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Message

re: California could lose 4-5, maybe more, US congressional seats in 2030

Posted on 7/4/25 at 9:25 am to
Posted by stout
Porte du Lafitte
Member since Sep 2006
182455 posts
Posted on 7/4/25 at 9:25 am to
quote:

let's have an Executive Order and force SCOTUS to do so


I agree

Trump vs NY in 2020 was dismissed by the SC because they claimed the policy was not fully fleshed out and defined yet. An EO could address those concerns and force the SC to finally take up the case.
Posted by SlowFlowPro
With populists, expect populism
Member since Jan 2004
476983 posts
Posted on 7/4/25 at 9:51 am to
quote:

let's review the actual text:


quote:

Representatives shall be apportioned among the several States according to their respective numbers, counting the whole number of persons in each State, excluding Indians not taxed.


quote:

not taxed; illegal aliens are SUPPOSED to pay taxes; but don't always do so


INDIANS not taxed. Illegals aren't "Indians" so this clause doesn't apply to them

quote:

But when the right to vote at any election for the choice of electors for President and Vice-President of the United States, Representatives in Congress, the Executive and Judicial officers of a State, or the members of the Legislature thereof, is denied to any of the male inhabitants of such State, being twenty-one years of age, and citizens of the United States, or in any way abridged, except for participation in rebellion, or other crime, the basis of representation therein shall be reduced in the proportion which the number of such male citizens shall bear to the whole number of male citizens twenty-one years of age in such State.


quote:

looks like we do not have clear direction that non citizens should be counted insofar as determining the number of electors assigned to each state


The clause you quoted was about reducing it after citizens who can't vote are taken off the rolls. It only applies there, and non-citizens cannot vote, so this has no commentary on non-citizens accordingly. Also, just to further clarify, it specifically specifies the reduction is calculated in terms of citizens.

quote:

in fact; this looks like clear direction that non citizens should absolutely not be counted to determine how many electoral votes a state is awarded...

Except the part you quoted is only discussing citizens.

quote:

last time I checked; entering the country illegally is an actual crime; if we are going to define a crime as "breaking the law"

Again, tihs only applies to citizens.

quote:

but according to the actual text -

You don't understand the actual text.

Posted by SlowFlowPro
With populists, expect populism
Member since Jan 2004
476983 posts
Posted on 7/4/25 at 9:54 am to
quote:

Confused. So the below isn't true?


No it's true. Were slaves citizens? Did we count slaves for apportioning representatives? Here's the language:

quote:

Representatives and direct Taxes shall be apportioned among the several States which may be included within this Union, according to their respective Numbers, which shall be determined by adding to the whole Number of free Persons, including those bound to Service for a Term of Years, and excluding Indians not taxed, three fifths of all other Persons.


Looks like we counted non-citizens (Slaves) in the count.

quote:

Sound like if it wasnt truly ALL "persons" from the start, it can be worked with to fit our current needs.

Only if the text specifically excludes a group, which was Indians exclusively.

What other groups can you find in the text who were specifically excluded?
Posted by dcbl
Good guys wear white hats.
Member since Sep 2013
32179 posts
Posted on 7/4/25 at 9:55 am to
quote:

Except the part you quoted is only discussing citizens.



exactly - which means that only citizens should be counted insofar as determining representation

quote:

You don't understand the actual text.



I do understand the text; it's clear that you do not, or at a minimum, want to obfuscate and make something up that fits your agenda; much like "muh abortion is a Constitutional right!"
Posted by ghoast
Member since Jul 2020
1936 posts
Posted on 7/4/25 at 9:56 am to
quote:

It's pretty on brand for this board these days to downvote the truth


Here’s a truthful post that won’t get many, if any, downvotes.

“You’re a fricking idiot.”
Posted by Auburn1968
NYC
Member since Mar 2019
26512 posts
Posted on 7/4/25 at 9:56 am to
quote:

Unfortunately I think these California transplants are going to vote exactly the same and we'll see the state erode.


California used to be a red state that was prosperous. The Reaganites from Cal will be the majority of those that flee first.

Some of those that flee CA will be idiots who try to recreate what they just fled, but many will be the most staunch resistance against it.
Posted by SlowFlowPro
With populists, expect populism
Member since Jan 2004
476983 posts
Posted on 7/4/25 at 9:58 am to
quote:

exactly - which means that only citizens should be counted insofar as determining representation

That's not what that portion says.

That's a way to decrease the amount counted, not an expression of who is counted. You're not making a logical argument.

quote:

I do understand the text; it's clear that you do not, or at a minimum, want to obfuscate



quote:

and make something up that fits your agenda;

I have no agenda. I'm discussing the text and current state of the law.

quote:

much like "muh abortion is a Constitutional right!"

Holy shite
Posted by SlowFlowPro
With populists, expect populism
Member since Jan 2004
476983 posts
Posted on 7/4/25 at 9:58 am to
quote:

Here’s a truthful post that won’t get many, if any, downvotes.

“You’re a fricking idiot.”

Truthful? Naw fam
Posted by imjustafatkid
Alabama
Member since Dec 2011
65858 posts
Posted on 7/4/25 at 9:59 am to
quote:

And before people melt, just remember we have been counting non-citizens for these purposes since day 1. The original Constitution was specifically written by our Founders to specifically do just this. It's not some crazy new idea of modernity.


