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Message
Detailed 2024 exit poll data finally released. How all groups voted and swung
Posted on 5/20/25 at 8:02 pm
Posted on 5/20/25 at 8:02 pm
The Catalist “What Happened” in 2024 Pres. Election study (swing from 2020)
OVERALL: Trump 50-48% (R+6)
——
Gender
• Men: Trump 57-41% (R+12)
• Women: Harris 54-44% (R+2)
—
Race
• White: Trump 57-42% (R+5)
• Black: Harris 84-14% (R+6)
• Hispanic: Harris 53-45% (R+18)
• AAPI: Harris 59-38% (R+9)
—
Age
• 18-29: Harris 54-44% (R+12)
• 30-44: Harris 51-47% (R+9)
• 45-64: Trump 53-45% (R+5)
• 65+: Trump 52-48% (R+1)
—
Party
Modelled GOP: Trump 90-8% (R+5)
Modelled Dem: Harris 90-9% (R+1)
Modelled middle: Trump 53-45 (R+8)
—
Education
• College: Harris 55-44% (R+7)
• No college: Trump 55-44% (R+7)
Community
• Urban: Harris 65-33% (R+12)
• Suburban: Tie 49-49% (R+7)
• Rural: Trump 69-30% (R+6)
——
Education (breakdown by race)
• White college: Trump 50-48% (R+6)
• White no college: Trump 63-36% (R+3)
• Black college: Harris 83-15% (R+7)
• Black no college: Harris 84-14% (R+6)
• Hispanic college: Harris 55-42% (R+15)
• Hispanic no college: Harris 52-46% (R+20)
• AAPI college: Harris 62-34% (R+7)
• AAPI no college: Harris 55-42% (R+12)
——
Gender (breakdown by race)
• White men: Trump 62-36% (R+7)
• White women: Trump 51-47% (no change)
• Black men: Harris 77-21% (R+16)
• Black women: Harris 88-10% (R+1)
• Hispanic men: Trump 52-46% (R+20)
• Hispanic women: Harris 63-33% (R+6)
• AAPI men: Harris 53-43% (R+12)
• AAPI women: Harris 63-33% (R+6)
—
• Single: Harris 54-44% (R+6)
• Married: Trump 55-44% (R+5)
• White single men: Trump 59-39% (R+10)
• White single women: Harris 53-46% (R+1)
• White married men: Trump 63-33% (R+4)
• White married women: Trump 56-43% (no change)
——
• White college men: Trump 55-44% (R+11)
• White no college men: Trump 69-30% (R+7)
• White college women: Harris 56-42% (R+2)
• White no college women: Trump 57-41% (no change)
——
Age (breakdown by race)
• White 18-29: Trump 50-48% (R+8)
• White 30-44: Trump 52-46% (R+3)
• White 45-64:: Trump 62-37% (R+4)
• White 65+: Trump 57-42% (no change)
• Black 18-29: Harris 81-17% (R+10)
• Black 30-44: Harris 77-20% (R+17)
• Black 45-64: Harris 85-13% (R+4)
• Black 65+: Harris 91-9% (D+3)
• Hispanic 18-29: Harris 55-42% (R+23)
• Hispanic 30-44: Harris 50-47% (R+22)
• Hispanic 45-64: Harris 51-47% (R+14)
• Hispanic 65+: Harris 57-42% (R+10)
• AAPI 18-29: Harris 62-34% (R+19)
• AAPI 30-44: Harris 60-36% (D+1)
• AAPI 45-64: Harris 57-40% (R+3)
• AAPI 64+: Harris 58-41% (R+3)
OVERALL: Trump 50-48% (R+6)
——
Gender
• Men: Trump 57-41% (R+12)
• Women: Harris 54-44% (R+2)
—
Race
• White: Trump 57-42% (R+5)
• Black: Harris 84-14% (R+6)
• Hispanic: Harris 53-45% (R+18)
• AAPI: Harris 59-38% (R+9)
—
Age
• 18-29: Harris 54-44% (R+12)
• 30-44: Harris 51-47% (R+9)
• 45-64: Trump 53-45% (R+5)
• 65+: Trump 52-48% (R+1)
—
Party
Modelled GOP: Trump 90-8% (R+5)
Modelled Dem: Harris 90-9% (R+1)
Modelled middle: Trump 53-45 (R+8)
—
Education
• College: Harris 55-44% (R+7)
• No college: Trump 55-44% (R+7)
Community
• Urban: Harris 65-33% (R+12)
• Suburban: Tie 49-49% (R+7)
• Rural: Trump 69-30% (R+6)
——
Education (breakdown by race)
• White college: Trump 50-48% (R+6)
• White no college: Trump 63-36% (R+3)
