TroutGuy

God I hope this is true.

If the previously most hardcore anti-Iran power has decided they must bend the knee, then this war has established Iran as the undisputed power in the Persian Gulf.

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I really hope this is accurate since it would be a great result. But it flies in the face of Barak Ravid's reporting that Iran is agreeing to at most down-blending of the uranium while keeping it in their country.

Barak Ravid on what's in the deal- we get the same "downblending" or dilution of the uranium dust that Iran was offering before the war.

quote:

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Breaking it down: Under the MOU, Iran would make certain commitments on its nuclear program — first and foremost to never acquire a nuclear weapon and to resolve the standoff around its enriched uranium. A senior U.S. official said Trump agreed that one of the options for resolving the issue could be down-blending Iran's highly enriched uranium inside the country under the supervision of UN inspectors. Any steps on Iran's nuclear program would only take place if a second deal is reached — an uncertain prospect given how difficult the far less technical negotiations over the MOU have been. The diplomat claimed the MOU "goes into details on all the nuclear issues" and "satisfies all U.S. requirements." Zoom in: The MOU calls for the strait to be reopened immediately without tolls, with a return to pre-war shipping volumes within 30 days. In return, the U.S. blockade would also be lifted. U.S. officials previously told Axios that after reopening the strait, Iran would be given temporary sanctions waivers to allow it to sell oil for 60 days. That would generate precious revenue for Tehran. The sanctions relief would increase if Iran complies with the initial agreement and shows "good faith" in subsequent negotiations. "There is no set date for sanctions relief and it will be tied to the implementation of the deal," the diplomat said. The intrigue: It's unclear whether the text includes any detailed explanation of what will happen with the billions of Iranian dollars frozen overseas. Iran has insisted that it must receive some money immediately upon signing any initial deal, while the U.S. has said it would be released in tranches based on compliance. A U.S. source outside the administration expressed concern that the issue of the frozen funds may be addressed in a secret side agreement. A U.S. official recently denied that possibility to Axios. The U.S., Iran and Qatar in recent days discussed a mechanism by which Iran would gain access to some of its frozen funds in Qatar for purchasing humanitarian goods, according to a U.S. official and a source from one of the mediating countries.

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LINK

So by the time midterms roll around, Iran will have gotten billions of dollars in oil sales permitted by lifting the blockade, likely billions in unfrozen assets as well, and - based upon Ravid's earlier reporting - at most a little bit of reversible "downblending" of some enriched uranium will have taken place inside of Iran. With not a single ounce having left Iran, as Trump insisted for months was a red line for him.

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5 minutes may be a record time in backing down from a Trump threat.

Are the top Iranian officials in the room with us now?

At least the deadlines are getting shorter. Don't think I could have handled another two-week one.

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No! Don't throw us in that briar patch!

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Honestly these strikes today seemed like more of the same, military targets on the coast. Didn't live up to Hegseth's hype about "Iranian facilities" getting hit hard.