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Doesn’t make sense. Fox has biden +11 in NV, yet another poll out this morn has it tight

Posted on 9/25/20 at 11:08 am
Posted by HailHailtoMichigan!
Mission Viejo, CA
Member since Mar 2012
69249 posts
Posted on 9/25/20 at 11:08 am
quote:



Nick Riccardi
@NickRiccardi
Biden 47-43 in Nevada in a
@RalstonReports
-certified Democratic poll



This is a D internal, which tend to be favorable for dems obviously

LINK


One of these polls is dreadfully wrong. Which one?
Posted by Choctaw
Pumpin' Sunshine
Member since Jul 2007
77774 posts
Posted on 9/25/20 at 11:09 am to
both
Posted by theCrusher
Slidell
Member since Nov 2007
1130 posts
Posted on 9/25/20 at 11:10 am to
Fox has been moving left.
Posted by TigerWoodlands
The Woodlands
Member since Dec 2008
847 posts
Posted on 9/25/20 at 11:11 am to
Fox polls have been the worst all year. Don't know what they're doing with the D/R sample ratio?
Posted by Lsupimp
Ersatz Amerika-97.6% phony & fake
Member since Nov 2003
78351 posts
Posted on 9/25/20 at 11:11 am to
Trump loyalists frick with polls for sport. You know that.
Posted by Fun Bunch
New Orleans
Member since May 2008
115442 posts
Posted on 9/25/20 at 11:12 am to
The Fox News Polls have been the biggest outlier this year for whatever reason.
Posted by TakingStock
Member since Jun 2009
6090 posts
Posted on 9/25/20 at 11:13 am to
2016 proved that polls are completely worthless in the Trump era.
Posted by Magician2
Member since Oct 2015
14553 posts
Posted on 9/25/20 at 11:14 am to
Fox has been oversampling Dems and Indys in there polls. I don't see how difficult it is to use 2016 exit polls.
Posted by DougsMugs
Georgia
Member since Aug 2019
8239 posts
Posted on 9/25/20 at 11:14 am to
Seems like a lot of Democrat Fan Fiction. It makes them happy and hopeful right now.
Posted by BurlesonCountyAg
Member since Jan 2014
2978 posts
Posted on 9/25/20 at 11:15 am to
Does it not make any sense? Or perhaps it makes perfect sense.
Posted by teke184
Zachary, LA
Member since Jan 2007
94843 posts
Posted on 9/25/20 at 11:15 am to
Nevada will be flaky as hell in polling for a few reasons, including the complete disruption of the gaming industry and related trades (culinary union).

The results you get back may or may not reflect the raw numbers you poll but the weighting is going to be VERY off this time around for a number of reasons such as people picking up and moving back to California.
Posted by Marciano1
Marksville, LA
Member since Jun 2009
18405 posts
Posted on 9/25/20 at 11:15 am to
Nevada will be close. That +11 shite is laughable.

I expect Biden to win it narrowly due to their recent voting policy change.

Dozens of dudes named John will be walking around "helping" non English speaking and elderly people fill out their ballot for Biden.
This post was edited on 9/25/20 at 11:30 am
Posted by SirWinston
PNW
Member since Jul 2014
81314 posts
Posted on 9/25/20 at 11:16 am to
Ralston is legit in NV - I hate him bc he’s a huge Dem but he nailed all key races there in 2016 and 2018
Posted by NakaTrash
Texas Hill Country
Member since Dec 2013
6139 posts
Posted on 9/25/20 at 11:16 am to
quote:

2016 proved that polls are completely worthless in the Trump era.


Truth.

And good luck to anyone trying to predict anything in the fricked up year that is 2020!
Posted by bayoubengals88
LA
Member since Sep 2007
18883 posts
Posted on 9/25/20 at 11:17 am to
IN THE RAW! Doesn't work!!!
Posted by Pelican fan99
Lafayette, Louisiana
Member since Jun 2013
34650 posts
Posted on 9/25/20 at 11:17 am to
Fox polling is garbage. I don't take them seriously
Posted by jmcwhrter
Member since Nov 2012
6551 posts
Posted on 9/25/20 at 11:17 am to
let Fox run those crap polls..

only people watching Fox are conservatives, and if they think Trump is in trouble based on these goofy polls, their patriot instincts will get them to the polls
Posted by bayoubengals88
LA
Member since Sep 2007
18883 posts
Posted on 9/25/20 at 11:21 am to
quote:

Ralston is legit in NV - I hate him bc he’s a huge Dem but he nailed all key races there in 2016 and 2018

---Trump leads among whites, 49-43; Biden leads among Blacks, 77-7; and Biden leads among Hispanics, 56-32.

Well, if that trends nationally, Trump will win with similar EV's to 2016.

7% Black is +1.5 from '16
32% Hispanic is +4 from '16
This post was edited on 9/25/20 at 11:22 am
Posted by bayoubengals88
LA
Member since Sep 2007
18883 posts
Posted on 9/25/20 at 11:22 am to
quote:

Biden leads 48-35 among indies/others.
No way in hell I'm buying that...
Posted by TigerDoc
Texas
Member since Apr 2004
9897 posts
Posted on 9/25/20 at 11:27 am to
The Fox Poll is the bigger outlier. Polling average for Nevada is currently Biden (+5.8) per 538, but doesn't include those 2 yet.
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