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re: Latest Updates: Russia-Ukraine Conflict.

Posted on 9/24/25 at 10:16 pm to
Posted by doubleb
Baton Rouge
Member since Aug 2006
42797 posts
Posted on 9/24/25 at 10:16 pm to
quote:

· Follow Here’s the video of Lindsay Graham and John McCain confirming what I’ve said previously that the Ukraine war with Russia was planned for 2017 after a Hillary victory


The war started in 2014.

When was this video made?
Who was president?
What could Graham and McCain do?
Do you have the entire video?
The video is so short you can’t tell exactly what Graham was talking about.

Posted by John Barron
The Mar-a-Lago Club
Member since Sep 2024
17101 posts
Posted on 9/24/25 at 10:39 pm to
Posted by CitizenK
BR
Member since Aug 2019
16224 posts
Posted on 9/24/25 at 10:57 pm to
Just how well is Russia doing?

On January 7th 2026, this war will have lasted as long than it took for Germany to be defeated after attacking Russia.
Posted by Champagne
Sabine Free State.
Member since Oct 2007
55636 posts
Posted on 9/24/25 at 11:03 pm to
quote:

Just how well is Russia doing?


I get the impression that Russia can keep this war going for another 5 years, at this pace and at this rate. I could be wrong.

I am in favor of helping Ukraine because Russia's invasion is illegal. But, I don't see a path for Ukraine to push Russia back to the borders.
Posted by cypher
Member since Sep 2014
5765 posts
Posted on 9/24/25 at 11:32 pm to
Ukraine battlefield briefings may have shifted Trump's view of Russia's war, WSJ reports

September 25, 2025 5:33 am

U.S. President Donald Trump's recent about-face on Ukraine's ability to defeat Russia followed briefings from American officials on the current battlefield situation and a possible future Ukrainian offensive, the Wall Street Journal (WSJ) reported on Sept. 24.

"I think Ukraine, with the support of the European Union, is in a position to fight and WIN all of Ukraine back in its original form," Trump wrote on his Truth Social platform on Sept. 23., following a meeting with President Volodymyr Zelensky on the sidelines of the U.N. General Assembly.

The statement marked a stunning reversal from Trump, who has repeatedly stressed Russia's military might and prioritized warmer ties with Moscow over aid to Ukraine.

In recent days, U.S. officials have briefed Trump about current battlefield conditions and a planned Ukrainian offensive that would require American intelligence support, the WSJ reported, citing two people familiar with the matter.

These officials reportedly included Special Envoy for Ukraine Keith Kellogg — seen as the administration's strongest advocate for Ukraine — and the recently appointed U.S. Ambassador to the U.N., Mike Waltz.

The briefing emphasized Russia's failure to make significant territorial gains despite mounting large-scale offensives in multiple regions of Ukraine. While Russia has concentrated thousands of troops in eastern Ukraine, Moscow continues to make incremental gains at the cost of staggering personnel losses.

No additional details were provided regarding the planned Ukrainian offensive and the role the U.S. would play in the operation.

Ukraine's last major offensive — the surprise Kursk incursion launched in August 2024 — ended in Kyiv's withdrawal from most of the captured territory after Russia staged a spring counteroffensive with support from North Korean troops.

Ukraine has seen increased success with its long-range strikes against Russia, dealing major blows to Russian oil industry operations and disrupting aviation. Operation Spiderweb, a mass drone strike on Russia's military airfields, reportedly disabled over a dozen heavy bombers and caused billions in damage.

While Trump's comments signal a dramatic shift in rhetoric towards Russia and Ukraine, it is unclear to what extent, if any, U.S. policy will substantively change.

The Kyiv Independent
Posted by VolSquatch
First Coast
Member since Sep 2023
8459 posts
Posted on 9/25/25 at 5:31 am to
quote:

Anyone who wants more governments and more countries to actually exist supports Ukraine. The people in the world like John Barron want a world dominated by the US, Russia, and China, with all other countries essentially subject to one of those three. They very much oppose the true independence of other countries


True independence of other countries is sort of a myth. At the end of the day when the chips are down, everyone answers to one of those three. And one of those three will answer to another one of the three before this war is over.
Posted by VolSquatch
First Coast
Member since Sep 2023
8459 posts
Posted on 9/25/25 at 5:33 am to
quote:

planned Ukrainian offensive


Just one more Ukranian offensive to stop the Russian spread. It'll work this time, we promise.
Posted by No Colors
Sandbar
Member since Sep 2010
13535 posts
Posted on 9/25/25 at 6:00 am to
quote:

Russia has the smallest deficit and the lowest debt by far. Fiscal resilience.