• Black college: Harris 83-15% (R+7)
• Black no college: Harris 84-14% (R+6)
• Hispanic college: Harris 55-42% (R+15)
• Hispanic no college: Harris 52-46% (R+20)
• AAPI college: Harris 62-34% (R+7)
• AAPI no college: Harris 55-42% (R+12)
——
Gender (breakdown by race)
• White men: Trump 62-36% (R+7)
• White women: Trump 51-47% (no change)
• Black men: Harris 77-21% (R+16)
• Black women: Harris 88-10% (R+1)
• Hispanic men: Trump 52-46% (R+20)
• Hispanic women: Harris 63-33% (R+6)
• AAPI men: Harris 53-43% (R+12)
• AAPI women: Harris 63-33% (R+6)
—
• Single: Harris 54-44% (R+6)
• Married: Trump 55-44% (R+5)
• White single men: Trump 59-39% (R+10)
• White single women: Harris 53-46% (R+1)
• White married men: Trump 63-33% (R+4)
• White married women: Trump 56-43% (no change)
——
• White college men: Trump 55-44% (R+11)
• White no college men: Trump 69-30% (R+7)
• White college women: Harris 56-42% (R+2)
• White no college women: Trump 57-41% (no change)
——
Age (breakdown by race)
• White 18-29: Trump 50-48% (R+8)
• White 30-44: Trump 52-46% (R+3)
• White 45-64:: Trump 62-37% (R+4)
• White 65+: Trump 57-42% (no change)
• Black 18-29: Harris 81-17% (R+10)
• Black 30-44: Harris 77-20% (R+17)
• Black 45-64: Harris 85-13% (R+4)
• Black 65+: Harris 91-9% (D+3)
• Hispanic 18-29: Harris 55-42% (R+23)
• Hispanic 30-44: Harris 50-47% (R+22)
• Hispanic 45-64: Harris 51-47% (R+14)
• Hispanic 65+: Harris 57-42% (R+10)
• AAPI 18-29: Harris 62-34% (R+19)
• AAPI 30-44: Harris 60-36% (D+1)
• AAPI 45-64: Harris 57-40% (R+3)
• AAPI 64+: Harris 58-41% (R+3)
18
Posted on 5/20/25 at 8:08 pm to HailHailtoMichigan!
quote:Thank God for the gray hairs. We could have had a commie disaster.
Age
18-29: Harris 54-44% (R+12)
30-44: Harris 51-47% (R+9)
45-64: Trump 53-45% (R+5)
65+: Trump 52-48% (R+1)
Posted on 5/20/25 at 8:10 pm to HailHailtoMichigan!
We love the poorly educated.
Posted on 5/20/25 at 8:12 pm to HailHailtoMichigan!
That is biblically bad for democrats
Posted on 5/20/25 at 8:13 pm to OysterPoBoy
Blue collar has been carrying your arse for over 200 years.
Posted on 5/20/25 at 8:14 pm to HailHailtoMichigan!
quote:
• White college: Trump 50-48% (R+6)
• White no college: Trump 63-36% (R+3)
quote:
• Hispanic: Harris 53-45% (R+18)
Hispanic men almost took it.
quote:
• White men: Trump 62-36% (R+7)
• White women: Trump 51-47% (no change)
White women need an apology from a lot of people.
quote:
• Hispanic men: Trump 52-46% (R+20)
quote:
• Black men: Harris 77-21% (R+16)
quote:
• AAPI men: Harris 53-43% (R+12)
Young Minority men moving
quote:
• White single men: Trump 59-39% (R+10)
• White single women: Harris 53-46% (R+1)
• White married men: Trump 63-33% (R+4)
• White married women: Trump 56-43% (no change)
——
• White college men: Trump 55-44% (R+11)
• White no college men: Trump 69-30% (R+7)
• White college women: Harris 56-42% (R+2)
• White no college women: Trump 57-41% (no change)
Harris only winning white college women by 14 is unreal.
quote:
• Black 18-29: Harris 81-17% (R+10)
• Black 30-44: Harris 77-20% (R+17)
• Hispanic 18-29: Harris 55-42% (R+23)
• Hispanic 30-44: Harris 50-47% (R+22)
• Hispanic 45-64: Harris 51-47% (R+14)
• Hispanic 65+: Harris 57-42% (R+10)
• AAPI 18-29: Harris 62-34% (R+19)
It's the young leaving in droves.