Nope. As always, SFP is wrong.
Posted by JimEverett
Member since May 2020
2408 posts
Posted on 7/4/25 at 10:00 am to
quote:

You sure about that?

I don't think they've ever ruled on those arguments/merits


Yeah. SCOTUS ruled that a citizenship question could be added to the Censys, but did not touch the question of whether apportionment could be based on citizenship alone.
Posted by dcbl
Good guys wear white hats.
Member since Sep 2013
32179 posts
Posted on 7/4/25 at 10:00 am to
quote:

You're not making a logical argument.


the text clearly gives preference and weight to citizens; and clearly allows the exclusion of criminals

you are the one not making a logical argument
Posted by SlowFlowPro
With populists, expect populism
Member since Jan 2004
476983 posts
Posted on 7/4/25 at 10:05 am to
quote:

Nope. As always, SFP is wrong.

So you've never heard of the 3/5 Compromise/Clause?
Posted by SlowFlowPro
With populists, expect populism
Member since Jan 2004
476983 posts
Posted on 7/4/25 at 10:10 am to
quote:

the text clearly gives preference and weight to citizens; and clearly allows the exclusion of criminals

No. There is no "preference"

That clause says that if citizens cannot vote, their numbers are taken out proportionally.

This portion was to disincentivize the South from removing the right to vote from freed slaves and black citizens, punishing them in their representation if they did so. That's why rebellion or crimes are excluded, because that is not an improper denial of the right to vote.

Here is an article about it

quote:

In short, under Section Two of the Fourteenth Amendment, if a state denies men the right to vote, then that state can lose representation in Congress.


quote:

When the Civil War was over, the pressing question was when and how to readmit the Southern states. Article I of the Constitution directed representation in Congress to be apportioned among the states according to their population, “including those bound to Service for a Term of Years, and excluding Indians not taxed, three fifths of all other Persons.” And slaves, of course, were the “other Persons.” So after slavery was abolished, Northerners were concerned about the effects of newly freed slaves being considered “persons” for Article I purposes.

This posed a huge political problem for the North. The freed slaves would be counted in full for purposes of representation even if readmitted Southern states denied them the right to vote. This would give the slave states more power than ever in Congress, while black voters would have no say over who their representatives were. The Northerners worried that with this power, Southern representatives could restore slavery, at least in effect.

The North intended the Fourteenth Amendment to be its solution. Section One granted citizenship to the newly free slaves (though never explicitly referencing race), and Section Two provided a penalty for states that disenfranchised their male citizens. Section Two was intended to discourage Southern states, some of which had a population that was half black, from denying their black citizens the right to vote.
Posted by CountryVolFan
Knoxville, TN
Member since Dec 2008
3076 posts
Posted on 7/4/25 at 10:14 am to
quote:

Will likely take more as a Constitutional amendment should be necessary


Why do you keep saying this in every thread. This is an ignorant legal argument. There is 100% a pathway to do this without an amendment.

One a semi-resonable argument can be made, it’s a political issue decided by SCOTUS. He needs 5 Black Robes not an amendment.
Posted by SlowFlowPro
With populists, expect populism
Member since Jan 2004
476983 posts
Posted on 7/4/25 at 10:15 am to
quote:

Why do you keep saying this in every thread. This is an ignorant legal argument. There is 100% a pathway to do this without an amendment.

One a semi-resonable argument can be made, it’s a political issue decided by SCOTUS. He needs 5 Black Robes not an amendment.

You're right. I forgot MAGA was all about the "Living Constitution" these days.
Posted by Solo Cam
Member since Sep 2015
35055 posts
Posted on 7/4/25 at 10:16 am to
quote:

That’s only a recent developments with Ron at the helm.
Yes Florida used to be purple but now it's deep red, honestly it's probably the strongest republican state in the country outside of Oklahoma
Posted by VOR
New Orleans
Member since Apr 2009
68825 posts
Posted on 7/4/25 at 10:19 am to
Well, in the late 18th century the founders and framers counted all inhabitants in census mnbers…
Posted by idlewatcher
Planet Arium
Member since Jan 2012
97017 posts
Posted on 7/4/25 at 10:19 am to
quote:

Texas isn't as Red as some would like to think. Over 30% of their congressional representatives are democrats and they produced Jasmine Crockett and Al Green


They represent primarily black districts.
Posted by dcbl
Good guys wear white hats.
Member since Sep 2013
32179 posts
Posted on 7/4/25 at 10:19 am to
quote:

That clause says that if citizens cannot vote, their numbers are taken out proportionally.



well; illegal aliens can't vote (in most states and areas) & should also be excluded proportionately (logically speaking that is)

insofar as your article; that can also be interpreted to support my argument and the argument that Trump is making; the 14th was for freed slaves and was never intended to be used as a tool to allow the US to be overrun with illegal aliens

I want an EO or a codified law to force SCOTUS to take this matter up
Posted by TigerOnThe Hill
Springhill, LA
Member since Sep 2008
7572 posts
Posted on 7/4/25 at 10:25 am to
quote:

And why the Dems want open boarders and illegals to vote.

I agree that's part of the explanation for open borders. Having illegals vote can affect everything but the Electoral College. But illegals don't even have to vote to affect the Electoral College. Illegals were being preferentially sent to Blue states/cities. By using illegals to increase the number of "citizens" counted by the census of Blue states, one could increase the number of Electoral College votes of Blue states.
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