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re: Winter thread: 3.5" officially in BR on the 8th day of meteorological winter!!
Posted on 12/5/17 at 8:28 am to bayoubengals88
Posted on 12/5/17 at 8:28 am to bayoubengals88
So no snow for DFW.
YAY!
YAY!
0
Posted on 12/5/17 at 8:33 am to GEAUXmedic
I dont care about snow, and I'm not particularly impressed with cold weather in general, but I wish we'd get a couple of hard freezes in a row to kill off some of these mosquitoes. they are taking over at my house lately. 
Posted on 12/5/17 at 8:34 am to bayoubengals88
Somehow the cold this week completely snuck up on me, I was so focused on the long range cold. Thursday night/Friday morning looks interesting. Precip lingering and temps getting awfully close. One thing to remember is that these models do not differentiate between snow and ice/sleet.
Posted on 12/5/17 at 8:44 am to East Coast Band
quote:
We had the same problem in 2016 in central Alabama. Went 70 days in a row no rain from early September to November.
Ended up a lot of trees died off this year.
Updyked.
Posted on 12/5/17 at 8:49 am to bayoubengals88
I have a hard time believing that Canadian. It's showing temps down into the mid-20s Sat AM in SE TX when everybody else and the official forecast have a low of 40.
Posted on 12/5/17 at 10:27 am to LSUJuice
From a meteorologist on another forum:
He also said:
quote:
12z NAM coming in colder. That's a snow sounding for New Orleans!!
He also said:
quote:
You have to be careful with those accumulated snow graphics. The models algorithms are not trustworthy. The reason why is that precipitation type forecasting is very complicated and circumstancial. It's not cut dry. I've looked at last night's GFS/NAM on Bufkit, and despite temps being well below freezing at 850mb and up, the low levels look way too warm.
What I can't really judge is the CMC & EURO, which I can't look at on Bufkit. But what appears different is that they appear to have another disturbance move through once we've had a little bit more cold air advection. Thus, why the EURO shows a wintry mix on Friday evening. It's hard to take a close look though, and see what's going on because I don't have access to sounding data in the model like the GFS/NAM. Only Allen Huffman's site has anything close to that, and I'm already paying for Weather Bell.
For now, I'm going to wait and see if the models trend colder. It's too bad there isn't a greater snow pack, because that would really help us out.
This post was edited on 12/5/17 at 10:29 am
Posted on 12/5/17 at 10:33 am to GEAUXmedic
One of those rare times enough deep cold may be in place. Last GFS had the 540 line digging quite a bit south of Louisiana. Of course, all the energy for the precip was already east of the area. Your met is almost certainly on point that it will take another little piece of energy trailing to produce some frozen stuff.
Posted on 12/5/17 at 10:39 am to Duke
NAM is going cookoo.
Posted on 12/5/17 at 10:43 am to GEAUXmedic
8 inches of snow in Houma? 
Posted on 12/5/17 at 10:44 am to GEAUXmedic
I will be damned if we miss out on snow to the SOUTH. lol
Posted on 12/5/17 at 10:46 am to supatigah
Lotta wishcasting in this thread...
Posted on 12/5/17 at 10:49 am to Jim Rockford
No wishcasting, there's no way in hell Houma will sniff an inch let alone 8. It just doesn't happen.
Not to mention I haven't seen anywhere temperatures low enough for long enough to sustain any wintry precip.
Not to mention I haven't seen anywhere temperatures low enough for long enough to sustain any wintry precip.
This post was edited on 12/5/17 at 10:52 am
Posted on 12/5/17 at 10:52 am to GEAUXmedic
Medic so what's the deal with the weather on Sat? Outside chance I am driving to Broussard this Saturday.
Posted on 12/5/17 at 10:54 am to GEAUXmedic
quote:
Not to mention I haven't seen anywhere temperatures low enough for long enough to sustain any wintry precip.
Do you even wet bulb bro?
Posted on 12/5/17 at 10:56 am to tigercraig
I'm just talking about the ground being cold enough to stick baw. Don't matter if it falls if it don't stick.
Posted on 12/5/17 at 11:05 am to GEAUXmedic
I had my windows open last night and woke up to 18dg. Love that shite.
Posted on 12/5/17 at 11:17 am to Jim Rockford
quote:
Lotta wishcasting in this thread...
Just for that little comment, I'm gonna make you look at this:
Posted on 12/5/17 at 12:16 pm to RidiculousHype
quote:
For at least the 3rd run in a row, the 12z ECM has a wintry mix for much of SE LA, especially on the Northshore, on Friday.
It'll be a minute before a public image of it comes out.
This post was edited on 12/5/17 at 12:17 pm
Posted on 12/5/17 at 12:38 pm to GEAUXmedic
quote:
I'm just talking about the ground being cold enough to stick baw. Don't matter if it falls if it don't stick.
Surface temps look warm depending on model anywhere from mid-30' to 40s. Column looks good, don't see any signs of a warm tongue but that is always a concern near the Gulf.
Posted on 12/5/17 at 12:49 pm to BigB0882
quote:
I will be damned if we miss out on snow to the SOUTH. lol
tell me about it
in January here in CenLA... we got an ice storm when we were hoping for snow
just a shite ton of sleet and frozen roads for like 2 days (didn't make my commute to work all that fun quite honestly)
but I would hate to miss on some snow when it's snowing in freaking New Orleans
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