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Institute for the Study of War with an interesting take on where things stand with Iran

Posted on 5/21/26 at 8:15 pm
Posted by joshnorris14
Florida
Member since Jan 2009
47030 posts
Posted on 5/21/26 at 8:15 pm


Key points:

-Iran has not yet responded to US.

-Iranians are divided on nuclear concessions including enrichment and their existing nuclear stockpile.

-Iran believes it has won the war and are united in Straight of Hormuz acquisition demand.

-China and Russia are assisting with Iran with development/replenishment of drones and missiles.

Posted by Champagne
Sabine Free State.
Member since Oct 2007
55351 posts
Posted on 5/21/26 at 8:21 pm to
If the IRGC is currently receiving military and economic assistance from both China and Russia, then, IMHO the IRGC's plan is to feign negotiation and fake out Trump while Iran rebuilds its drone attack fleet.
Posted by Sweep Da Leg
Member since Sep 2013
3723 posts
Posted on 5/21/26 at 8:21 pm to
Cool another globalist Marxist organization trying to control narrative. Next do military times or go full idiot and do un
Posted by 03GeeTee
Oklahomastan
Member since Oct 2010
3425 posts
Posted on 5/21/26 at 8:41 pm to
Russia has their hands full at the moment. I seriously doubt they are able to give very much material support to rebuilding Iran's drones when Russia needs all the drones they can get themselves.
Posted by roadGator
DeBoar’s dome
Member since Feb 2009
158011 posts
Posted on 5/21/26 at 8:43 pm to
quote:

China and Russia are assisting with Iran with development/replenishment of drones and missiles.


Didn’t we just negotiate financial deals with China?

Ugh
Posted by rebeloke
Member since Nov 2012
17285 posts
Posted on 5/21/26 at 8:53 pm to
War is necessary when two sides find the terms unacceptable.
Posted by SoFlaGuy
Fort Lauderdale
Member since Apr 2020
3226 posts
Posted on 5/21/26 at 9:07 pm to
quote:

IMHO the IRGC's plan is to feign negotiation and fake out Trump while Iran rebuilds its drone attack fleet.


Well, their first round “now being rebuilt” didn’t do too well.
Posted by Drizzt
Cimmeria
Member since Aug 2013
14903 posts
Posted on 5/21/26 at 9:42 pm to
1. Iran got their shite pushed in. Anyone saying they won anything is a complete moron.

2. Why is anyone surprised Russia is helping Iran when the US has been helping the Ukrainians for years with targeting assets in Russia?
Posted by Champagne
Sabine Free State.
Member since Oct 2007
55351 posts
Posted on 5/21/26 at 10:20 pm to
Yes, Iran took a severe beating.

But, as we know from Military History - you cannot conquer a country the size of Iran by using Air Power and only Air Power.

We have a Naval Blockade in place, but, we have no Naval forces in the Caspian Sea, so, we don't have a total Naval Blockade of Iran. Iran has ports on the Caspian Sea and they use those ports to trade with Russia.

We can use Air Power to "blockade" those ports but I don't know how effective or feasible that might be.
Posted by LafTiger
Member since Dec 2008
1679 posts
Posted on 5/21/26 at 10:25 pm to
I'm tryin to figure out what's interesting about this.

It's straightforward and not surprising.

Iran in internal struggle, trying to hold on to nukes and Hormuz.
Posted by DeafVallyBatnR
Member since Sep 2004
18926 posts
Posted on 5/21/26 at 11:06 pm to
Tape the terms to missiles and send them over for signature
Posted by Riverside
Member since Jul 2022
10856 posts
Posted on 5/21/26 at 11:08 pm to
Liberal think tank spreads liberal propaganda.
Posted by sta4ever
Member since Aug 2014
17674 posts
Posted on 5/21/26 at 11:35 pm to
quote:

2. Why is anyone surprised Russia is helping Iran when the US has been helping the Ukrainians for years with targeting assets in Russia?


Russia’s been helping Iran for years, long before the Ukraine-Russia War started.
Posted by Narax
Member since Jan 2023
7971 posts
Posted on 5/22/26 at 12:10 am to
Yup, China and Russia want to turn Iran into Ukraine.
Posted by Tunasntigers92
The Boot
Member since Sep 2014
28113 posts
Posted on 5/22/26 at 12:22 am to
Trump said one more day
Posted by RFK
Mar-a-Lago
Member since May 2012
3185 posts
Posted on 5/22/26 at 12:23 am to
Trump has been made an absolute fool by Iran. He should have bomber them weeks ago like he promised but held off because “they wanted to negotiate.”

:taco:
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