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re: How realistic is this electoral map?
Posted on 8/27/20 at 10:41 am to goofball
Posted on 8/27/20 at 10:41 am to goofball
Flip NY, NM and NV to blue and that’s what I actually think the map will be. I think Trump will win 322-216 with an outside chance of NH going red.
ETA: Actually Hawaii will stay blue as well so if NH flips red, it’ll be 322-216 but I’ll officially predict 318-220.
ETA: Actually Hawaii will stay blue as well so if NH flips red, it’ll be 322-216 but I’ll officially predict 318-220.
This post was edited on 8/27/20 at 10:44 am
Posted on 8/27/20 at 10:41 am to goofball
NH should go Trump.
NY state will not be able to tip the scale of NYC dims.
There will prolly be a couple more blues but I couldn’t guess which ones.
All in all though, I really believe the chance of winning is closer to 99% (especially if the election were held today) and that the Electoral vote will certainly approach landslide territory...
NY state will not be able to tip the scale of NYC dims.
There will prolly be a couple more blues but I couldn’t guess which ones.
All in all though, I really believe the chance of winning is closer to 99% (especially if the election were held today) and that the Electoral vote will certainly approach landslide territory...
Posted on 8/27/20 at 10:43 am to TigersSEC2010
Guess no one is paying attention but NYC is a ghost town. New York is going red.
Posted on 8/27/20 at 10:46 am to vl100butch
quote:
with all of de blasio's antics in NYC, i could actually see NY flipping due to reduction of the NYC vote and heavy upstate R voting...
Are left leaning or right leaning people leaving the city?
I spoke to a buddy of mine that lives across the river in Jersey the other day in Jersey. He's Asian and sort of conservative, but even he said he thinks DeBlasio and Cuomo are getting a bad wrap a bit.
Posted on 8/27/20 at 10:47 am to broadhead
LOL. You'd have to be on Meth to think that scenario would play out in November. New Mexico and Nevada are definitely going to Biden for starters. New York, Pennsylvania, and Michigan are going to Biden as well. Sheesh, that guy is clueless.
This post was edited on 8/27/20 at 10:49 am
Posted on 8/27/20 at 10:54 am to goofball
It’s going to be similar to when RR won, but not that many electoral votes.
Posted on 8/27/20 at 10:57 am to goofball
Anyone believing this map is delusional.
Posted on 8/27/20 at 11:02 am to GeorgeWest
quote:
New Mexico and Nevada are definitely going to Biden for starters. New York, Pennsylvania, and Michigan are going to Biden as well.
Why would Pennsylvania & Michigan definitely go for Biden? I’m curious to hear your reasoning.
Posted on 8/27/20 at 11:03 am to goofball
I think this is more reasonable:
![](https://i.postimg.cc/PfbQznMb/Capture.png)
![](https://i.postimg.cc/PfbQznMb/Capture.png)
Posted on 8/27/20 at 11:04 am to goofball
NY and NM will never go red
Posted on 8/27/20 at 11:05 am to Nigel Farage
Trump's easiest path to 270:
If there's a Trump landslide, this is probably the highest EV total:
![](https://www.270towin.com/map-images/47x3Z)
If there's a Trump landslide, this is probably the highest EV total:
Posted on 8/27/20 at 11:08 am to GeneralLee
quote:
GeneralLee
I agree with those maps.
To win those are Trump's worst and best cases. My map was right in the middle of your worst and best cases.
Posted on 8/27/20 at 11:09 am to i am dan
quote:
Hawaii
I was in HI recently and was surprised with the amount of MAGA gear I saw.
I still think HI will be blue but think it will be very close.
Posted on 8/27/20 at 11:09 am to GeorgeWest
Nevada is held hostage by the unions
Posted on 8/27/20 at 11:14 am to Knight of Old
NH was 2700 votes shy of being red in 2016
Posted on 8/27/20 at 11:16 am to GumboPot
quote:
To win those are Trump's worst and best cases. My map was right in the middle of your worst and best cases.
I think Trump has maybe a 1 in 4 chance of peeling off VA in a landslide. But NOVA is just so inundated with government workers that I think VA is lost forever.
Posted on 8/27/20 at 11:17 am to Hamma1122
Sante Fe is loaded with gays and artists ...Doubt it goes red.
Posted on 8/27/20 at 11:19 am to goofball
Y'all are smoking crack if you think the state of New York is going red.
The poli board: "The media has everyone brainwashed. Fake news rules the day. Feels > reals."
Also the poli board: "People are waking up! Just watch!"
The poli board: "The media has everyone brainwashed. Fake news rules the day. Feels > reals."
Also the poli board: "People are waking up! Just watch!"
This post was edited on 8/27/20 at 11:21 am
Posted on 8/27/20 at 11:23 am to goofball
quote:.. . .. enough said
goofball
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