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re: NOAA : “among the eight warmest Februarys on record”

Posted on 3/20/19 at 2:38 pm to
Posted by cokebottleag
I’m a Santos Republican
Member since Aug 2011
24028 posts
Posted on 3/20/19 at 2:38 pm to
The data over Houston is totally bullshite.

It’s been the coldest February here in recent memory, not slightly above average. Hell its still getting into the 40s at night here and it’s late March. The last few years it’s already been in the 80s by now.
Posted by NASA_ISS_Tiger
Huntsville, Al via Sulphur, LA
Member since Sep 2005
7979 posts
Posted on 3/20/19 at 2:41 pm to
So based on the fact it's not THE WARMEST....I guess one could say climate change could be a hoax. The whole premise that climate change is based on is the warming up of the Earth more and more each year...so each year would have to be warmer than the previous to support their hypothesis.

No one ever talks about volcanic activity warming the oceans as the plates shift about and lava flows from the core and warms the oceans.
Posted by buckeye_vol
Member since Jul 2014
35236 posts
Posted on 3/20/19 at 2:48 pm to
quote:

You could have fooled me when we had a full week with single digit lows here in Oklahoma... and the rest of the month was highs mostly in the 30s and 40s. One of the coldest Februaries I can recall here. It only just started getting nice here a week ago.
Well OKC had an average high of 47.8 and an average low of 30.6 with a max high of 70 and min low of 15.

Tulsa has an average high of 48.9 and an average low of 31.0 with a max high of 69 and min low of 12.

Both only has 3 days where the low was below 20 degrees. Now Boise City in the panhandle was much colder with average low of 13 compared to the historical average of 21; however, its average high of 48 was near the historical average of 50.
Posted by fr33manator
Baton Rouge
Member since Oct 2010
124050 posts
Posted on 3/20/19 at 2:52 pm to
“Among the 8”


That’s like coming in 8th place and saying “among the top 8”
Posted by buckeye_vol
Member since Jul 2014
35236 posts
Posted on 3/20/19 at 2:52 pm to
quote:

So based on the fact it's not THE WARMEST....I guess one could say climate change could be a hoax. The whole premise that climate change is based on is the warming up of the Earth more and more each year...so each year would have to be warmer than the previous to support their hypothesis.
This is one of the most ridiculous interpretations I’ve ever seen, on either side of the debate. Only a person who has no understanding of math and science would ever interpret the underlying data of a trend as a constant of the trend without variation.
Posted by bmy
Nashville
Member since Oct 2007
48203 posts
Posted on 3/20/19 at 2:54 pm to
quote:

“science”


"Visualization of data"

And before you get your panties in a wad I'm very aware of bias in the presentation of data. Anyone could take that same data and change the color ramp or classify using Natural Breaks, Equal Interval, Quantile, or even manually-set thresholds and end up with a very different looking map.
This post was edited on 3/20/19 at 2:56 pm
Posted by texridder
The Woodlands, TX
Member since Oct 2017
14172 posts
Posted on 3/20/19 at 2:57 pm to
quote:

The biggest indictment of the author is that Anthony Watts from the popular Climate Skeptic/Denial website “Watts Up with That,” banned him from blogging on the website.
What is really sad is that Ted Cruz used one of Heller/Stoddard's charts to attack the NOAA in a presentation in the Senate in December 2015.

Stoddard's Tweet Dec 2015
Posted by buckeye_vol
Member since Jul 2014
35236 posts
Posted on 3/20/19 at 3:02 pm to
quote:

The data over Houston is totally bull shite.

It’s been the coldest February here in recent memory, not slightly above average.
Accuweather Daily February Temperatures

The average high for Houston in February 2019 was 68 degrees, which was 2 degrees warmer than the historical average of 66 degrees. The average low in February 2019 was 53 degrees, which was 6 degrees warmer than the historical average of 47 degrees. And the average daily temperature in February 2019 was 60 degrees, 3 degrees warmer than the historical average of 48 degrees.

So not only was it not one of the coldest Februaries on record, the average high, low, and overall temperature was warmer than average, and there were far more days with highs and lows warmer than their daily averages than days colder.
quote:

Hell its still getting into the 40s at night here and it’s late March. The last few years it’s already been in the 80s by now.
Houston has already had 4 days above 80 in March of this year. In fact, it reached 81 on February 6th of this year.
This post was edited on 3/20/19 at 3:11 pm
Posted by Taxing Authority
Houston
Member since Feb 2010
57151 posts
Posted on 3/20/19 at 3:15 pm to
quote:

"Distortion of data"
I’ve busted pHD candidate using red for temp decreases before. It wasn’t an accident. Nor was it to make his presentation “pretty”. It was keep support his conclusion that didn’t match his data.

