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re: Daily COVID Updated as of 11/2/20 8:00 PM

Posted on 3/27/20 at 6:37 pm to
Posted by the808bass
The Lou
Member since Oct 2012
111577 posts
Posted on 3/27/20 at 6:37 pm to
Still vented. Critical. His son’s updates are always positive, but there’s a certain resignation to them so it’s hard to tell.
Posted by Chromdome35
NW Arkansas
Member since Nov 2010
6863 posts
Posted on 3/27/20 at 6:41 pm to
This is the link to the COVID-19 tracker that I have shared on Google Drive. Chromdome's COVID-19 Daily Tracker

The source for the data is https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/
The source for the testing data is from https://covidtracking.com/data/

On the tracker sheet you will see tabs for the following data:
1) US Summary
2) Country Comparables: This shows you how the US stacks up vs. select other countries dealing with COVID-19
3) Italy Summary
4) UK Summary
5) France Summary
6) Germany Summary
7) US Weighted Averages - Explores 7 day vs 3 day weight average trends
8) Predictive Model - A simple predictive model that shows where the numbers will be in the future if growth rates don't change
9) Logarithmic Comparisons - Shows the US vs the other countries on the tracker.
10) Sweden Summary

If you would like a graph created that I don't have, just ask and if it's possible I will create it for you.

Due to space constraints on the PT board, I'm only posting a few graphs in the thread, if a consensus emerges of what graphs the PT wants to see in thread without having to go to the tracker, I will gladly change them up.

I am working to create a sheet that compares the US metrics to the other countries metrics. I'll let you all know when that's done and available.

NOTE: The daily growth rate data will not be accurate until the end of the day's postings. It will change throughout the day.
NOTE: I am not tracking individual states, I don't have a reliable consistent source for that data.
NOTE: I am not a mathematician, statistics guru, scientist, sharpest tack in the box, I'm just a guy who likes to understand for myself what is happening and to share it with others. This thread was not created to debate if you should or shouldn't take this seriously, it is simply to present the numbers and foster conversation.









Posted by Damone
FoCo
Member since Aug 2016
32966 posts
Posted on 3/27/20 at 6:42 pm to
Looks promising, will keep my fingers crossed until the 11 pm CST number dump.
Posted by the808bass
The Lou
Member since Oct 2012
111577 posts
Posted on 3/27/20 at 6:48 pm to
Friday, Saturday, Sunday numbers seems to be of questionable value. I’d guess we will see a spike in Monday’s numbers.
Posted by tiger91
In my own little world
Member since Nov 2005
36740 posts
Posted on 3/27/20 at 6:49 pm to
Truly sorry to hear this. How old is he?
Posted by the808bass
The Lou
Member since Oct 2012
111577 posts
Posted on 3/27/20 at 6:51 pm to
60s. His wife was hospitalized for a short time with the virus as well. She’s home recovering.
Posted by Chromdome35
NW Arkansas
Member since Nov 2010
6863 posts
Posted on 3/27/20 at 6:55 pm to
I agree Bass, the weekend numbers seem to get a little screwy, interested to see if that is true this week.
Posted by auggie
Opelika, Alabama
Member since Aug 2013
28115 posts
Posted on 3/27/20 at 7:04 pm to
quote:

Looks promising, will keep my fingers crossed until the 11 pm CST number dump.


I just started paying attention to this thread last night, but I think that this is about the time, of his last update on yesterdays numbers. After that, everything went on todays numbers.

I don't like the fact that there was a slight uptick in todays death percentage, and a more than slight decrease in todays new case percentage. Less new cases is great though, don't get me wrong. I was just hoping that todays deaths would be much less.
Posted by Tiguar
Montana
Member since Mar 2012
33131 posts
Posted on 3/27/20 at 8:29 pm to
1700 deaths. Over half of those came in the last 3 days.
Posted by LosLobos111
Austere
Member since Feb 2011
45385 posts
Posted on 3/27/20 at 8:31 pm to
How much of that is NY?

Or do we not have concrete info ?
This post was edited on 3/27/20 at 8:31 pm
Posted by igoringa
South Mississippi
Member since Jun 2007
11876 posts
Posted on 3/27/20 at 8:33 pm to
Big uptick in last update. 400 fed today - High 18s in infections
Posted by Freight Joker
Member since Aug 2019
2784 posts
Posted on 3/27/20 at 8:35 pm to
We just hit 400 deaths today.

Damn
Posted by TigerFanatic99
South Bend, Indiana
Member since Jan 2007
27674 posts
Posted on 3/27/20 at 8:47 pm to
At what point do we start to genuinely fear this is turning into The Stand?
Posted by Tiguar
Montana
Member since Mar 2012
33131 posts
Posted on 3/27/20 at 8:49 pm to
NY is 606 of the 1695 deaths

The mortality rate in NY is 1.3%

The mortality rate in LA is 4.3%


This post was edited on 3/27/20 at 8:51 pm
Posted by Jrv2damac
Kanorado
Member since Mar 2004
65292 posts
Posted on 3/27/20 at 9:16 pm to
quote:

At what point do we start to genuinely fear this is turning into The Stand?


When I have less brain cells than my shoe size
Posted by the808bass
The Lou
Member since Oct 2012
111577 posts
Posted on 3/27/20 at 9:18 pm to
Well, that’s not nearly as encouraging as you intended.
Posted by Chromdome35
NW Arkansas
Member since Nov 2010
6863 posts
Posted on 3/27/20 at 9:19 pm to
This is the link to the COVID-19 tracker that I have shared on Google Drive. Chromdome's COVID-19 Daily Tracker

The source for the data is https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/
The source for the testing data is from https://covidtracking.com/data/

On the tracker sheet you will see tabs for the following data:
1) US Summary
2) Country Comparables: This shows you how the US stacks up vs. select other countries dealing with COVID-19
3) Italy Summary
4) UK Summary
5) France Summary
6) Germany Summary
7) US Weighted Averages - Explores 7 day vs 3 day weight average trends
8) Predictive Model - A simple predictive model that shows where the numbers will be in the future if growth rates don't change
9) Logarithmic Comparisons - Shows the US vs the other countries on the tracker.
10) Sweden Summary

If you would like a graph created that I don't have, just ask and if it's possible I will create it for you.

Due to space constraints on the PT board, I'm only posting a few graphs in the thread, if a consensus emerges of what graphs the PT wants to see in thread without having to go to the tracker, I will gladly change them up.

I am working to create a sheet that compares the US metrics to the other countries metrics. I'll let you all know when that's done and available.

NOTE: The daily growth rate data will not be accurate until the end of the day's postings. It will change throughout the day.
NOTE: I am not tracking individual states, I don't have a reliable consistent source for that data.
NOTE: I am not a mathematician, statistics guru, scientist, sharpest tack in the box, I'm just a guy who likes to understand for myself what is happening and to share it with others. This thread was not created to debate if you should or shouldn't take this seriously, it is simply to present the numbers and foster conversation.









Posted by Jrv2damac
Kanorado
Member since Mar 2004
65292 posts
Posted on 3/27/20 at 9:20 pm to
Thank you for that
Posted by Bulldogblitz
In my house
Member since Dec 2018
26785 posts
Posted on 3/27/20 at 9:38 pm to
Is there a gap on active/recovered cases because not everyone reports back "I feel fine"?
Posted by Tiguar
Montana
Member since Mar 2012
33131 posts
Posted on 3/27/20 at 9:50 pm to
“Recovered” takes two back to back negative tests which takes time and we probably aren’t keen on spending tests for that purpose right now
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