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re: Daily COVID Updated as of 11/2/20 8:00 PM

Posted on 3/22/20 at 10:22 am to
Posted by nerd guy
Grapevine
Member since Dec 2008
13838 posts
Posted on 3/22/20 at 10:22 am to
quote:

New deaths in US last 3 days:
Thursday 57
Friday 49
Saturday 46


Chromedone shows these numbers?
quote:

Thursday 52
Friday 49
Saturday 92




This post was edited on 3/22/20 at 10:24 am
Posted by the808bass
The Lou
Member since Oct 2012
129616 posts
Posted on 3/22/20 at 10:22 am to
The data jumped around last night towards the end of the reporting period.
Posted by thejudge
Westlake, LA
Member since Sep 2009
15231 posts
Posted on 3/22/20 at 10:27 am to
quote:


It could be that it’s harder to get data from the CDC on the weekend, too. The CDC doesn’t update their counter over the weekend.


They show how many positives..

But how many cases have been given out? In Louisiana as of Friday only 20% tested positive.

I think this is damn important. No one gives us a total tested vs positive results.


Diamond Princess was 20%. Louisiana is at 23% positive now.
Posted by TigerFanatic99
South Bend, Indiana
Member since Jan 2007
36378 posts
Posted on 3/22/20 at 10:27 am to
quote:

Where are you getting this?


Worldometers. It's what everyone else seems to be using
Posted by RidiculousHype
The Hatch
Member since Sep 2007
10977 posts
Posted on 3/22/20 at 10:27 am to
LINK

Scroll down to “Daily New Deaths in the United States”

Are they reliable?
Posted by Chromdome35
Fast lane, behind a slow driver
Member since Nov 2010
8288 posts
Posted on 3/22/20 at 10:27 am to
I transitioned my tracking from Google Sheets to Excel, which is why the formatting has changed slightly.

I also added a couple of new graphs around deaths.

Take a look at the logarithmic graph of new cases to deaths. You can more easily see the increase in the growth of the fatalities vs the growth of cases.





NOTE: Updated as of 10 AM CST, These are NOT final numbers for the day. I will update throughout the day

NOTE: Until the end of the day the growth rate numbers for the day are NOT correct.
Posted by MorgusTheMagnificent
Louisiana
Member since Dec 2014
1965 posts
Posted on 3/22/20 at 10:34 am to
This is promising
Posted by Chromdome35
Fast lane, behind a slow driver
Member since Nov 2010
8288 posts
Posted on 3/22/20 at 10:34 am to
Nerd,

Your right that my numbers don't line up exactly to what the worldometer site shows, the reason lies in the timing of the numbers.

I just go onto the site multiple times a day and record the numbers as they are that minute. If they go up or down 5 minutes later, that isn't reflected in my numbers.

HOWEVER, Overtime that doesn't matter, as any discrepancy in the numbers is automatically corrected with the next sampling. It all works out over time.
Posted by Chromdome35
Fast lane, behind a slow driver
Member since Nov 2010
8288 posts
Posted on 3/22/20 at 10:34 am to
Not following you, What is promising?
Posted by diat150
Louisiana
Member since Jun 2005
48131 posts
Posted on 3/22/20 at 10:36 am to
quote:

This is promising


Check back later tonight. Plus any trend would need to take place over a couple of days.
Posted by theunknownknight
Baton Rouge
Member since Sep 2005
61179 posts
Posted on 3/22/20 at 10:37 am to
quote:

what is promising
When in Rome
This post was edited on 3/22/20 at 10:38 am
Posted by thejudge
Westlake, LA
Member since Sep 2009
15231 posts
Posted on 3/22/20 at 10:51 am to
Is there a way you can add in how many tests have been done? State and private contractor?

It seems to be hovering around 20%. I'd like to know that.

1/5 Americans?
Posted by MorgusTheMagnificent
Louisiana
Member since Dec 2014
1965 posts
Posted on 3/22/20 at 10:51 am to
Growth rate has been in decline since 3/19, and off to a good start today
Posted by Chromdome35
Fast lane, behind a slow driver
Member since Nov 2010
8288 posts
Posted on 3/22/20 at 10:54 am to
I would love to add that if I could find a good source of data. Do you have one?
Posted by Chromdome35
Fast lane, behind a slow driver
Member since Nov 2010
8288 posts
Posted on 3/22/20 at 10:57 am to
Morgus, you are right it has gone down for the last three days; however, earlier in the month it had gone down for 7 days in a row before it took the big jump on the 17th.

It's too early today to draw any conclusions for the day. The big updates don't really start coming in until late afternoon.
Posted by thejudge
Westlake, LA
Member since Sep 2009
15231 posts
Posted on 3/22/20 at 11:00 am to
Kplctv has the counter for Louisiana. Private and state tests...

I looked at other states and didn't really see those. I've been looking all morning as it would give perspective. Especially if you are only testing the highest probable cases and still o my returning 20%.

That would tamper down the freaking out.

This morning the former CDC director said they are returning like 96% negative tests as it's been expanded. That's pretty damn good.
Posted by MorgusTheMagnificent
Louisiana
Member since Dec 2014
1965 posts
Posted on 3/22/20 at 11:00 am to
quote:

however, earlier in the month it had gone down for 7 days in a row before it took the big jump on the 17th.


Isn’t this the same time tests were ramped up?? Didn’t we all expect this number of active cases to spike starting early-mid last week?

Plus yesterday’s morning numbers were much higher than today. Like I said, today is off to a good start
Posted by diat150
Louisiana
Member since Jun 2005
48131 posts
Posted on 3/22/20 at 11:02 am to
Yeah I’d say it is actually trending up if you would put a line thru it.
Posted by LSURussian
Member since Feb 2005
135363 posts
Posted on 3/22/20 at 11:04 am to
quote:

however, earlier in the month it had gone down for 7 days in a row
As I recall that period of time was when the initial inventory of test kits had been depleted.

So without a plentiful supply of test kits fewer people could get tested. Naturally, without test results the number of confirmed cases HAD to go down.

Then test kits started being supplied in bulk around the country so there was a corresponding big increase in new confirmed cases.

That initial rush of new confirmed cases appears to be slowing down now.
Posted by Chromdome35
Fast lane, behind a slow driver
Member since Nov 2010
8288 posts
Posted on 3/22/20 at 11:35 am to
I found this on the CDC website on testing numbers. It appears to be about a week behind.

https://www.cdc.gov/coronavirus/2019-ncov/cases-updates/testing-in-us.html

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