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Posted on 8/27/20 at 11:58 am to Rex Feral
quote:
quote:
Minny could
They haven't gone red in our lifetimes. Hell, they even voted for Carter against Reagan
polling is closer there than many other state Trump won 4 years ago. Most polls are showing MN tighter than AZ, FL, WI, MI, PA, & NC. According to the polls, he'd win MN before any of those other states in a re-election scenario.
Posted on 8/27/20 at 11:59 am to goofball
Trump winning NY is a stretch but not that much of one. Manhattan is a dump and wasteland right now. They are fed up and Trump is "one of them". It could happen (not likely but could).
Truthfully this will either be a Trump landslide (something along the lines of Reagan/Mondale) or a Biden landslide.
I don't see a tight race.
Truthfully this will either be a Trump landslide (something along the lines of Reagan/Mondale) or a Biden landslide.
I don't see a tight race.
This post was edited on 8/27/20 at 12:01 pm
Posted on 8/27/20 at 11:59 am to goofball
quote:
How realistic is this electoral map?
Very
Posted on 8/27/20 at 12:01 pm to goofball
Pure BS - Trump is not winning NY, Nevada or Minnesota. He will only win maybe 1 of the states of Michigan, Pa or Wisconsin.
Posted on 8/27/20 at 12:04 pm to goofball
There is no chance Trump wins NY or any of the New England states. He isn't getting Hawaii or Minnesota either. I think the rest is realistic.
Posted on 8/27/20 at 12:09 pm to VADawg
I love that map but it isn’t realistic. Hillary had 4.5M votes to Trumps 2.8M in NY
This post was edited on 8/27/20 at 12:15 pm
Posted on 8/27/20 at 12:10 pm to LSUFootballLover
quote:
Hillary has 4.5M votes to Trumps 2.8M in NY
It's not the same NY as in 2016; NY is in play
Posted on 8/27/20 at 12:21 pm to FlyingTiger1955
quote:
Pure BS - Trump is not winning NY, Nevada or Minnesota
Minnesota was very tight in '16. I don't know why y'all are making it out to be this Democratic redoubt in '20, especially with the rioting that started in Minneapolis. That will significantly hurt Biden's margins in the suburbs there.
Posted on 8/27/20 at 12:38 pm to GumboPot
quote:
To win those are Trump's worst and best cases.
GLee has done well with those map scenarios, but Trump’s worst case scenario ends in a loss.
Posted on 8/27/20 at 12:40 pm to timdonaghyswhistle
quote:
Don't see NV and NM going red without CO.
Swap those and also NY will go blue and then the rest is at least possible
NY going red before NH
This post was edited on 8/27/20 at 12:42 pm
Posted on 8/27/20 at 12:42 pm to bayoubengals88
This is unlikely, but I would say that this is Trump’s worst case scenario.
I would not feel confident saying that Trump’s worst case scenario is a narrow win.

I would not feel confident saying that Trump’s worst case scenario is a narrow win.
Posted on 8/27/20 at 12:48 pm to bayoubengals88
quote:
I would not feel comfortable saying Trump's worst case is a narrow in
No, I was saying that's his worst case that still has him getting to 270 EV's (i.e. those are his easiest 270 EV's). Worst case (of all scenarios, including Trump losing the election) would be:
This post was edited on 8/27/20 at 12:49 pm
Posted on 8/27/20 at 12:51 pm to TigersSEC2010
The map is absurd. Trump isn't going to win New York any more than Biden is going to win Oklahoma.
Posted on 8/27/20 at 12:54 pm to goofball
probably about as reliable as 538s simulations that have Biden winning MS and AL
Posted on 8/27/20 at 2:00 pm to goofball
Probably a little much, but one that stands out to me is New Hampshire. I don't remember the difference there in 2016, but it was damn close, and Trump could take that state.
Posted on 8/27/20 at 2:02 pm to goofball
Hawaii isn't going red, but the rest of it "could" happen. The Deep State is desperate, and people are waking up.
I honestly think President Trump could win at least 40 states.
I honestly think President Trump could win at least 40 states.
Posted on 8/27/20 at 2:03 pm to KCT
Some Trump voters, quite seriously, are as guilty of overconfidence as Hillary voters were four years ago. Trump winning New York? Trump carrying 40 states?
Let's be honest, this is as nonsensical as those who were predicting a Hillary landslide.
Let's be honest, this is as nonsensical as those who were predicting a Hillary landslide.
Posted on 8/27/20 at 2:13 pm to AnyonebutSteelers
538 is currently projecting what I think is the worst case scenario for Trump... losing all the blue shaded states up through AZ. Best case scenario IMO is Trump winning all the states up through Maine. Colorado and Virginia are too far gone.


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