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re: Kalshi: Democrats odds to control the Senate decrease
Posted on 11/3/26 at 3:48 pm to RLDSC FAN
Posted on 11/3/26 at 3:48 pm to RLDSC FAN
Too me it just looked like a lot of "scrubbing bubbles" moving in circles, but really not moving at all.
I can't wait until the real results start coming in tonight.
I can't wait until the real results start coming in tonight.
Posted on 11/3/26 at 3:49 pm to TigerDCC11
This is before the 2am ballot dump in all the key states yall!
Posted on 11/3/26 at 3:57 pm to RLDSC FAN
I still think it’s funny people who bank on the prediction markets like they think they’re a legit indicator.
Posted on 11/3/26 at 3:58 pm to FLTech
Only hours left for you
Posted on 11/3/26 at 3:58 pm to DeBoar
quote:
I still think it’s funny people who bank on the prediction markets like they think they’re a legit indicator.
So dumb ... Bottoms is 71 cents, Jackson is 29 cents ...
Jackson wins by 3 points, minimum ...
Only reason Ossoff keeps winning are AWFLs ...
His opponent should have a run a "He's not gonna sleep with you" ad ...
This post was edited on 11/3/26 at 3:59 pm
Posted on 11/3/26 at 3:59 pm to OWLFAN86
Is it a full site ban bet or just here?
Posted on 11/3/26 at 4:01 pm to BasedAF
Posted on 11/3/26 at 4:03 pm to OWLFAN86
Ok. Congrats in advance
This post was edited on 11/3/26 at 4:12 pm
Posted on 11/3/26 at 4:05 pm to RLDSC FAN
Votes do not change much... It is all a matter of turnout. You can look at turnout by district and pretty easily project an election.
Posted on 11/3/26 at 4:05 pm to DeBoar
quote:
I still think it’s funny people who bank on the prediction markets like they think they’re a legit indicator.
The polls and the prediction markets are not worth much.
But unfortunately there is nothing else to talk about when there is a waiting game happening today….
Posted on 11/3/26 at 4:06 pm to Deadmanshand
Loading Twitter/X Embed...
If tweet fails to load, click here. quote:
Ohio Election Day Vote Update 2: Since the first update I gave, the election day votes have only grown in more Republican precincts (except for Clark). You can see this in the first image.
In the second image you can see the overall change of the early vote and election day vote compared to 2024 for these counties.
What this means is that if all votes were the exact same, with the current makeup of the voting so far (with some election day vote to go which seems like it will shift more R) would end up the same in these counties as the elections in 2024 with the addition of the overall movement in the Democrat precincts.
Bottom line: overall vote make up is only 1% give or take right now in these counties than 2024.
We know that there are likely to have shifts in voter preferences too, so we need to see how that ends up once the votes drop. These are also only a few of the counties in Ohio.
Posted on 11/3/26 at 4:07 pm to OWLFAN86
OWL… you’ve not flinched or hedged at all…
Impressive
Impressive
Posted on 11/3/26 at 4:07 pm to RLDSC FAN
People will start cashing out their stock when the polls start closing
Posted on 11/3/26 at 4:08 pm to Midget Death Squad
Bingo if he goes one way only means the lower side will get out to vote etc.. Common sense. That is how all polls have thru the years too..
Posted on 11/3/26 at 4:09 pm to RLDSC FAN
Kalshi has zero math behind it from what I understand. It’s just random people wagering.
Posted on 11/3/26 at 4:09 pm to Jwho77
Posted on 11/3/26 at 4:09 pm to TigerDCC11
Talarico is still a massive favorite there.
Posted on 11/3/26 at 4:32 pm to Sleepy_Tiger
lol, so true of all of us. This is the place you can get into an argument with someone who is on the same side as you.
Posted on 11/3/26 at 4:35 pm to RLDSC FAN
You don't say...
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