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Florida better not get too complacent. Vindman pulled ahead for Rubio's seat

Posted on 5/19/26 at 9:49 am
Posted by stout
Porte du Lafitte
Member since Sep 2006
182542 posts
Posted on 5/19/26 at 9:49 am
Posted by KCT
Psalm 23:5
Member since Feb 2010
50077 posts
Posted on 5/19/26 at 9:50 am to
Worst news I've heard all day.
Posted by TideSaint
Hill Country
Member since Sep 2008
84592 posts
Posted on 5/19/26 at 9:51 am to
Not gonna happen.
Posted by Django Unchained
Member since Sep 2025
930 posts
Posted on 5/19/26 at 9:51 am to
I really appreciate you Stout… but that poll is 100% bullshlt.

It’s designed to demoralize Republicans and excite Democrats.

Hell, I think Florida may be more red than Texas!
Posted by tide06
Member since Oct 2011
23398 posts
Posted on 5/19/26 at 9:52 am to
That poll is absolute fake news.

There is zero chance a democrat wins a US senate seat in FL in 2026.

Donalds is projected to win the governor seat by 6-11 points and you think some leftist democrat who hates Trump is gonna win the senate seat?

No.

Every other poll has the GOP candidate up outside the margin for error with some showing it in double digits.
This post was edited on 5/19/26 at 9:54 am
Posted by jlnoles79
Member since Jan 2014
14479 posts
Posted on 5/19/26 at 9:54 am to
The Dems won't win

Our issue will be former Dems that have switched parties just to get elected
Posted by Gifman
Clearwater Beach, FL
Member since Jan 2021
18915 posts
Posted on 5/19/26 at 9:54 am to
This is a fake poll. Vindman is an absolute loon.
Posted by scrooster
Resident Ethicist
Member since Jul 2012
43930 posts
Posted on 5/19/26 at 9:55 am to
quote:

Alex Vindman is challenging incumbent Republican Senator Ashley Moody in Florida’s 2026 U.S. Senate election, with recent polling showing a highly competitive race. Vindman, a retired Army lieutenant colonel and former National Security Council official who testified in President Trump’s first impeachment, is the leading Democratic fundraiser and faces state Rep. Angie Nixon in the primary.

Polling trends indicate a tightening race, with a Change Research survey released on May 19, 2026 showing Vindman leading Moody 47% to 45%, marking a shift from earlier polls where Moody held a consistent lead.

Previous surveys from April and May showed Moody ahead by margins ranging from 3 to 7 points, including a Stetson University poll with Moody at 49% and Vindman at 42%. Despite Moody’s incumbency and higher cash on hand ($7.3 million vs. Vindman’s $6.4 million), Vindman raised $8.2 million in Q1 2026, signaling strong campaign momentum.

Key dynamics include:

Vindman’s national profile and fundraising strength.

Moody’s vulnerability among independents and women voters.

A large share of undecided voters, especially among independents (up to 44% in some polls).

Campaigns focusing on cost of living, leadership, and ties to Trump.

The race is widely seen as one of the most competitive Senate contests in a traditionally Republican-leaning state.
Posted by Pettifogger
I don't really care, Margaret
Member since Feb 2012
87384 posts
Posted on 5/19/26 at 9:57 am to
I'd really love to be wrong but I think we're in for a really bad cycle. No predictions about specific outcomes or control, but just a lot of deflating, "I can't believe I share a town/state with people who would vote for this" outcomes.

Unfortunately I think there is a good chance that starts tonight with the GA Supreme Court.
Posted by DesScorp
Alabama
Member since Sep 2017
10321 posts
Posted on 5/19/26 at 9:58 am to
Yeah, were gonna circle back to “Election Time” when the results have finished. I suspect you're going to see that its a fake-arse astroturfing site.
Posted by Lsuhoohoo
Member since Sep 2007
102333 posts
Posted on 5/19/26 at 9:58 am to
quote:

Donalds is projected to win the governor seat by 6-11 points and you think some leftist democrat who hates Trump is gonna win the senate seat?




The same poll has the Dem ahead of Donalds for governor. Sooo I'm doubting their methods


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Posted by SlowFlowPro
With populists, expect populism
Member since Jan 2004
477243 posts
Posted on 5/19/26 at 9:59 am to
While the economic issues aren't as bad as I thought they'd be in November 2025, they're still bad for large sections of the population.

And there is still a pretty large moderate population who will shift from GOP to DEM pretty easily. They swung hard to the GOP in 2024 but I imagine we will see sprinkles of that reversing this year, especially in purple states like GA.
Posted by Neutral Underground
Member since Mar 2024
3406 posts
Posted on 5/19/26 at 10:02 am to
Maybe Republicans should stop running women candidates.
Posted by LemmyLives
Texas
Member since Mar 2019
16189 posts
Posted on 5/19/26 at 10:03 am to
How is that fat frick using himself in uniform as a campaign picture?
Posted by SloaneRanger
Upper Hurstville
Member since Jan 2014
13797 posts
Posted on 5/19/26 at 10:05 am to
I thought Vindman lived in Virginia. When did he move to Florida?
Posted by tide06
Member since Oct 2011
23398 posts
Posted on 5/19/26 at 10:06 am to
quote:

The same poll has the Dem ahead of Donalds for governor. Sooo I'm doubting their methods

Not just win, but win by 4%.

In a state that re-elected DeSantis by 19.4% in 2022.

Its fake polling designed to support a political narrative.
Posted by LuckyTiger
Top 1% On Onlyfans
Member since Dec 2008
52524 posts
Posted on 5/19/26 at 10:08 am to
quote:

I thought Vindman lived in Virginia. When did he move to Florida?


There are two of them.
Posted by TigerBait1971
PTC GA
Member since Oct 2014
16385 posts
Posted on 5/19/26 at 10:10 am to
That homo's official campaign pic is in uniform.
Posted by dalefla
Central FL
Member since Jul 2024
4143 posts
Posted on 5/19/26 at 10:13 am to
Damn, you dumb. Anyone that voted for Desantis and Trump isn't going to vote Vindman under any condition.

The only way Vindman wins is if Miami Dade has figured out how to cheat again.
Posted by SlowFlowPro
With populists, expect populism
Member since Jan 2004
477243 posts
Posted on 5/19/26 at 10:16 am to
quote:

Damn, you dumb. Anyone that voted for Desantis and Trump isn't going to vote Vindman under any condition.

Possibly not, but that's not really responsive to what I said.

Plenty of people who didn't vote for DeSantis voted for Trump who may not vote for the Republican this cycle.

DeSantis, being a much bigger conservative than Trump, may not have as much crossover appeal, but I didn't speak about his voters in my post. You added that, for some reason.
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