Here's a quick lesson in Money and Banking:

A homeless bum has no debts. Why? Because no one will loan him money.

Elon Musk is the wealthiest man in the world. But he borrows billions against his stock portfolio to fund new ventures. Why does he have so much debt? Because he can. Because the lenders know he cand and will pay them back.

Now do Russia and the US.

Why won't anyone loan Russia money?
Posted by CitizenK
BR
Member since Aug 2019
16224 posts
Posted on 9/25/25 at 6:17 am to
quote:

Elon Musk is the wealthiest man in the world. But he borrows billions against his stock portfolio to fund new ventures. Why does he have so much debt? Because he can. Because the lenders know he cand and will pay them back.


Oil companies have been doing this for decades to pay for oilfield developments. If you think that they spend $1 billion of their own cash to drill exploratory wells and then develop the field in the US Gulf, you are clueless
Posted by VolSquatch
First Coast
Member since Sep 2023
8459 posts
Posted on 9/25/25 at 6:52 am to
quote:

Why won't anyone loan Russia money?


If those numbers are true then it sounds like they don't really need it

I'm sure there would be some willing to loan them money, but at what rate? The number of countries willing is certainly far fewer than it was before 2022, less lending competition usually means higher rates. Obviously there is more of a risk in lending to Russia than there was before the war, but their demographic problems are probably more of a risk than the war is (though some of our lovely posters want to lend to Ukraine who has it even worse than Russia demographically).
Posted by cypher
Member since Sep 2014
5765 posts
Posted on 9/25/25 at 6:53 am to
Crimea fuel shortage update - yesterday he said it would be there by the end of the day.

Gasoline will appear in Crimea in the coming days, says Aksyonov.


AI-95 gasoline will appear in Crimea in the next two days, says Aksyonov.
10:31 25.09.2025 (updated: 11:08 25.09.2025)

SIMFEROPOL, September 25 – RIA Novosti Crimea. Crimean gas stations are scheduled to receive the required amount of AI-95 gasoline within two days, according to the republic's head, Sergei Aksyonov.
According to him, fuel shortages on the peninsula arose due to reduced production at Russian oil refineries. He assured that regional authorities are taking all necessary measures to address the problem.

"We plan to supply gas stations with the required amount of AI-95 gasoline within two days. The issue of AI-92 gasoline availability will be resolved within two weeks. I am in direct contact with federal agencies," Aksyonov wrote on his Telegram channel.

The head of the republic asked Crimeans and guests to be patient.

Several regions of the Russian Federation, including Crimea, have experienced fuel supply disruptions since August. As explained by Yuriy Gotsanyuk, Chairman of the Republic's Council of Ministers, supplies were reduced due to lower production volumes at oil refineries. The Crimean government also cited disruptions in the Kerch ferry service as a reason for the shortage . Authorities urged drivers to avoid creating a rush and assured that "the Crimean government is taking all necessary measures to ensure uninterrupted fuel supplies to the region."

Ria Novosti
Posted by cypher
Member since Sep 2014
5765 posts
Posted on 9/25/25 at 7:02 am to
I don't think this has been mentioned. In addition to the fuel shortage, there is also a severe water shortage in Crimea

AI Overview

A severe water crisis is intensifying in occupied Crimea due to a combination of factors, including long-term mismanagement, drought, and damage to critical water infrastructure
. Reservoir levels are at historic lows, leading to water delivery by tanker trucks to dozens of settlements and significant problems for both residents and agriculture

Key causes of the water shortage

Cutting of the North Crimean Canal: Following Russia's annexation of the peninsula in 2014, Ukraine blocked the North Crimean Canal, which historically supplied 85% of Crimea's fresh water.
Destruction of the Kakhovka Dam: While Russia briefly re-opened the canal after its full-scale invasion in 2022, the destruction of the Kakhovka dam in June 2023 severely reduced the water flowing into the canal, disrupting the supply once again.
Poor infrastructure and mismanagement: Russian authorities have failed to adequately invest in alternative water sources or maintain existing infrastructure. Reports indicate high rates of water loss due to leakages and poor management, further straining the limited supply.
Severe drought and climate change: Natural factors have worsened the crisis. In September 2025, a Russian-installed official reported that the worsening drought had increased the number of settlements requiring water tankers from 32 to 77. Experts predict the climate on the peninsula will continue to become more arid in the coming years.
Militarization and population growth: Since 2014, a significant influx of Russian military personnel and civilians has increased water demand, putting further pressure on the peninsula's limited water resources

