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Message
re: Black Philly Returns down 41% from 2020
Posted on 10/26/24 at 2:13 pm to John Barron
Posted on 10/26/24 at 2:13 pm to John Barron
Early voting for the first time has revealed how much to me the black vote is low propensity...or I guess low effort would be better. I think that's why mail in heavy 2020 let them shine.
In the heart of very black and very Democrat Shreveport, I saw maybe 6 black voters in a very long line. Of the 6 I saw... most (at least 4) came straight up to the cop, claimed to have some kind of disability (I'm here to nor interested in speculating if it was legit or not) and got shuffled to the front of the line...dropping g the effort for them to vote
White liberals make liberal politics their whole life...they would camp out a week to vote, most of the nation is pissed is getting out the vote to correct course. It seems like everywhere the black vote is lagging, and while anecdotal, I feel like I saw why
In the heart of very black and very Democrat Shreveport, I saw maybe 6 black voters in a very long line. Of the 6 I saw... most (at least 4) came straight up to the cop, claimed to have some kind of disability (I'm here to nor interested in speculating if it was legit or not) and got shuffled to the front of the line...dropping g the effort for them to vote
White liberals make liberal politics their whole life...they would camp out a week to vote, most of the nation is pissed is getting out the vote to correct course. It seems like everywhere the black vote is lagging, and while anecdotal, I feel like I saw why
1
Posted on 10/26/24 at 2:14 pm to John Barron
Here’s my only concern…. Republicans are outpacing democrats early voting but are these unlikely voters doing it early or are these typical day of voters who are voting early? Republicans still need a heavy vote in Election Day. That’s typically when we pull ahead of Democrats.
It’s great to jump out to an early lead but we’re still need day of votes. This election season is something we’ve never witnessed.
My opinion…. There will be more republicans vote this election than any election prior and I think many democrats have switched parties. I also think the democrats are not motivated. She has less enthusiasm than any prior Democrat in recent history.
It’s great to jump out to an early lead but we’re still need day of votes. This election season is something we’ve never witnessed.
My opinion…. There will be more republicans vote this election than any election prior and I think many democrats have switched parties. I also think the democrats are not motivated. She has less enthusiasm than any prior Democrat in recent history.
Posted on 10/26/24 at 2:20 pm to crossfire
quote:
early voting but are these unlikely voters doing it early or are these typical day of voters who are voting early?
Republicans are turning out Low Propensity voters according to the Data Gurus on X. That's what the get out the early vote by the RNC goal was, find the low propensity voters and get them to vote early
Posted on 10/26/24 at 2:22 pm to Bwmdx
quote:
So far…..
The Democrats are behind their previous performance of 2020. Not by a little, but by a lot. Anyone with common sense can see Kamala is a bad candidate. She makes Biden look like a gregarious showman, lol.
Posted on 10/26/24 at 2:24 pm to crossfire
quote:
She has less enthusiasm than any prior Democrat in recent history.
That’s an understatement, lol. She is not very relatable or likable.
Posted on 10/26/24 at 2:47 pm to John Barron
Suburban women will put Harris over the top. The lower black turnout doesn’t matter, those ballots will still be harvested/filled out
Posted on 10/26/24 at 2:52 pm to deltaland
quote:
lower black turnout doesn’t matter, those ballots will still be harvested/filled out
It's fricking crazy that you as a Democrat, openly acknowledge your party's unethical behavior and see no issue with it.
Posted on 10/26/24 at 3:02 pm to BrohemAlem11
40 percent would be like 200K votes. Going to be hard to manufacturer.
Posted on 10/26/24 at 3:12 pm to John Barron
It is early.
Posted on 10/26/24 at 3:15 pm to shinerfan
quote:
Time makes you bolder
Even children get older
And I'm gettin' older too
Yep Stevie is warming up
Posted on 10/26/24 at 3:53 pm to SWINC
41% in Philly, what about Pittsburgh?
Posted on 10/26/24 at 3:57 pm to vl100butch
Pittsburgh seems to be a lot more Trumpy than Philly . I bet he gets close to 30% Black vote in Western PA.
Posted on 10/26/24 at 4:08 pm to John Barron
I dont think its enthusiasm, I think all the focus on stopping the cheat is showing results.......2020 was never close.
Posted on 10/26/24 at 4:10 pm to John Barron
LFG!!!!!
Dark maga!!!!!
Dark maga!!!!!
Posted on 10/26/24 at 4:32 pm to John Barron
Thanks, JB! I haven’t been watching a lot about the early votes but if you’re right this thing is cooked. If the regular “Day of voters” like me still show up and most of these early votes truly are low propensity then this thing could get out of hand.
Posted on 10/26/24 at 4:33 pm to John Barron
Those ballots will show up even if the voters don’t. It’s Philly.
Posted on 10/26/24 at 4:37 pm to crossfire
No Problem. That's what the data gurus are saying so the numbers are the numbers. Another good example is 2 days ago Jon Ralston speculated the numbers in Nevada would slow down for Republicans but that didn't happen. They actually increased to a 30,000 Republican lead. He got awfully quiet after that.
Posted on 10/26/24 at 4:37 pm to John Barron
quote:
Dems keeping pace with 2020 levels in Philly suburbs and basically nowhere else
So the suburban wine moms and single white women are still showing up and voting Kamala while black men in the city are like frick this bitch.
Posted on 10/26/24 at 4:40 pm to LuckyTiger
quote:
showing up and voting Kamala
I bet Trump does better with suburban women this year. Alot of Women are upset with the Men in Women sports thing.
Posted on 10/26/24 at 4:44 pm to BamaScoop
quote:Exactly! They have to go to the grocery store, and when they do, they also feel like they have walked into a foreign country.
And there is no telling how many democrats that are voting are voting for Trump!
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