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re: Daily COVID Updated as of 11/2/20 8:00 PM
Posted on 3/20/20 at 11:58 am to Chromdome35
Posted on 3/20/20 at 11:58 am to Chromdome35
3/20 major drop from where we were at noon yesterday, exactly one week after people starting taking this virus serious

Posted on 3/20/20 at 12:03 pm to Tiguar
Crossing my fingers. Still early, but so far much better trend in deaths.
Posted on 3/20/20 at 12:04 pm to Tiguar
I don't think you can draw any conclusions about a drop at this point in the day. It could simply be a delay in the rerporting of the numbers. We won't fully know until the end of the day.
Posted on 3/20/20 at 12:08 pm to Chromdome35
While true, where we were at noon has historically given us a little bit of inference as to how the day was going to go. Hopefully it stays like this
Posted on 3/20/20 at 12:16 pm to Chromdome35
Looks like we flattening dat curve.
This post was edited on 3/20/20 at 12:16 pm
Posted on 3/20/20 at 12:17 pm to Sev09
quote:
BNO Newsroom @BNODesk · 23s BREAKING: Italy reports 5,986 new cases of coronavirus and 627 new deaths, raising total to 47,021 cases and 4,032 dead
WOW
Posted on 3/20/20 at 12:19 pm to 14&Counting
quote:
Who are the angry black women?
fixed
Posted on 3/20/20 at 12:21 pm to Bunyan
I don't care who you are or what your agenda is, what is happening in Italy is horrible. That is something more than "well, they are old, smoke, and live in sardine cans".
Posted on 3/20/20 at 12:27 pm to Chromdome35
Chromdome35- please keep em coming!
Posted on 3/20/20 at 12:32 pm to AthensTiger
eta: looks like a typo
This post was edited on 3/20/20 at 12:38 pm
Posted on 3/20/20 at 12:37 pm to Tiguar
quote:I think there are some lags in the death reporting, since it went from 205 to 218 sometime between when I checked it a 8:30 PM eastern and when I checked it again around 9:00.
3/20 major drop from where we were at noon yesterday, exactly one week after people starting taking this virus serious
So it increased by 13 in 30 minutes, then only increased by 1 in 15+ hours, most of which was overnight. Most likely there will be 50+ deaths by the end of the day (average rate from the linked data through yesterday), and probably more since the rate has been accelerating.
Posted on 3/20/20 at 12:38 pm to TigerCruise
It was 15,000 and it just went back down to 6,000. Somebody on the website screwed up 
Posted on 3/20/20 at 12:38 pm to buckeye_vol
quote:
So it increased by 13 in 30 minutes, then only increased by 1 in 15+ hours, most of which was overnight. Most likely there will be 50+ deaths by the end of the day (average rate from the linked data through yesterday), and probably more since the rate has been accelerating.
Mortality rate is dropping .1% each day as well. By next Tuesday could be under 1%
Posted on 3/20/20 at 12:41 pm to Bunyan
This is the same data I've been posting for the US, but for Italy. This is to show you what's happening there.


Posted on 3/20/20 at 12:44 pm to TigerFanatic99
quote:And imagine when it starts really hitting India, Africa, South America, etc.
I don't care who you are or what your agenda is, what is happening in Italy is horrible.
Luckily for most of those areas, their populations are younger overall, but just about every other population risk factor (sanitation, density, healthcare, communication, poverty, infrastructure, etc.) is so much worse than any of the countries who have had widespread outbreaks thus far, save for Iran.
Posted on 3/20/20 at 12:49 pm to Magician2
quote:Maybe, but between the lag in deaths after cases, the testing supply finally starting to catch up to the demand, the effects of the measure put in place to limit the cases themselves, and the increased likelihood of mortality as the healthcare system becomes stretched thinner, I think we’ll likely see a trend towards stabilization sooner rather than later.
Mortality rate is dropping .1% each day as well. By next Tuesday could be under 1%
Posted on 3/20/20 at 12:51 pm to buckeye_vol
bvol, why do you think the Italian lockdown isn’t working too well so far?
Posted on 3/20/20 at 1:10 pm to HailHailtoMichigan!
quote:I don't know. Maybe it will too late, or maybe a lockdown in a multigenerational home was a risk in and of itself.
bvol, why do you think the Italian lockdown isn’t working too well so far?
And it's always possible that it could have been EVEN WORSE if the lockdown didn't happen.
My concern though is that, although I think the US will fare for more favorably in terms of mortality, we made some of the same crucial errors in regards to proactively testing and getting ahead of the spread that I think we'll end up worse of than we could have been.
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