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Posted on 10/26/20 at 7:51 pm to rds dc
quote:
They both show a pretty compact legit looking hurricane
Thanks for the feedback. That looks like a legit Cat 1 maybe even a weak 2. I'm inside substantial levee protection and don't have large trees near my home, but I need to decide how much of the plants and patio furniture I will need to protect.
Posted on 10/26/20 at 7:53 pm to NorthEndZone
I'm prepping for cat 4 now. shite was showing a TS yesterday
Posted on 10/26/20 at 7:53 pm to Notasnitch
Freaking Peej.
This post was edited on 10/26/20 at 7:54 pm
Posted on 10/26/20 at 7:54 pm to rds dc
Hours make all the difference.
Posted on 10/26/20 at 7:58 pm to rds dc
quote:
They both show a pretty compact legit looking hurricane. Have to see what the NHC thinks, if this trend continues. Part of the problem appears to be that the cutoff low coming out of the SW is slowing down and that is allowing for the system to have better conditions on approach to landfall vs. earlier runs that had the bowling ball low grinding up the the storm on approach.
goddamnit
Posted on 10/26/20 at 7:59 pm to rds dc
Dont like this.... Damn it peej...
Posted on 10/26/20 at 8:01 pm to Impotent Waffle
Pj nailed Marco when all others failed
Posted on 10/26/20 at 8:07 pm to LSUsmartass
00Z Model Runs
May get a half an H shift east at 10. Trend has been east the last few runs which is good news for SELA.
May get a half an H shift east at 10. Trend has been east the last few runs which is good news for SELA.
Posted on 10/26/20 at 8:11 pm to LSUTiger23
Looks to me it would be an ever slight shift west base on that.
Posted on 10/26/20 at 8:12 pm to LSUTiger23
quote:
May get a half an H shift east at 10. Trend has been east the last few runs which is good news for SELA.
as a lower terrebonne resident, i beg you to please be right
Posted on 10/26/20 at 8:12 pm to lsuman25
It'll be practically the same y'all. I doubt they change it all.
Posted on 10/26/20 at 8:13 pm to lsuman25
quote:
Looks to me it would be an ever slight shift west base on that.
What are we talkin? 1/8th of an H?
Posted on 10/26/20 at 8:13 pm to Duke
Oh I agree splitting hairs on that.
Posted on 10/26/20 at 8:14 pm to Duke
quote:
It'll be practically the same y'all. I doubt they change it all.
The anti dukke has spoken.
Posted on 10/26/20 at 8:14 pm to Impotent Waffle
quote:
What are we talkin? 1/8th of an H?
No probably 5/32
Posted on 10/26/20 at 8:50 pm to tilco
If we get to Theta no worries, gonna be big, but with a good personality.
Posted on 10/26/20 at 9:00 pm to Impotent Waffle
I would love to take peej with me to Vegas. Clean the whole city out.
Posted on 10/26/20 at 9:03 pm to Duke
quote:
That's some deep shear too on the GFS if not as dramatic as the HWRF.
So like 3-6 hours is the difference here between a mess of a storm and a minimal hurricane
Yea, it's going to be close and 6 - 12hrs could be the difference from a strong system and a rapidly weakening one. The problem, these big cutoff lows are very tricky to forecast and it is common to get bust on a 6 - 12hr forecast. You can see how things have trended.
Posted on 10/26/20 at 9:05 pm to Impotent Waffle
quote:
Dont like this.... Damn it peej...
Duckie said it wold get pushed East .. looks like it.
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