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Monmouth poll: Dem midterm lead nearly 100% evaporates as tax law improves

Posted on 1/31/18 at 12:21 pm
Posted by HailHailtoMichigan!
Mission Viejo, CA
Member since Mar 2012
69306 posts
Posted on 1/31/18 at 12:21 pm
Dems, why is your generic ballot lead evaporating for 2018 midterms? It was as high as double digits only one month ago.

quote:

Pres. Trump's job rating now stands at 42% approve and 50% disapprove. While his net rating continues to dwell in negative territory, this is an improvement from his December low of 32% approve and 56% disapprove. The current results mark a return to the ratings he received in the late summer and early fall of 2017. Positive signs for Trump include an uptick in public opinion that he has been successful in moving his agenda through Congress and increasing support for the recently enacted tax reform plan.

quote:


Opinion is currently divided on the landmark tax reform plan - 44% approve and 44% disapprove. But this marks a significant increase in public support from December, when just 26% approved of the bill and 47% disapproved. Perhaps more importantly, fewer Americans (36%) believe that their own federal taxes will go up under the plan than felt the same when the bill was in its final legislative stages last month (50%). Still, the number who believe that their taxes will go up (36%) outnumber those who believe that their taxes will go down (24%) or stay the same (32%) under the new system.


quote:

In a look ahead to 2018,
quote:

Democrats currently hold a negligible edge on the generic Congress ballot. If the election for House of Representatives were held today, 47% of registered voters say they would vote for or lean toward voting for the Democratic candidate in their district compared to 45% who would support the Republican. This marks a dramatic shift from last month, when Democrats held a 15 point advantage on the generic ballot (51% to 36%).



LINK
Posted by FooManChoo
Member since Dec 2012
41682 posts
Posted on 1/31/18 at 12:22 pm to
It's going to get even worse if the new crop of Republican candidates support the tax plan.
Posted by GEAUXT
Member since Nov 2007
29250 posts
Posted on 1/31/18 at 12:23 pm to
Yep...it's going to be funny when all of those blue collar mid westerners start seeing more money in their paychecks, and their retirement accounts getting bigger. I'm sure they're going to give that up to make sure a dude can pee in the ladies room whenever he wants.
Posted by fillmoregandt
OTM
Member since Nov 2009
14368 posts
Posted on 1/31/18 at 12:25 pm to
But CNN told me yesterday that the democrats were in good position to take over everyrhing
Posted by GumboPot
Member since Mar 2009
118835 posts
Posted on 1/31/18 at 12:26 pm to
quote:

44% approve and 44% disapprove.


44% still hate more money in their paychecks. Really weird.
Posted by TbirdSpur2010
ALAMO CITY
Member since Dec 2010
134026 posts
Posted on 1/31/18 at 12:26 pm to
Posted by DallasTiger11
Los Angeles
Member since Mar 2004
11809 posts
Posted on 1/31/18 at 12:27 pm to
quote:

Democrats currently hold a negligible edge on the generic Congress ballot. If the election for House of Representatives were held today, 47% of registered voters say they would vote for or lean toward voting for the Democratic candidate in their district compared to 45% who would support the Republican. This marks a dramatic shift from last month, when Democrats held a 15 point advantage on the generic ballot (51% to 36%).



And all of this prior to the the shutdown and the SOTU arse whipping being baked in.
Posted by Ace Midnight
Between sanity and madness
Member since Dec 2006
89547 posts
Posted on 1/31/18 at 12:38 pm to
With the list of competitive seats in the Senate, and the tax laws which will have been putting money in folks' pockets for 6 to 8 months - this will look more like a (R) wave election (at least considering it's an incumbent President's party doing the gaining) than a push, IMHO.

The House may be more of a push, but that should be a win for Trump, particularly if the Rs pick up 2 or 3 in the Senate (although that may be muted with Doug Jones - of course, that could be reversed if Manchin flips).

Posted by gthog61
Irving, TX
Member since Nov 2009
71001 posts
Posted on 1/31/18 at 12:41 pm to
Hey man our favorite ole miss homosexual is the official generic ballot poster guy.

I hope he’s not sick! I know he wouldn’t miss posting this!
Posted by The Spleen
Member since Dec 2010
38865 posts
Posted on 1/31/18 at 12:44 pm to
We trust polls now?


The lead has shrunk, but the average of the polls still has around 9% advantage. Long way to go until November though.
Posted by Kjun Tiger
Member since Dec 2014
2147 posts
Posted on 1/31/18 at 12:45 pm to
So, the "Big Blue Wave" is nothing more than a wet fart? Or in Hillary's case a shart!
Posted by HailHailtoMichigan!
Mission Viejo, CA
Member since Mar 2012
69306 posts
Posted on 1/31/18 at 12:46 pm to
The average still includes polls from last year

The average lead for January is like 5-6
Posted by DallasTiger11
Los Angeles
Member since Mar 2004
11809 posts
Posted on 1/31/18 at 12:47 pm to
quote:

We trust polls now?


The lead has shrunk, but the average of the polls still has around 9% advantage. Long way to go until November though.

I don't particularly trust the exact numbers of polls right now but I trust the trends of them.

The tide is turning. But you're right - a long way until November.
Posted by covtgr
Covington
Member since Aug 2004
1041 posts
Posted on 1/31/18 at 12:47 pm to
quote:

44% still hate more money in their paychecks. Really weird.


Here's your answer -

"Still, the number who believe that their taxes will go up (36%) outnumber those who believe that their taxes will go down (24%) or stay the same (32%) under the new system."

Check back in a few months when people realize they've been lied to by the leftist media and members of congress. Could get ugly for the left.
Posted by Lou Pai
Member since Dec 2014
28122 posts
Posted on 1/31/18 at 12:48 pm to
quote:

44% 


Pretty damn close

Posted by ShortyRob
Member since Oct 2008
82116 posts
Posted on 1/31/18 at 12:50 pm to
quote:

Monmouth poll: Dem midterm lead nearly 100% evaporates as tax law improves by HailHailtoMichigan!


It's worse than it looks for them too because

quote:

Most voters still believe their taxes will go up under the new plan — 36 percent say they believe their taxes will rise, 32 percent said they expect their taxes will stay the same and only 24 percent believe their taxes will go down.


Most of THESE people are wrong and in short order, will know it. THEN, they'll realize they were lied to by the Democrats and the MSM on the subject.
Posted by Jake88
Member since Apr 2005
68279 posts
Posted on 1/31/18 at 12:51 pm to
You're taking over Toddy's role. He's the o e we wait for to eagerly post these generic ballot polls. If you'd have given him a minute, I'm certain he would have.
Posted by msutiger
Shreveport
Member since Jul 2008
69624 posts
Posted on 1/31/18 at 12:51 pm to
(no message)
This post was edited on 3/31/23 at 3:24 pm
Posted by KosmoCramer
Member since Dec 2007
76522 posts
Posted on 1/31/18 at 12:52 pm to
The Senators from purple States that voted against the tax bill are going to have a very hard time explaining that away.

Posted by The Spleen
Member since Dec 2010
38865 posts
Posted on 1/31/18 at 12:53 pm to
quote:

The tide is turning.



I agree. I fully expect the Dems to frick this up.
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