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re: Elon Musk says don't go to medical school as surgeons will be obsolete in 48 months.

Posted on 1/10/26 at 7:58 pm to
Posted by 632627
LA
Member since Dec 2011
15138 posts
Posted on 1/10/26 at 7:58 pm to
Elon is pumping some a/i medical stock
Posted by crimson crazy
Member since Oct 2008
20895 posts
Posted on 1/10/26 at 8:01 pm to
quote:

I'm still waiting for my full self driving car...


Several of my friends now have one and I almost got one myself but decided to wait til next go around.
Posted by KCT
Psalm 23:5
Member since Feb 2010
50065 posts
Posted on 1/10/26 at 8:02 pm to
quote:

I have a full self driving car and it is fricking insane.


I still can't wrap my head around the technology of driverless cars. Seems surreal.
Posted by Flavius Belisarius
Member since Feb 2016
990 posts
Posted on 1/10/26 at 8:12 pm to
quote:

We will not have fully autonomous, AI driven robotic surgery in 3 years. Not even close


Right. We don’t have autonomous driving yet. On top of that, we are in a surgeon workforce shortage that worsens every year. I am a surgeon, and the number of on the fly decisions I make in surgery with a real life human being in my care on the table is incredible. Human beings are not robots, we are all different, and the potential for something to go wrong at any second is always there. Love Elon, but he’s very wrong on this. I’d rate surgery as one of the most AI proof fields.
Posted by Kjnstkmn
Vermilion Parish
Member since Aug 2020
21926 posts
Posted on 1/10/26 at 8:23 pm to
Posted by Timeoday
Easter Island
Member since Aug 2020
23264 posts
Posted on 1/10/26 at 8:23 pm to
Human are incredibly crazy to give something they have created control over their body, mind, and spirit.

Elon just lost me there. Back off boy!!
Posted by Nurbis
Member since May 2020
2380 posts
Posted on 1/10/26 at 8:24 pm to
quote:

Elon is wrong. Shocker.


It's a prediction 4 years into the future. He can't be wrong for at least 4 years. Unless you are a time traveler, you have no way of knowing if he is right or wrong.
Posted by Taxing Authority
Houston
Member since Feb 2010
63500 posts
Posted on 1/10/26 at 8:25 pm to
quote:

surgeons will be obsolete in 48 months.
I don't think there much of a chance of getting a medical device through FDA approval that fast.
Posted by Taxing Authority
Houston
Member since Feb 2010
63500 posts
Posted on 1/10/26 at 8:26 pm to
quote:

That's a swing and a miss
Can't even get autocorrect right, and they want to do surgical procedures.
Posted by Kjnstkmn
Vermilion Parish
Member since Aug 2020
21926 posts
Posted on 1/10/26 at 8:27 pm to
My wife had her hip replaced via Mako robotic assisted surgery in Biloxi 2 years ago.

Posted by CamdenTiger
Member since Aug 2009
65809 posts
Posted on 1/10/26 at 8:30 pm to
From someone who knows this area, there’s a lot more to being a Surgeon than good Operating skills, managing all the meds, the co-morbidities, etc. and the legal aspects… People that have a relationship with their Doctors, prevent a lot of lawsuits, but they will sue that robot/ hospital in a heartbeat if anything goes wrong, so maybe in time they work out all the logistics, but doubt it’s anytime soon
Posted by YipSkiddlyDooo
Member since Apr 2013
3815 posts
Posted on 1/10/26 at 8:46 pm to
quote:

Reusable rockets that fly themselves back to the launchpad and land themselves upright? In FOUR years? Musk is an idiot!


Why don’t we have autonomous taxis operating in every major metro in the country?
Posted by Trevaylin
south texas
Member since Feb 2019
11026 posts
Posted on 1/10/26 at 8:47 pm to
the medical professionals that have a direct patient inter face will do okey. think rn's and knife folks. All others will be replaced by a/i. its here now, as a 77 year, most doctors are shills for drug companies and Mri tests. My best info source is chatgpt
Posted by YipSkiddlyDooo
Member since Apr 2013
3815 posts
Posted on 1/10/26 at 8:49 pm to
quote:

I’d rate surgery as one of the most AI proof fields.


As someone who uses robot assistance in the OR, I would welcome sitting back and being an observer or human backup to an autonomous surgical robot. But I use them now, I use various AI programs now, this is way more than 3 years away. I would be surprised if I see it in my career. And that’s without taking regulatory concerns from government agencies, insurers, healthcare systems into account. All of which will delay their implementation even further.
Posted by wackatimesthree
Member since Oct 2019
13570 posts
Posted on 1/10/26 at 8:50 pm to
quote:

I’d rate surgery as one of the most AI proof fields.


I would agree.
Posted by wackatimesthree
Member since Oct 2019
13570 posts
Posted on 1/10/26 at 8:52 pm to
Here's what I want to know.

Why are there so many people on this thread who can't do the math on 48 months?
Posted by YipSkiddlyDooo
Member since Apr 2013
3815 posts
Posted on 1/10/26 at 8:54 pm to
quote:

My wife had her hip replaced via Mako robotic assisted surgery in Biloxi 2 years ago.


The Mako is nice. It is so far away from what Elon is saying we’ll see in 3 years that it isn’t even worth bringing up in a discussion of autonomous robotic surgery. It requires user input throughout the entirety of the portions of the case in which it is utilized.
Posted by wackatimesthree
Member since Oct 2019
13570 posts
Posted on 1/10/26 at 8:56 pm to
quote:

in 3 years


Here's another one.
Posted by wackatimesthree
Member since Oct 2019
13570 posts
Posted on 1/10/26 at 8:57 pm to
Mea culpa.

It appears that the OP is the one who can't do the math, as the quote was for three years, not 48 months.

My apologies.
Posted by YipSkiddlyDooo
Member since Apr 2013
3815 posts
Posted on 1/10/26 at 8:59 pm to
quote:

Why are there so many people on this thread who can't do the math on 48 months?


You mean the OP who made the thread title?

“In 3 years (2029), Optimus robots will be better surgeons than any human on Earth — at scale.”
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