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Started By
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re: Florida Early Voting Tracking Thread (GOP with a comfortable lead) 10/21 UPDATED
Posted on 10/21/20 at 8:48 am to igoringa
Posted on 10/21/20 at 8:48 am to igoringa
quote:
Repubs were higher mail in vote in 16 by 69k votes. Ris down 500k in vote by mail this year (returned) with another 300k deficit of request but not return.
Well that doesn’t sound good.
0
Posted on 10/21/20 at 8:48 am to BamaGradinTn
quote:
Sure, everything you say may be true.
It doesn't change the fact that the OP completely misread the info he posted. The GOP does not have a
lead right now. Period.
You are bad at this. Take a lap.
Posted on 10/21/20 at 8:50 am to BamaGradinTn
Dems ALWAYS lead early voting, in any state, in any race. It is not about if they are winning, it is by what margin they are winning.
Posted on 10/21/20 at 8:52 am to Quidam65
quote:
Miami-Dade (like Broward and Palm Beach) is majority Democrat (though with the Cuban and Venezuelan populations has a strong GOP base).
Miam-Dade in 2016- Clinton, 63% and Trump 34%. I think it will be a lot closer this go-round which spells trouble for the Dems.
Posted on 10/21/20 at 8:56 am to Bunyan
quote:
Miami-Dade:
Rep: 31,799
Dem: 35,383
Cubans DESPISE communism, and they are right to.
Posted on 10/21/20 at 8:57 am to joshnorris14
Here are the totals for voters who requested a mail-in ballot, but have not yet voted and returned them:
Vote-by-Mail Provided (Not Yet Returned)
Republican 926,699
Democrat 1,203,033
Other 44,335
No Party 726,000
Vote-by-Mail Provided (Not Yet Returned)
Republican 926,699
Democrat 1,203,033
Other 44,335
No Party 726,000
Posted on 10/21/20 at 9:01 am to Covingtontiger77
quote:
The Dems need a min of a 650,000 “Cushion” to feel good about where they are related to Florida going into NOV 3rd.
Not doubting this is true, but (1) is there consensus on this from campaign experts (not some random twitter guy) and (2) aren't they almost there two weeks out?
If Trump loses Florida, it will be a Biden landslide.
Posted on 10/21/20 at 9:01 am to joshnorris14
Basically, Dems need to be about 650k (total between in person and mail in) ahead in early voting to have a shot to win given GOP advantage expected on Election Day. Dems are about 200k short of that right now, and that number may grow as 15 GOP counties start early voting next week. The au ng user on twitter has lots of good info on this.
Posted on 10/21/20 at 9:08 am to Quidam65
quote:
Are there that many Republicans who plan to vote for Biden, or is it more likely to have Democrats who plan to vote for Trump?
I don’t think this has an easy answer, and I worry it’s not going the way we want it to.
There are many uninformed Never Trumpers who won’t vote Trump because he’s a meanie head.
I can see Dems breaking for Trump with black and Hispanic voters; however, any one fogged with left wing ideology will no doubt vote against Trump.
This election is going to reveal one of two things if Trump loses:
1) Voters are uninformed on issues that matter for the prosperity of our nation
2) Massive cheating occurs in our elections
Posted on 10/21/20 at 9:09 am to BamaGradinTn
quote:
It doesn't change the fact that the OP completely misread the info he posted. The GOP does not have a
lead right now. Period.
Incorrect. He did not mention Vote-by-mail. He only mentioned early voting. Those are two different things.
R’s are ahead in early voting.
D’s are ahead in mail in voting.
He was merely describing the first, which he is not wrong about.
Posted on 10/21/20 at 9:10 am to joshnorris14
Starting to make sense why Biden doesn't feel the need to leave his basement. He knows its fricking over.
Same reason Trump has a big fricking smile on his face these days.
Same reason Trump has a big fricking smile on his face these days.
Posted on 10/21/20 at 9:12 am to joshnorris14
What % of those dems are voting for Trump?
Posted on 10/21/20 at 2:52 pm to Langland
Following.
And I will say the title is misleading as fack.
And I will say the title is misleading as fack.
Posted on 10/21/20 at 2:58 pm to BamaGradinTn
quote:dems have spent months telling us it isn’t safe to vote in person. This is likely just a shift from them voting in person to voting by mail
And at the drive by downvotes. Hey pal, whoever it was, why don't you actually make an argument? The OP's link actually shows the GOP down about 500,000 votes.
Republicans aren’t scared and will vote in person
This post was edited on 10/21/20 at 2:58 pm
Posted on 10/21/20 at 2:59 pm to Pelican fan99
I'm worried about that 650k number from Larry S. I think that holds in a normal year, but expect to see election day turnout down across the board this year as more people vote early or by mail.
Posted on 10/21/20 at 3:00 pm to Clemsontigers02
quote:
Larry Schweikart
@LarrySchweikart
FL:
"Run it up Herman!"
Rs in-person lead grows to 81,200
Posted on 10/21/20 at 3:05 pm to Janky
Let me add, that as a Florida voter, R’s who traditionally vote by mail for convenience do not trust the USPS. I believe you will see record low mail-in voting and a huge surge in in-person voting. My parents, for example, live in FL and have a place in NJ for the Summer and Fall. They usually vote absentee but made a special trip to be here to vote in person this year.
Posted on 10/21/20 at 3:07 pm to Bunyan
quote:
Rep: 31,799
Dem: 35,383
Holding back all of those dead votes for Biden until the 11th hour.
Posted on 10/21/20 at 3:11 pm to LSUAlum2001
If the Miami/Dade numbers stay like they are then it will be over quickly. With the recent parades there, I don't see why they shouldn't.
Posted on 10/22/20 at 7:42 am to joshnorris14
Updated
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