Impact on the population

Daily life: Many residents face intermittent water supply, often receiving only a few hours of water every few days, if at all.
Sanitation and health: The water that does come from taps is often dirty, salty, or rust-colored, forcing many to rely on increasingly expensive bottled water. The installation of blue barrels for technical water supply indicates the critical level of the crisis.
Agriculture: The lack of water has decimated the agricultural sector, causing widespread crop failures and production disruptions, and leading to increased soil salinization.
Repression of protests: When residents have protested the lack of water, their demonstrations have been met with harsh suppression by Russian occupation authorities
This post was edited on 9/25/25 at 7:06 am
Posted by No Colors
Sandbar
Member since Sep 2010
13535 posts
Posted on 9/25/25 at 7:23 am to
quote:

it sounds like they don't really need it


The single largest factor restricting their ability to prosecute this war is their ability to effectuate financial transactions in liquid currency to acquire modern military industrial technology. Computer chips. Gyroscopes. Fiber optic cables. Hardened steel artillery tubes. Optical sights. Night vision. Etc etc etc.

They need all the foreign currency loans they can get their hands on. But no one will loan them money. Not at any rate. For three reasons:

1) Because whatever financial institution that underwrote the bonds would be immediately sanctioned and black listed.

2) Because they cant make payments back on the debt using SWIFT

3) They're a shite country run by professional thieves who will probably collapse and get overthrown before the debt matures.

So they don't carry debt for basically the same reasons a bum on the street doesn't carry debt. They're a bad bet.
Posted by doubleb
Baton Rouge
Member since Aug 2006
42797 posts
Posted on 9/25/25 at 7:39 am to
quote:

quote: · Follow Here’s the video of Lindsay Graham and John McCain confirming what I’ve said previously that the Ukraine war with Russia was planned for 2017 after a Hillary victory

The war started in 2014.

When was this video made? Who was president? What could Graham and McCain do? Do you have the entire video? The video is so short you can’t tell exactly what Graham was talking about.


Barron can you answer my questions?
Posted by CitizenK
BR
Member since Aug 2019
16224 posts
Posted on 9/25/25 at 7:41 am to
quote:

Poor infrastructure and mismanagement: Russian authorities have failed to adequately invest in alternative water sources or maintain existing infrastructure. Reports indicate high rates of water loss due to leakages and poor management, further straining the limited supply.


With the same issues with shortage of potable water from Melitopol to Donetsk, Russia is either completely incompetent or DGAF.
Posted by CitizenK
BR
Member since Aug 2019
16224 posts
Posted on 9/25/25 at 8:27 am to
Don't forget that in 2015, Russia violated Turkish airspace. Turkey warned Russia that it would shoot down any Russian violations. Russia violated that airspace again so Turkey shot own a Russian fighter. Russia never violated that airspace again.
Posted by CitizenK
BR
Member since Aug 2019
16224 posts
Posted on 9/25/25 at 8:33 am to
quote:

Severe drought and climate change: Natural factors have worsened the crisis. In September 2025, a Russian-installed official reported that the worsening drought had increased the number of settlements requiring water tankers from 32 to 77. Experts predict the climate on the peninsula will continue to become more arid in the coming years.


Rainfall is not that less than normal if at all this year. Crimea is pretty much desert terrain with less average rainfall that the high desert in western New Mexico. Natural factors have always been bad for water in Crimea. That is why the large canal from the Dnipro was built.
Posted by VolSquatch
First Coast
Member since Sep 2023
8459 posts
Posted on 9/25/25 at 8:36 am to
quote:

When was this video made?
Who was president?


Speaking to Azov Battalion in 2016, Obama would have been President

quote:

What could Graham and McCain do?



Both had/have an outsized influence on politics. Hard to say exactly.
Posted by LSURussian
Member since Feb 2005
135115 posts
Posted on 9/25/25 at 8:47 am to
quote:

Barron can you answer my questions?
Only if he can find an X post that answers them that he can copy and paste.
Posted by CitizenK
BR
Member since Aug 2019
16224 posts
Posted on 9/25/25 at 9:14 am to
Solovyov admits the gas lines and bemoans not enough air defense and no breakthroughs. What will JB reply with now/

quote:

LINK
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