Posted on 5/20/25 at 8:15 pm to OysterPoBoy
quote:
We love the poorly educated.
Some of the biggest idiots I have ever met have a college degree.
Sounds like your pool
Posted on 5/20/25 at 8:15 pm to HailHailtoMichigan!
quote:Old black people are idiots
Black 65+: Harris 91-9% (D+3)
ETA: It makes sense because this is predominantly the group you still see wearing face masks
This post was edited on 5/20/25 at 8:26 pm
Posted on 5/20/25 at 8:15 pm to OysterPoBoy
Just because someone is not educated doesn’t mean they aren’t smart. There is a huge difference in educated and smart
Posted on 5/20/25 at 8:16 pm to bknight00
Man, you guys are getting all defensive. I’m as poorly educated as the next guy. I said we love them.
Posted on 5/20/25 at 8:16 pm to HailHailtoMichigan!
Single white college "educated" women.
That's it, I don't even have to say anything. I don't think I even have anything to say.
That's it, I don't even have to say anything. I don't think I even have anything to say.
Posted on 5/20/25 at 8:16 pm to HailHailtoMichigan!
quote:
Age • 18-29: Harris 54-44% (R+12) • 30-44: Harris 51-47% (R+9) • 45-64: Trump 53-45% (R+5) • 65+: Trump 52-48% (R+1) —
Raise the voting age to 30
Posted on 5/20/25 at 8:18 pm to Narax
quote:
• White single men: Trump 59-39% (R+10)
• White single women: Harris 53-46% (R+1)
• White married men: Trump 63-33% (R+4)
• White married women: Trump 56-43% (no change)
——
• White college men: Trump 55-44% (R+11)
• White no college men: Trump 69-30% (R+7)
• White college women: Harris 56-42% (R+2)
• White no college women: Trump 57-41% (no change)
The democrat party's war on men and white people showed up in the voting booth
Shocking
Posted on 5/20/25 at 8:19 pm to OysterPoBoy
quote:
We love the poorly educated.
18th century lesbian poetry degree = educated.
Licensed plumber = poorly educated.
Clown world.
This post was edited on 5/20/25 at 8:20 pm
Posted on 5/20/25 at 8:22 pm to HailHailtoMichigan!
Democrats losing men fast
Posted on 5/20/25 at 8:23 pm to HailHailtoMichigan!
No 19th amendment and we’d be poopin’ in high cotton.
Posted on 5/20/25 at 8:24 pm to Elihu
quote:
quote:Age 18-29: Harris 54-44% (R+12) 30-44: Harris 51-47% (R+9) 45-64: Trump 53-45% (R+5) 65+: Trump 52-48% (R+1)Thank God for the gray hairs. We could have had a commie disaster.
quote:
White 18-29: Trump 50-48% (R+8) • White 30-44: Trump 52-46% (R+3)
White people not having enough kids.
This is the replacement theory.
This post was edited on 5/20/25 at 8:28 pm
Posted on 5/20/25 at 8:24 pm to HailHailtoMichigan!
The thing that caught my eye was the age gap among blacks
Young blacks are more likely to leave the plantation than old blacks
Young blacks are more likely to leave the plantation than old blacks
Posted on 5/20/25 at 8:25 pm to HailHailtoMichigan!
i honestly dont think i could have married someone who would vote for Leftist policies..looking a the statistical breakdown there must have been a pretty significant number of split voting households. Thank God my wife has a good head on her shoulders.
Posted on 5/20/25 at 8:29 pm to OysterPoBoy
quote:
Man, you guys are getting all defensive. I’m as poorly educated as the next guy. I said we love them.
Maybe just a slight rewording.
“We love the poorly indoctrinated!”
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