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Message
Blue states lose House seats - Red states gain House seats
Posted on 4/27/21 at 3:35 pm
Posted on 4/27/21 at 3:35 pm
This post was edited on 4/27/21 at 3:36 pm
Posted on 4/27/21 at 3:35 pm to Landmass
Hopefully the people moving are red.
Posted on 4/27/21 at 3:36 pm to Landmass
Red states get more "purple" is more like it
Posted on 4/27/21 at 3:37 pm to BlackHelicopterPilot
quote:
Red states get more "purple" is more like it
Yep. They mess up their states and want to move.
Posted on 4/27/21 at 3:42 pm to Landmass
I wonder how much longer Texas can sustain this. Once they go blue its all over
Posted on 4/27/21 at 3:45 pm to Pelican fan99
quote:
I wonder how much longer Texas can sustain this. Once they go blue its all over
It won't be long. A clown like Beto O'Rourke was very close to beating Ted Cruz two years ago.
Trump went from a 9% win in 2016 to 5% in 2020.
This post was edited on 4/27/21 at 3:46 pm
Posted on 4/27/21 at 3:48 pm to Landmass
difference in 2020 election:
Texas: +2 rep
Fla: +1 Rep
NC: +1 Rep
MT: +1 Rep
OH: -1 rep
WV: -1 rep
NET: +3 rep
2016 election change:
Texas: +2 rep
Fla: +1 Rep
NC: +1 Rep
MT: +1 Rep
OH: -1 rep
WV: -1 rep
MI: -1 rep
Penn: -1 rep
NET: +1 rep
with respect to path of victory from 2016's trump win, only a net change of (+1) EC vote
Texas: +2 rep
Fla: +1 Rep
NC: +1 Rep
MT: +1 Rep
OH: -1 rep
WV: -1 rep
NET: +3 rep
2016 election change:
Texas: +2 rep
Fla: +1 Rep
NC: +1 Rep
MT: +1 Rep
OH: -1 rep
WV: -1 rep
MI: -1 rep
Penn: -1 rep
NET: +1 rep
with respect to path of victory from 2016's trump win, only a net change of (+1) EC vote
Posted on 4/27/21 at 3:49 pm to tigeraddict
quote:
with respect to path of victory from 2016's trump win, only a net change of (+1) EC vote
And two of Trump's wins (Texas, N Carolina) are quickly turning blue.
Posted on 4/27/21 at 3:54 pm to tiggerthetooth
I assume the people in Montana are Californians. Tech people.
It’s not a good thing.
It’s not a good thing.
Posted on 4/27/21 at 3:56 pm to Landmass
Do you really think blue states losing seats will lose DEMOCRAT seats?
Posted on 4/27/21 at 3:57 pm to BlackHelicopterPilot
quote:
Red states get more "purple" is more like it
Not if they have Republican legislatures that can re-district democrats out of office. Gerrymandering for the win.
Posted on 4/27/21 at 3:58 pm to Landmass
It always surprises me those New England states aren’t more populated than they are. Especially given how old they are.
Posted on 4/27/21 at 3:58 pm to Rex Feral
quote:
Not if they have Republican legislatures that can re-district democrats out of office. Gerrymandering for the win.
That works both ways. Those blue states like CA IL and NY that are losing a district will be eliminating a red district.
This post was edited on 4/27/21 at 3:59 pm
Posted on 4/27/21 at 3:59 pm to Landmass
In the case of Texas, more EC votes that likely go to a GOP Presidential candidate. However, possibly could mean one or two of those additional seats is won by a Democrat.
Redistricting will be interesting.
Redistricting will be interesting.
Posted on 4/27/21 at 4:08 pm to Marciano1
Texas turning blue is a myth. Just like anyone with two brain cells knows Trump didn't lose Georgia, Pennsylvania, or Michigan.
If he runs in 2024 I will guarantee you that you will see the correction and neither Ole Pops or Whoremala will get anywhere close to 80 million. Because they didn't get 80 million legit in 2020.
If he runs in 2024 I will guarantee you that you will see the correction and neither Ole Pops or Whoremala will get anywhere close to 80 million. Because they didn't get 80 million legit in 2020.
Posted on 4/27/21 at 4:08 pm to Landmass
Texas and Montana are GOP gains. DeSantis and the last twenty years is making Florida a GOP gain.
