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Started By
Message
1yr ltr: computer modelling projections of COVID deaths were 937020%+ actual in somecases
Posted on 4/24/21 at 8:37 pm
Posted on 4/24/21 at 8:37 pm
No, I didn't forget a period in that.
LINK
TLDR: Imperial College were the main modelers that everyone based their lockdown decisions on. They threw a shitfit when it go t pointed out to them how wrong they were and continually deflected. It's likely it will be a career ender in the science community to point out their flaws.
How far off were they in their estimates? Oh ho ho:
But you should TOTALLY trust climate computer modelling.
Also: i'm back motherfrickers.
LINK
TLDR: Imperial College were the main modelers that everyone based their lockdown decisions on. They threw a shitfit when it go t pointed out to them how wrong they were and continually deflected. It's likely it will be a career ender in the science community to point out their flaws.
quote:
Failure to act, they continued, would lead to near-certain catastrophe. As Ferguson and his team wrote, “[t]he only approaches that can avert health system failure in the coming months are likely to be the intensive social distancing measures currently being implemented in many of the most affected countries, preferably combined with high levels of testing.” In short, the world needed to go into immediate lockdown in order to avert the catastrophes predicted by their multi-country model.
How far off were they in their estimates? Oh ho ho:
But you should TOTALLY trust climate computer modelling.
Also: i'm back motherfrickers.
This post was edited on 4/24/21 at 8:39 pm
18
Posted on 4/24/21 at 8:39 pm to cokebottleag
quote:
How far off were they in their estimates?
If only we had worn 3 masks at the beginning.
Posted on 4/24/21 at 8:39 pm to cokebottleag
Scientists are some of the biggest grifters on the planet.
Posted on 4/24/21 at 8:43 pm to cokebottleag
I mean they weren't THAT far off in the USA. Totally unmitigated I could see 2,000,000 elderly and obese dying pretty easily.
Posted on 4/24/21 at 8:44 pm to AUstar
Right, only 95% off. That looks pretty close when compared to the others.
Posted on 4/24/21 at 8:45 pm to cokebottleag
But, orange motha fricka bad.
Posted on 4/24/21 at 8:45 pm to cokebottleag
Damn, they wanted Taiwan destroyed.
Posted on 4/24/21 at 8:47 pm to cokebottleag
I feel like Tiawan may be the only country listed that didnt inflate their numbers. I'm looking at you United States!
Posted on 4/24/21 at 9:06 pm to cokebottleag
I figure, breathing is the risk I take for living life.
I take a chance everyday of my life that going out in public might mean I could catch the common cold, the flu, TB, whooping cough, radiation poisoned air, enterovirus, norovirus, adenovirus or even a new strain of coronavirus.
To me, a well-equipped immune system seems more fashionable than hazmat suit. But what the hell do I know. I'm no scientist.
I take a chance everyday of my life that going out in public might mean I could catch the common cold, the flu, TB, whooping cough, radiation poisoned air, enterovirus, norovirus, adenovirus or even a new strain of coronavirus.
To me, a well-equipped immune system seems more fashionable than hazmat suit. But what the hell do I know. I'm no scientist.
Posted on 4/24/21 at 9:16 pm to cokebottleag
quote:What was it like? Why didn't you go to the light?
Also: i'm back motherfrickers.
Posted on 4/24/21 at 9:38 pm to bAGginsAGinbarry
quote:
Right, only 95% off. That looks pretty close when compared to the others.
You seem to suck at math. They were off by 50%
Secondly; I seriously doubt the Taiwan number of deaths is legit.
Covid modeling was an utter joke, but I need to try and act like one data point being ridiculously off when the real data for that point is highly questionable.
In most cases, they were basically off by 50%, which isn’t that bad in reality given how little was known at the start.
Posted on 4/24/21 at 9:38 pm to HubbaBubba
quote:
Why didn't you go to the light?
He did. TD is the LIGHT!
Posted on 4/24/21 at 9:53 pm to cokebottleag
Like the modeling they use to suggest government run anything will SAVE us money.
Joke.
Joke.
Posted on 4/24/21 at 10:05 pm to cokebottleag
I don’t think this shows what you think it does. Japan, Taiwan and South Korea had some of the strictest Covid policies that extended past lockdown. Strict mask mandates and adherence to them, mandatory contract tracing and very strict travel policies. Contrast that with the US and Sweden where mask use and travel restrictions were mixed. Sweden having none at the beginning and then later implementing them.
Posted on 4/24/21 at 10:09 pm to cokebottleag
Welcome cb-ag back! You were missed!
Posted on 4/24/21 at 11:01 pm to AUstar
quote:
I mean they weren't THAT far off in the USA.
And what if the US was padding COVID numbers in an election year? Other countries would not have felt the need to, or even thought to do so. Kinda confirms that the US, in fact, did pad the numbers when compared to the others, right?
Posted on 4/24/21 at 11:12 pm to cokebottleag
quote:
But you should TOTALLY trust climate computer modelling.
Astrometria is your friend. Read it.
The US death total is fiction. If Taiwan had 10 deaths from COVID, then the US rate is like 12k. I doubt the numbers for both countries. The US total is definitely less than 500k.
Posted on 4/25/21 at 8:18 am to League Champs
Bingo
Posted on 4/25/21 at 8:34 am to cokebottleag
And most of those numbers of deaths are COMPLETE and UTTER bullshite
Posted on 4/25/21 at 8:36 am to FATBOY TIGER
quote:
But, orange motha fricka bad.
Jane Fonda calls coronavirus 'God's gift to the left'
* Note: Not gift to 'America', 'humanity', or 'the world ', but 'The Left '.
This post was edited on 4/25/21 at 8:38 am
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