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Blue states lose House seats - Red states gain House seats

Posted on 4/27/21 at 3:35 pm
Posted by Landmass
Member since Jun 2013
18108 posts
Posted on 4/27/21 at 3:35 pm
This post was edited on 4/27/21 at 3:36 pm
Posted by tiggerthetooth
Big Momma's House
Member since Oct 2010
61213 posts
Posted on 4/27/21 at 3:35 pm to
Hopefully the people moving are red.
Posted by BlackHelicopterPilot
Top secret lab
Member since Feb 2004
52833 posts
Posted on 4/27/21 at 3:36 pm to
Red states get more "purple" is more like it
Posted by spslayto
Member since Feb 2004
19704 posts
Posted on 4/27/21 at 3:37 pm to
quote:

Red states get more "purple" is more like it


Yep. They mess up their states and want to move.
Posted by Pelican fan99
Lafayette, Louisiana
Member since Jun 2013
34715 posts
Posted on 4/27/21 at 3:42 pm to
I wonder how much longer Texas can sustain this. Once they go blue its all over
Posted by Marciano1
Marksville, LA
Member since Jun 2009
18421 posts
Posted on 4/27/21 at 3:45 pm to
quote:

I wonder how much longer Texas can sustain this. Once they go blue its all over

It won't be long. A clown like Beto O'Rourke was very close to beating Ted Cruz two years ago.

Trump went from a 9% win in 2016 to 5% in 2020.
This post was edited on 4/27/21 at 3:46 pm
Posted by tigeraddict
Baton Rouge
Member since Mar 2007
11805 posts
Posted on 4/27/21 at 3:48 pm to
difference in 2020 election:

Texas: +2 rep
Fla: +1 Rep
NC: +1 Rep
MT: +1 Rep
OH: -1 rep
WV: -1 rep

NET: +3 rep

2016 election change:

Texas: +2 rep
Fla: +1 Rep
NC: +1 Rep
MT: +1 Rep
OH: -1 rep
WV: -1 rep
MI: -1 rep
Penn: -1 rep

NET: +1 rep

with respect to path of victory from 2016's trump win, only a net change of (+1) EC vote
Posted by Marciano1
Marksville, LA
Member since Jun 2009
18421 posts
Posted on 4/27/21 at 3:49 pm to
quote:

with respect to path of victory from 2016's trump win, only a net change of (+1) EC vote

And two of Trump's wins (Texas, N Carolina) are quickly turning blue.
Posted by Lima Whiskey
Member since Apr 2013
19218 posts
Posted on 4/27/21 at 3:54 pm to
I assume the people in Montana are Californians. Tech people.

It’s not a good thing.
Posted by CGSC Lobotomy
Member since Sep 2011
80108 posts
Posted on 4/27/21 at 3:56 pm to
Do you really think blue states losing seats will lose DEMOCRAT seats?
Posted by Rex Feral
Athens
Member since Jan 2014
11310 posts
Posted on 4/27/21 at 3:57 pm to
quote:

Red states get more "purple" is more like it


Not if they have Republican legislatures that can re-district democrats out of office. Gerrymandering for the win.
Posted by jlovel7
Louisiana
Member since Aug 2014
21308 posts
Posted on 4/27/21 at 3:58 pm to
It always surprises me those New England states aren’t more populated than they are. Especially given how old they are.
Posted by Indefatigable
Member since Jan 2019
26206 posts
Posted on 4/27/21 at 3:58 pm to
quote:

Not if they have Republican legislatures that can re-district democrats out of office. Gerrymandering for the win.


That works both ways. Those blue states like CA IL and NY that are losing a district will be eliminating a red district.
This post was edited on 4/27/21 at 3:59 pm
Posted by ragincajun03
Member since Nov 2007
21225 posts
Posted on 4/27/21 at 3:59 pm to
In the case of Texas, more EC votes that likely go to a GOP Presidential candidate. However, possibly could mean one or two of those additional seats is won by a Democrat.