North Carolina seems to be transitioning GOP. Their legislature has been GOP-led for the last decade but they seem to like having a Democrat as Governor. This should result in an extra GOP seat in the House.
Oregon is a gain for Dems, there's simply no question on that.
At first glance most would think Cali is going to be a Democrat loss but it may not be. Cali's redistricting is done by a 5-Dem, 5-GOP panel. Considering how much power the Democrats hold in California it wouldn't shock me to see them try to squeeze out a GOP seat (it will be incredibly difficult as those aren't the small, heavily populated districts which are more easily gerrymandered out, but it's California so "crazy" is always an option). Most likely it's a Democrat loss.
Contrary to North Carolina, Colorado has been going Democrat. This will most likely be a gain for them.
West Virginia has only GOP members in the House so that's a GOP loss.
Illinois: See California.
Michigan: Democrat loss.
Pennsylvania: The GOP held the State Senate since '94 and State House since 2010. Democrats lose a seat here.
New York: If they can squeeze out a GOP Representative, they will. Their legislature is heavily Democrat (both chambers) and... well... Cuomo. I'm going to call this one a GOP loss.
Ohio: The GOP has held the "trifecta" here for the last decade. This will be a Democrat loss.
GOP loses 2 (WVA and NY) but gains 4 (TX, MT, FL & NC) while Dems lose 4 (CA, IL, MI & OH) but gain 2 (OR & CO)
Final Total: GOP +2 (effectively +4 since the Dems lose 2 at the same time)
***EDIT***
Make that GOP +3, I forgot Texas won 2 seats while I was writing all this.
North Carolina seems to be transitioning GOP. Their legislature has been GOP-led for the last decade but they seem to like having a Democrat as Governor. This should result in an extra GOP seat in the House.
Oregon is a gain for Dems, there's simply no question on that.
At first glance most would think Cali is going to be a Democrat loss but it may not be. Cali's redistricting is done by a 5-Dem, 5-GOP panel. Considering how much power the Democrats hold in California it wouldn't shock me to see them try to squeeze out a GOP seat (it will be incredibly difficult as those aren't the small, heavily populated districts which are more easily gerrymandered out, but it's California so "crazy" is always an option). Most likely it's a Democrat loss.
Contrary to North Carolina, Colorado has been going Democrat. This will most likely be a gain for them.
West Virginia has only GOP members in the House so that's a GOP loss.
Illinois: See California.
Michigan: Democrat loss.
Pennsylvania: The GOP held the State Senate since '94 and State House since 2010. Democrats lose a seat here.
New York: If they can squeeze out a GOP Representative, they will. Their legislature is heavily Democrat (both chambers) and... well... Cuomo. I'm going to call this one a GOP loss.
Ohio: The GOP has held the "trifecta" here for the last decade. This will be a Democrat loss.
GOP loses 2 (WVA and NY) but gains 4 (TX, MT, FL & NC) while Dems lose 4 (CA, IL, MI & OH) but gain 2 (OR & CO)
Final Total: GOP +2 (effectively +4 since the Dems lose 2 at the same time)
***EDIT***
Make that GOP +3, I forgot Texas won 2 seats while I was writing all this.
This post was edited on 4/27/21 at 8:05 pm
Posted on 4/27/21 at 4:16 pm to Landmass
Colorado is a blue state and gained one additional House seat due largely to the influx of people fleeing other blue states
Posted on 4/27/21 at 4:27 pm to BlackHelicopterPilot
quote:
Red states get more "purple" is more like it
Maybe, maybe not.
For Texas many are moving to Austin. That's doing little but making a liberal area more liberal. Speaking of which, Austin is currently re-thinking their public camping allowance and I can't help but wonder if some of that isn't due to people coming from LA, San Fran, etc. quietly whispering "trust us when we say you need to get a handle on that shite now".
Others moving to more red areas have more of a chance to become red-pilled due to experiencing the differences in blue areas then red than turn their neighbors blue, unless they move in clumps and create whole neighborhoods together of course.
Posted on 4/28/21 at 8:52 am to Lima Whiskey
quote:Correct - they are all moving to Billings MT.
I assume the people in Montana are Californians. Tech people.
It’s not a good thing.
Posted on 4/28/21 at 8:58 am to jlovel7
quote:
It always surprises me those New England states aren’t more populated than they are. Especially given how old they are.
they are tiny in size, relatively
it takes an afternoon to drive through 4 states
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