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re: Geopolitical Analyst: China has 10 yrs left...

Posted on 1/7/23 at 5:55 pm to
Posted by AlaTiger
America
Member since Aug 2006
21610 posts
Posted on 1/7/23 at 5:55 pm to
8-10 years ago when we saw these ghost cities popping up all over China, you knew something was seriously wrong. That doesn’t happen in a healthy or growing economy.
Posted by lsu13lsu
Member since Jan 2008
11769 posts
Posted on 1/7/23 at 5:56 pm to
Our politicians will do their very best to ensure China is better off than us.
Posted by CFDoc
Member since Jan 2013
2256 posts
Posted on 1/7/23 at 6:02 pm to
Exactly why China is planning to take over high GDP per capita nations near them by force.

They might be communists but they ain’t stupid.
Posted by BamaScoop
Panama City Beach, Florida
Member since May 2007
56783 posts
Posted on 1/7/23 at 6:04 pm to
China has been around for 2000 years and they are going nowhere, we on the other hand may not make it 5 more years.
Posted by ScottFowler
NE Ohio
Member since Sep 2012
4609 posts
Posted on 1/7/23 at 6:10 pm to
We are struggling now to fill our jobs with the baby boomers retiring. Everyone here has experienced this since Covid.

And that is with our millennials. They are crazy & lazy to a large extent, but they exist...

Zeihan is correct. China ain't got millennials.
And China is not importing new citizens (unlike USA and Europe).

China is doomed.
India however...
Posted by Bulldogblitz
In my house
Member since Dec 2018
28158 posts
Posted on 1/7/23 at 6:11 pm to
quote:

India however...


Please give them something to do other than call centers. Holy hell
Posted by Tantal
Member since Sep 2012
19257 posts
Posted on 1/7/23 at 6:12 pm to
quote:

The 3rd world is also about to collapse.

Democrats will let them all come here.
Posted by blueboy
Member since Apr 2006
63451 posts
Posted on 1/7/23 at 6:15 pm to
quote:

They ain’t the only ones. Looking at you, Scandinavia. Your population pyramid is NOT looking very promising for the next 20 years.

Explain to me why this is a problem for anyone but the rich ruling class whose business models require constant growth?

The population thing is such a lie. No one is going to cease to exist.
Posted by Mbeloso
Gonzales
Member since Dec 2019
698 posts
Posted on 1/7/23 at 6:17 pm to
In the next five years China we no longer be a communist country but will become a set states within mainland China.
Posted by wutangfinancial
Treasure Valley
Member since Sep 2015
11889 posts
Posted on 1/7/23 at 6:22 pm to
From the Xi’s perspective what difference does it make if you’re the US or North Korea if you’re in power?
Posted by LSUSkip
Central, LA
Member since Jul 2012
24717 posts
Posted on 1/7/23 at 6:24 pm to
quote:

The people are doing a lot of the heavy lifting already by migrating to states with like minded individuals.


Last chance to get good leadership in Louisiana.
Posted by METAL
Member since Nov 2020
1611 posts
Posted on 1/7/23 at 6:32 pm to
This guy and the people he works with are why I firmly believe Mexico will be the super power come year 2100 or so.
Posted by BurntOrangeMan
Dallas TX
Member since May 2021
5628 posts
Posted on 1/7/23 at 8:11 pm to
quote:

This guy isn't very smart. Large macro trends take several decades to play out. "China is going away in a decade". No, they are not.


Or he's a well paid & placed influencer, but yes I agree.. China ain't going anywhere anytime soon.
Posted by CAPEX
Member since Dec 2022
918 posts
Posted on 1/7/23 at 8:50 pm to
Because the entire economy is based on population growth.

Everything from stock market growth to having enough money to run government services depends on the population growing.

If you have a population that is declining, that means your population is ageing and that's a pretty big problem. Across most of the Western world, the population is getting older which means fewer tax payers and more dependents.

It's why governments rely on immigration but even that can't stop the population from ageing.
Posted by GoldenGuy
Member since Oct 2015
12754 posts
Posted on 1/7/23 at 8:53 pm to
Ironically, if they let Covid run ham, it will do a lot of work for them.

50 and under live
60+ die
Posted by CPTDCKHD
Member since Sep 2019
1487 posts
Posted on 1/7/23 at 8:56 pm to
Well, I’m pretty sure chyna is aware. And, they’re not going down alone- if they can help it. We may very well be in the beginning of the end times.
Posted by omegaman66
greenwell springs
Member since Oct 2007
26378 posts
Posted on 1/7/23 at 8:59 pm to
quote:

The end of 'globalism' will come in the next decade, according to Peter Zaihan. The 3rd world is also about to collapse.


It doesn't end quite the way he things though. These situations invariably end in war as the alternative to internal collapse.
Posted by JJJimmyJimJames
Southern States
Member since May 2020
18496 posts
Posted on 1/7/23 at 9:06 pm to
I believe a collapse of China starts in 10 years and continues indefinitely.

This should put them in a position to KNOW they cant start wars.

This marks the beginning of HUGE changes in the world.

Hopefully the bankers and other nefarious elements will find collapse too. World is controlled by criminal presently

Key to success in this new world is who can maintain the most supply chains of important products - international supply chains will not be as available
Posted by WinnPtiger
Fort Worth
Member since Mar 2011
24962 posts
Posted on 1/7/23 at 9:39 pm to
quote:

They ain’t the only ones. Looking at you, Scandinavia. Your population pyramid is NOT looking very promising for the next 20 years.


the main difference is Scandinavia can pull the reins back if necessary. China has been completely fabricating their economic numbers for 50 years now, and it’s finally catching up. they’ve been building “communities” and then literally blowing them up over and over to simulate growth, or even just the status quo

that’s why they’re so aggressive with stealing intellectual property. they make a lot of shite with slave labor, but the propriety models they make it with are almost exclusively western, and for as good as they are at math, they struggle to reverse engineer the most basic things we do. the only thing that can save the current China model is a crash in semiconductors. but we would invade before that happened
Posted by GREENHEAD22
Member since Nov 2009
20606 posts
Posted on 1/7/23 at 9:43 pm to
I am too tired to go into detail but it is one if the reasons they are in Africa. They have been shipping a lot of their young males to the dark continent to give it some yellow flavor.
This post was edited on 1/7/23 at 9:45 pm
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