destination is Pakistan
Posted on 5/9/26 at 11:57 am to BayouBengal51
Posted on 5/9/26 at 12:00 pm to BayouBengal51
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If tweet fails to load, click here. Transit Fees on undersea cables? That has to be a translation error. The only fee they can exert is the threat of cutting the cables.
Posted on 5/9/26 at 12:02 pm to BayouBengal51
Good for the UAE I say. frick Pakistan. They are part of the reason this has drug out so long.
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If tweet fails to load, click here.This post was edited on 5/9/26 at 12:03 pm
Posted on 5/9/26 at 12:09 pm to wdhalgren
Thats the cost of doing business. You either play this game to win or you dont.
Maximum pressure on the regime.
People lose their minds after 24 hours without power.
And at the end of the day the people there need to get cranked up enough to do something for themselves. Cut the power you accelerate the time line.
Maximum pressure on the regime.
People lose their minds after 24 hours without power.
And at the end of the day the people there need to get cranked up enough to do something for themselves. Cut the power you accelerate the time line.
Posted on 5/9/26 at 12:12 pm to BayouBengal51
quote:
Good for the UAE I say
The workers they are kicking out are treated by the UAE about a half step above indenture servants. Worker safety is non existence. Their passports and travel documents are controlled by their employer.
Everyone in this region is largely deplorable. Little is good about the UAE. Other than their wealth.
Posted on 5/9/26 at 12:16 pm to AGGIES
quote:
Ok so any democrat besides the ones you named are also discounted as liars?
All of the Democrats are liars. All of the Republicans too.
Posted on 5/9/26 at 12:18 pm to ned nederlander
quote:
Everyone in this region is largely deplorable
Well with Islam... Expect Islamic character traits.
This post was edited on 5/9/26 at 12:19 pm
Posted on 5/9/26 at 12:20 pm to ned nederlander
quote:
Little is good about the UAE. Other than their wealth.
And yet still better than Pakistan.
Posted on 5/9/26 at 12:20 pm to BayouBengal51
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If tweet fails to load, click here. Just like we were expect to hear a response soon two weeks ago. Then a week ago, then 48 hours later, then Thursday, then Friday. Now it's "soon"
They are never going to agree with our demands. They will also never negotiate in good faith. The only resolution to this problem is to finish off the Islamic Republic and the IRGC. That is the only path to ending this for good.
Posted on 5/9/26 at 12:22 pm to moontigr
quote:
Trump is trying his best to wait out the 60 days but I don't know if that's possible.
What 60 days?
Posted on 5/9/26 at 12:22 pm to BayouBengal51
Posted on 5/9/26 at 12:33 pm to wdhalgren
People don't know or understand how dead things become with a true massive power outage. They truly don't know how much society relies on electrons flowing through conductive cabling and the hidden equipment those electrons keep operational. Sure people lived before without electricity in the past, but not in dense packed cities. Electricity allows the dense population. In addition, people and society were set up to live without electricity. Livestock was available as a power source. Ah hell, I'm tired. If we bomb all the power plants, millions die, and Trump knows this. Israel wants them all dead anyway, that's why they want power plants destroyed.
This post was edited on 5/9/26 at 12:34 pm
Posted on 5/9/26 at 12:40 pm to ned nederlander
Our son echoed similar during his days in Qatar at the Air Base...El- something
Posted on 5/9/26 at 12:43 pm to Victor R Franko
quote:
People don't know or understand how dead things become with a true massive power outage. They truly don't know how much society relies on electrons flowing through conductive cabling and the hidden equipment those electrons keep operational. Sure people lived before without electricity in the past, but not in dense packed cities. Electricity allows the dense population. In addition, people and society were set up to live without electricity. Livestock was available as a power source. Ah hell, I'm tired. If we bomb all the power plants, millions die, and Trump knows this. Israel wants them all dead anyway, that's why they want power plants destroyed.
All true. It doesn't take much thought to understand how devastating a prolonged, widespread power outage would be in a modern country. Civilization would collapse in a short time period. I hope it doesn't come to that.
Posted on 5/9/26 at 12:47 pm to ninthward
quote:
people have been living with out power for thousands of years and it worked out.
Those people were hunter / gatherers and farmers.
What do you think would happen if power went out long term for millions of city dwellers?
Posted on 5/9/26 at 12:51 pm to Victor R Franko
quote:
People don't know or understand how dead things become with a true massive power outage.
Is Katrina that distant of a memory?
Posted on 5/9/26 at 12:53 pm to TulsaSooner78
Russia has been bombing Ukraine's power grid for the last few years. They still have electricity throughout the country. Just asked AI about outages and got this response:
As of early May 2026 (around May 7-9), Ukraine has no nationwide planned or scheduled power outages for most regions, according to repeated updates from Ukrenergo (the national grid operator). Ukrenergo has stated no consumption restriction measures or hourly blackout schedules for multiple recent days (e.g., May 7, May 6, May 5, May 4, May 3, May 1).
- end quote -
Power grids are a lot more resilient than people give them credit for.
As of early May 2026 (around May 7-9), Ukraine has no nationwide planned or scheduled power outages for most regions, according to repeated updates from Ukrenergo (the national grid operator). Ukrenergo has stated no consumption restriction measures or hourly blackout schedules for multiple recent days (e.g., May 7, May 6, May 5, May 4, May 3, May 1).
- end quote -
Power grids are a lot more resilient than people give them credit for.
Posted on 5/9/26 at 12:58 pm to TroutGuy
Iran finally responded..No deal.
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UPDATE | Iran just put its three red lines on the US memo in writing. Foreign Ministry: "strongly rejected some terms." The lines: enrichment program is non-negotiable, no way they're shipping the 400kg of enriched uranium out of the country, and they keep control of the Strait of Hormuz.
All three sit right at the center of the MOU. But these three aren't the same thing. Hormuz is operational leverage Iran loses anyway the moment they give up control. Enrichment is a structural technical capability.
The uranium is the tangible piece, the one you can put your hands on. Also worth keeping in mind: Mojtaba Khamenei, the new Supreme Leader, is injured and hasn't shown up in public since the attack that killed his father. CNN says US intel thinks he's still calling the shots on strategy. So Iran is negotiating with a wounded leader nobody can see.
Which is why this isn't "Iran rejects deal." It's Iran pushing for concessions on the three hardest points while Trump says sign or glow.
Posted on 5/9/26 at 1:01 pm to BayouBengal51
Will we now get Bridge and Power Plan Day?
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