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re: How realistic is this electoral map?
Posted on 8/27/20 at 2:15 pm to Who_Dat_Tiger
Posted on 8/27/20 at 2:15 pm to Who_Dat_Tiger
Well put.
0
Posted on 8/27/20 at 2:15 pm to goofball
New Mexico and New York will never go red in November, and Nevada should be blue due to mail-in ballots.
Minnesota is a stretch, but still possible.
Minnesota is a stretch, but still possible.
Posted on 8/27/20 at 2:32 pm to GeneralLee
Past history says Minnesota is a Democratic State. It also has a history of election shenanigans. Maybe the Dems don’t show up to vote, but these people have traditionally been extremely liberal. It is difficult to overcome years of conditioning.it may be close again, but I just don’t see it turning red.
Posted on 8/27/20 at 2:35 pm to goofball
Only way Trump wins NY is if there is terrible turnout in the NYC metro and no state wide mail in voting.
Posted on 8/27/20 at 2:35 pm to goofball
quote:
How realistic is this electoral map?
Delusional.
Posted on 8/27/20 at 2:43 pm to honeybadger07
quote:
Besides NY, all else looks legit.
NY may surprise us....Cuomo and his nursing home genocide and De Blasio royally fricking up the future of NYC. He said this week indoor dining in the city will open again soon....2021 soon hahahaha
Imagine the gratification you could have to see NY going red and seeing the reaction of Cuomo and de Blasio.....I get chubs just thinking about it!
He's not winning NY or Hawaii. It MAY be slightly closer than 2016, but he's not erasing a 20 point gap in those states from 4 years ago.
New Mexico is interesting. He lost relatively big there in 2018 (8 points). But former NM Governor, Gary Johnson got 9% of the vote. With Gary not in this race, how much of that 9% flips to Trump? (I think perhaps 4%-5%). That would tighten things significantly he he can flip some HRC voters.
Also, while I don't think he'll win it, Oregon might be interesting to watch. HRC only won by 10%. While that is still a pretty large margin of victory, it was the smallest margin of the West Coast states (CA, WA, HI). Portland is as liberal and looney as it gets. But I suspect there might be more than just a few people in and around the are fed up with the shite going on there.
Posted on 8/27/20 at 2:46 pm to goofball
I think the magnitude of victory is possible but some of the states are mixed up. He barely lost New Hampshire last time but he’s more likely to win New York? Lol ok
Posted on 8/27/20 at 2:52 pm to goofball
Posted on 8/27/20 at 2:56 pm to kingbob
quote:
Nevada should be blue due to mail-in ballots.
Yep, I predict Nevada will have a record turnout. They’re not even trying to hide it.
Posted on 8/27/20 at 3:02 pm to goofball
I don't see him flipping NY ,but the rest I can see.
Posted on 8/27/20 at 3:45 pm to goofball
Norpoth creating model that’s predicted 5 of last 6 correctly, including Trump in ‘16
Bank it
Bank it
Posted on 8/27/20 at 3:45 pm to goofball
Now way Hawaii goes with Trump..
Posted on 8/27/20 at 3:57 pm to Little Trump
quote:
Norpoth creating model that’s predicted 5 of last 6 correctly, including Trump in ‘16
Bank it
It's about to be 5 out of 7 correctly.
Posted on 8/27/20 at 6:30 pm to AnyonebutSteelers
Typical Austinite!
Tuck Fexas!
Tuck Fexas!
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