re: Y’all know anybody who had the virus?

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He wouldn’t know how.

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Let me try to help him... again.

There are over 200k registered users here, but let's assume that with all the alters and posters who have already passed over the years, that there are only 20k regular users. There have so far been 2,491 covid deaths in Louisiana, and the population is roughly 4.6 million. That means 0.054% of the state has died of covid, so the probability that a random poster has NOT died of covid is 0.99946, or 99.946%. We raise 0.99946 to the power of 20,000, and we get probability 0.00002034 (0.002%) that none of those people died of covid.

Stated another way, there is a 99.998% chance that at least 1 regular TD user has died of covid. And that's just the users themselves. If we are talking about people that the users KNOW, then the 20k jumps to 40k at a minimum. That's just if we each know 1 unique other person of the hundreds that we surely each know. That drops the probability down to .0000000004 (0.00000004%) that none of us knows a person who has died of covid.

Again, stated another way, there is a 99.99999996% chance that at least one of us here knows someone who has died of covid. Very conservatively.