Thst said, we’re not really talking about the presentation. My problem is with the gap filling where the boundaries. Don’t support the filled values.

quote:

Anyone could take that same data and change the color ramp or classify using Natural Breaks, Equal Interval, Quantile, or even manually-set thresholds and end up with a very different looking map.
Or (obstensibly neutral) presenters could choose colors according to centuries-old convention. They don’t make these kinds of choices accidentally.
This post was edited on 3/20/19 at 3:18 pm
Posted by JackieTreehorn
Malibu
Member since Sep 2013
29052 posts
Posted on 3/20/19 at 3:28 pm to
Posted by tarzana
TX Hwy 6--Brazos River Backwater
Member since Sep 2015
26139 posts
Posted on 3/20/19 at 3:29 pm to
(no message)
This post was edited on 3/20/19 at 6:29 pm
Posted by OchoDedos
Republic of Texas
Member since Oct 2014
34037 posts
Posted on 3/20/19 at 3:34 pm to
I didnt see NOAA on the ramp at MSP when it was 11 fricking below zero, with a 20 kt wind.
Posted by ShortyRob
Member since Oct 2008
82116 posts
Posted on 3/20/19 at 3:35 pm to
So. There were 7 prior warmer Februarys on record

Is this supposed to alarm me
Posted by PorkSammich
North FL
Member since Sep 2013
14233 posts
Posted on 3/20/19 at 3:38 pm to
I’d live to know the temp in February 3.7 million years ago.

These clowns talk like Earth just started.
Posted by cokebottleag
I’m a Santos Republican
Member since Aug 2011
24028 posts
Posted on 3/20/19 at 3:47 pm to
quote:

The average high for Houston in February 2019 was 68 degrees, which was 2 degrees warmer than the historical average of 66 degrees. The average low in February 2019 was 53 degrees, which was 6 degrees warmer than the historical average of 47 degrees. And the average daily temperature in February 2019 was 60 degrees, 3 degrees warmer than the historical average of 48 degrees.

So not only was it not one of the coldest Februaries on record, the average high, low, and overall temperature was warmer than average, and there were far more days with highs and lows warmer than their daily averages than days colder


I said it was the coldest in recent memory, and much colder than the last few years.

Case in point, the website you cited has for 2018 in Feb, an average high of 71 degrees, and an average low of 55. This winter was several degrees colder.

The same was true of the last 3 februaries.

I've lived in Houston for almost 20 years, and last year when it snowed twice in the same year was the first, period. The last few years we haven't had a single freeze in Houston in February, this year it has frozen several times.

I said 'recent memory' which is still true.

The average high and low is based off of I assume about a hundred years, which is such a small time period as to be irrelevant for the question being asked.

Posted by udtiger
Over your left shoulder
Member since Nov 2006
98669 posts
Posted on 3/20/19 at 3:50 pm to
quote:

EDIT: dammit udtiger...




I would say great minds think alike, but I don't know you well enough to insult you like that
Posted by GRTiger
On a roof eating alligator pie
Member since Dec 2008
62885 posts
Posted on 3/20/19 at 3:53 pm to
quote:

So. There were 7 prior warmer Februarys on record

Is this supposed to alarm me


Right, that's like half of all Februaries according to the typical AGW study.
Posted by GumboPot
Member since Mar 2009
118736 posts
Posted on 3/20/19 at 3:53 pm to
quote:

This, combined with his inability to openly admit to and correct mistakes, is why I booted him from WUWT some years ago, after he refused to admit that his claim about CO2 freezing on the surface of Antarctica couldn’t be possible due to partial pressure of CO2.


Well it is possible but very rare. The temperature would have to reach below -78 degrees C. It's possible because the lowest temperature ever was -89.2 °C:



Posted by GumboPot
Member since Mar 2009
118736 posts
Posted on 3/20/19 at 3:54 pm to
quote:

Why didn't he get their attention by the quality of his research/writings instead of trying to fraudulently insinuate his way in.


Well he's got your attention now.
Posted by GumboPot
Member since Mar 2009
118736 posts
Posted on 3/20/19 at 3:58 pm to
quote:

Is this supposed to alarm me




Yes. Vote for AOC now.
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