re: Non partisan topic - any real economic plan by anyone that addresses AI displacement?

This is way different. AI is already substantially improving the productivity of the most productive workers.

It’s not hard to believe that AI agents will be good enough to replace 99% of white collar office jobs within a decade. There are already AI agents that could realistically do the job of most.

By the way. Self driving cars do work. Go to Vegas or Arizona, waymos everywhere

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I suspect a lot of middle and upper middle class white collar jobs will be the first on the chopping block until robotics catches up to replace blue collar trades.

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My "bad" early life choices and my inherent contrarian, nonconformist nature played to my benefit in the long run. I had the aptitude for college and scored high enough to gain some attention, but I couldn't imagine myself sitting in classrooms for another six years.

I started off blue collar laborer after a brief stint at a couple fast food joints and a solid run at trying to be a rock star (literally) showed me that it's no career I want to have. So I worked my but off and an opening came up where my little bit of high school welding experience put me on the maintenance mechanic team, where I had a couple knowledgeable coworkers from whom to sponge knowledgeable.

Stuck with it for over two decades. I'm now a fabricator and rebuilder. I weld steam pressure vessels at times and calibrate/adjust natural gas burners and ignition systems. I troubleshoot PLC issues and have done plenty of electrical repairs and installs from 9V to 600V. I've done equipment design and engineering. I've done almost every kind of plumbing known to man. Skilled and proficient in five welding processes. And yes, I pat myself on the back for it because I got here on my own and with only 9 months of trade school to get my steam card when I was already in my 30s, which I initiated and paid foron my own. I work on a ton of automation including robots.

I'm not making huge money at all but I'm comfortably middle class and the wife and I combine for well over $100k/year in a low cost of living area. If you've got kids in school, and they express the aptitude for it, steer them towards trade school to maintain the machines that inevitably will replace many warehouse and production workers. No place I know of has a robot that can pull and rebuild a turbine or stick an R-stamp weld on an autoclave shell.

That's probably a lot less about economic plan and more about personal plan, but the world will always need hands-on technicians, drywallers, welders and ditch diggers. That isn't going to change in the foreseeable future.

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By the way. Self driving cars do work. Go to Vegas or Arizona, waymos everywhere

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It ain’t worth much until it’s taking trucker jobs. Then I’ll believe it’s effective. You can believe that if it worked trucking companies would be all over it immediately.

Trucking jobs are already a problem. Way too many openings, people don’t want to do it, and the average age of a trucker is mid 50’s. When they retire logistics are fricked

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That's a personal plan.

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I misunderstood

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How is someone who is a toddler today going to become rich before then?

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Well, if Ai displaces so many workers they will all be rich - not relative to one another but relative to you and me. They will live to be hundreds of years old; the work will all be done for them; and they will be infinitely entertained. They will screw creatures who are indistinguishable from the most beautiful women (or otherwise) of today; and I’m sure they will consider themselves unfortunate.

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Iceman used to visit every household daily went away with refrigeration.
Milkman used to come by once a week - that job went away,
Entire office secretarial offices went away as computers took over typing letters, scheduling appointments and generally pushing “paper around.
The USPS is no longer needed because of e-mail and packages are more efficiently moved by private parties.
Car engines used to be replaced every 60,000 miles in “motor exchange shops” that were located in every city.
The point is that improvements are good and people adapt to find other ways to be productive members of society as long as we don’t hinder their transition with wasteful government programs that make conditions worse.

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Those are gradual changes though. There is a real possibility that 25% of all occupations could be displaced in a very short period of time. The adjustment has the potential to be on a far greater scale than what you're describing.

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It is going to kill Hollywood and replace most current forms of media production and it won't take long.

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Probably more so with accountants than attorneys but I've seen many say that AI could do 90% of what they do. If they can replace accountants, imagine (if managed correctly) how few people would be needed at the IRS.

Hopefully AI takes over congressional jobs

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I have a hypothesis that AI will destroy civilization. Not because the AI will try to. An entire society with no need to work could be a major problem. Most people aren't very good at doing nothing.

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I think it's very much possible. At a certain point, we are either going to have to stifle progress (protectionism etc.) or face some extreme growing pains. There are just so many paths that lead to a dystopian future.

Fwiw I think the nuclear bomb is a relevant comparison. Humanity had finally invented a way to truly & efficiently wipe itself out. There's been some shaky ground since, but life goes on