Redistricting will be interesting.
Posted by riccoar
Arkansas
Member since Mar 2006
2975 posts
Posted on 4/27/21 at 4:08 pm to
Texas turning blue is a myth. Just like anyone with two brain cells knows Trump didn't lose Georgia, Pennsylvania, or Michigan.

If he runs in 2024 I will guarantee you that you will see the correction and neither Ole Pops or Whoremala will get anywhere close to 80 million. Because they didn't get 80 million legit in 2020.
Posted by Bard
Definitely NOT an admin
Member since Oct 2008
51579 posts
Posted on 4/27/21 at 4:08 pm to
Texas and Montana are GOP gains. DeSantis and the last twenty years is making Florida a GOP gain.

North Carolina seems to be transitioning GOP. Their legislature has been GOP-led for the last decade but they seem to like having a Democrat as Governor. This should result in an extra GOP seat in the House.

Oregon is a gain for Dems, there's simply no question on that.

At first glance most would think Cali is going to be a Democrat loss but it may not be. Cali's redistricting is done by a 5-Dem, 5-GOP panel. Considering how much power the Democrats hold in California it wouldn't shock me to see them try to squeeze out a GOP seat (it will be incredibly difficult as those aren't the small, heavily populated districts which are more easily gerrymandered out, but it's California so "crazy" is always an option). Most likely it's a Democrat loss.

Contrary to North Carolina, Colorado has been going Democrat. This will most likely be a gain for them.

West Virginia has only GOP members in the House so that's a GOP loss.

Illinois: See California.

Michigan: Democrat loss.

Pennsylvania: The GOP held the State Senate since '94 and State House since 2010. Democrats lose a seat here.

New York: If they can squeeze out a GOP Representative, they will. Their legislature is heavily Democrat (both chambers) and... well... Cuomo. I'm going to call this one a GOP loss.

Ohio: The GOP has held the "trifecta" here for the last decade. This will be a Democrat loss.


GOP loses 2 (WVA and NY) but gains 4 (TX, MT, FL & NC) while Dems lose 4 (CA, IL, MI & OH) but gain 2 (OR & CO)

Final Total: GOP +2 (effectively +4 since the Dems lose 2 at the same time)


***EDIT***

Make that GOP +3, I forgot Texas won 2 seats while I was writing all this.
This post was edited on 4/27/21 at 8:05 pm
Posted by Cyclator
Member since Apr 2021
83 posts
Posted on 4/27/21 at 4:16 pm to
Colorado is a blue state and gained one additional House seat due largely to the influx of people fleeing other blue states
Posted by Bard
Definitely NOT an admin
Member since Oct 2008
51579 posts
Posted on 4/27/21 at 4:27 pm to
quote:

Red states get more "purple" is more like it


Maybe, maybe not.

For Texas many are moving to Austin. That's doing little but making a liberal area more liberal. Speaking of which, Austin is currently re-thinking their public camping allowance and I can't help but wonder if some of that isn't due to people coming from LA, San Fran, etc. quietly whispering "trust us when we say you need to get a handle on that shite now".



Others moving to more red areas have more of a chance to become red-pilled due to experiencing the differences in blue areas then red than turn their neighbors blue, unless they move in clumps and create whole neighborhoods together of course.
Posted by Marciano1
Marksville, LA
Member since Jun 2009
18421 posts
Posted on 4/28/21 at 8:52 am to
quote:

I assume the people in Montana are Californians. Tech people.

It’s not a good thing.
Correct - they are all moving to Billings MT.
Posted by ksayetiger
Centenary Gents
Member since Jul 2007
68301 posts
Posted on 4/28/21 at 8:58 am to
quote:

It always surprises me those New England states aren’t more populated than they are. Especially given how old they are.



they are tiny in size, relatively

it takes an afternoon to drive through 4 states
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