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Fed cuts by a quarter point, indicates fewer reductions ahead
Posted on 12/18/24 at 1:14 pm
Posted on 12/18/24 at 1:14 pm
quote:
WASHINGTON – The Federal Reserve on Wednesday lowered its key interest rate by a quarter percentage point, the third consecutive reduction and one that came with a cautionary tone about additional reductions in coming years.
In a move widely anticipated by markets, the Federal Open Market Committee cut its overnight borrowing rate to a target range of 4.25%-4.5%, back to the level where it was in December 2022 when rates were on the move higher.
https://www.cnbc.com/2024/12/18/fed-rate-decision-december-2024-.html
Posted on 12/18/24 at 1:16 pm to loogaroo
quote:
Fed cuts by a quarter point, indicates fewer reductions ahead
Likely means more "easing" (aka, bond buying, printing, etc.)
Posted on 12/18/24 at 1:17 pm to loogaroo
Once shelter catches up in Jan i can see it speeding back up
Posted on 12/18/24 at 1:18 pm to loogaroo
They just can’t stand to see Trump succeed.
Look, I know they’ll have a hundred reasons under the sun why they made this move regarding fewer future rate cuts, but subconsciously it’s their disdain for DJT.
Look, I know they’ll have a hundred reasons under the sun why they made this move regarding fewer future rate cuts, but subconsciously it’s their disdain for DJT.
Posted on 12/18/24 at 1:18 pm to loogaroo
They are trying to get the economy to hold on just enough to pass the grenade to trump.
My suspicion is that they won’t try another Covid. This time it will be catastrophic economic collapse. And they will blame it on trumps tariffs, even though this has been brewing since Bush.
My suspicion is that they won’t try another Covid. This time it will be catastrophic economic collapse. And they will blame it on trumps tariffs, even though this has been brewing since Bush.
Posted on 12/18/24 at 1:19 pm to Knuckle Checker
quote:
They are trying to get the economy to hold on just enough to pass the grenade to trump.
100%
Posted on 12/18/24 at 1:23 pm to Knuckle Checker
quote:
My suspicion is that they won’t try another Covid. This time it will be catastrophic economic collapse
What's going to trigger this? Commercial real estate?
In what sector of the economy is the market balance located to trigger a catastrophic economic collapse? Not saying it won't happen. Just trying to identify the market imbalance to prepare accordingly.
Posted on 12/18/24 at 1:25 pm to loogaroo
quote:
It's just comical. Have to laugh not to cry.
Are you upset about the rate cut or the lack of future rate cuts?
Posted on 12/18/24 at 1:26 pm to Green Chili Tiger
quote:
Are you upset about the rate cut or the lack of future rate cuts?
The rate cut
Posted on 12/18/24 at 1:26 pm to Green Chili Tiger
quote:
Are you upset about the rate cut or the lack of future rate cuts?
If you have to ask you should sit this one out
Posted on 12/18/24 at 1:26 pm to GumboPot
Can Powell just basically say in a few months, inflation is terrible, I am going full Volcker? What would stop him?
Posted on 12/18/24 at 1:27 pm to GumboPot
Unemployment is the variable. Once that increases, the first domino is going to be one of these categories (and primarily the impact on the banking system the crash will cause):
1. Consumer debt/CCs
2. Residential RE
3. Commercial RE
4. Auto loans
1. Consumer debt/CCs
2. Residential RE
3. Commercial RE
4. Auto loans
Posted on 12/18/24 at 1:28 pm to GumboPot
quote:
In what sector of the economy is the market balance located to trigger a catastrophic economic collapse?
All of it IMO
We haven’t seen the complete effects of inflation and the inflation is still ongoing.
Housing market is shite
Highest personal debts on record
Budget deficits out of control
It’s waiting on a pinprick to deflate
You don’t have to trust me, just look what Warren Buffett is doing.
Posted on 12/18/24 at 1:31 pm to SlowFlowPro
quote:
Unemployment is the variable. Once that increases, the first domino is going to be one of these categories (and primarily the impact on the banking system the crash will cause):
1. Consumer debt/CCs
2. Residential RE
3. Commercial RE
4. Auto loans
Wow, way to narrow it down to essentially every kind of debt imagineable. Much insight, real smart
Posted on 12/18/24 at 1:33 pm to loogaroo
They should have never lowered the rates if anything they have been way too low.
This post was edited on 12/18/24 at 1:37 pm
Posted on 12/18/24 at 1:35 pm to Thib-a-doe Tiger
quote:
Wow, way to narrow it down to essentially every kind of debt imagineable. Much insight, real smart
The bubble has been building for 16 years now. Nobody can predict which one of those 4 bursts first, but the others may follow quickly thereafter.
Posted on 12/18/24 at 2:23 pm to Bunk Moreland
quote:
Can Powell just basically say in a few months, inflation is terrible, I am going full Volcker? What would stop him?
Fiscal policy and Monetary policy cannot be dominant at the same time.
Fiscal Dominance can always force Monetary policy to go passive/accommodative.
Monetary Dominance cannot do the same to Fiscal policy.
I’m not going to rewrite my previous posts on it, but they’re there for the reading if you want.
Posted on 12/18/24 at 2:29 pm to Knuckle Checker
quote:
My suspicion is that they won’t try another Covid.
It's gonna be bird flu. The first death was announced yesterday. Victim was from Louisiana. It's gonna be bad because bird are everywhere and bird masks are hard to find. You better get your shots today!
Posted on 12/18/24 at 2:36 pm to loogaroo
quote:
Fed cuts by a quarter point, indicates fewer reductions ahead
Reckless. Rates should be a lot higher right now. Probably around 10-12%. Still too much money supply
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