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Winter thread: 3.5" officially in BR on the 8th day of meteorological winter!!

Posted on 11/27/17 at 3:10 pm
Posted by bayoubengals88
LA
Member since Sep 2007
18915 posts
Posted on 11/27/17 at 3:10 pm










There's not much action for Louisiana on my favorite weather forum, and I believe we've got some junkies here so let's give this a try!

I'm mainly interested in reading the opinions of others as it relates to the big climate factors for our area [(nao, pna, la nina, gulf lows (or lack thereof)...]

The more graphics and evidence, the better.

Full disclosure: I'm always rooting for cold and snow (always have), and I get emotional when I see cold air anomalies in GFS fantasy land.

I'll start us off by saying it looks like we could have a hell of a cold front approaching around 8 Dec.

and hopefully a -nao to lock in the cold...something we haven't experienced in quite a few Decembers.



This post was edited on 12/9/17 at 10:08 am
Posted by DestrehanTiger
Houston, TX by way of Louisiana
Member since Nov 2005
12467 posts
Posted on 11/27/17 at 3:14 pm to
Just like in the hurricane threads, I go a bit cross-eyed trying to figure out what these graphics are telling me.
Posted by Rouge
Floston Paradise
Member since Oct 2004
136803 posts
Posted on 11/27/17 at 3:15 pm to
i dont know what any of this means, so here is a gif of ScarJo

Posted by TheCurmudgeon
Not where I want to be
Member since Aug 2014
1481 posts
Posted on 11/27/17 at 3:15 pm to
well that'd be awesome
Posted by Motorboat
At the camp
Member since Oct 2007
22679 posts
Posted on 11/27/17 at 3:16 pm to
quote:

around 8 Dec.


Just in time for the duck season split.
Posted by CajunsTigersSaints
Member since Jan 2015
4532 posts
Posted on 11/27/17 at 3:16 pm to
Cold as shite I'm in
Posted by bayoubengals88
LA
Member since Sep 2007
18915 posts
Posted on 11/27/17 at 3:25 pm to
quote:

Just like in the hurricane threads, I go a bit cross-eyed trying to figure out what these graphics are telling me.

A negative nao (-nao) means that there's a high pressure "blocking" system near Greenland, which forces the jet stream to dip lower than normal, thus allowing cold air to sink deep into the south.
Sometimes this pattern can last for quite a few weeks (see January and Feb of 2011 and 2014)

Posted by MottLaneKid
Gonzales
Member since Apr 2012
4543 posts
Posted on 11/27/17 at 3:27 pm to
What is your favorite wx forum ? I'd like to join.
Posted by bayoubengals88
LA
Member since Sep 2007
18915 posts
Posted on 11/27/17 at 3:27 pm to
There was some blocking just last week, hence the nice temps.


Posted by Jim Rockford
Member since May 2011
98181 posts
Posted on 11/27/17 at 3:29 pm to
Cold weather sucks.
Posted by bayoubengals88
LA
Member since Sep 2007
18915 posts
Posted on 11/27/17 at 3:30 pm to
quote:

What is your favorite wx forum ? I'd like to join.

I used to read talkweather southeast, but it no longer exists.

It got consumed by Southeast region forum in wx.
Those people love the snow, and even though I don't understand everything they say I learn a lot trying.

That region is dear to my heart anyway, specifically Asheville/Boone NC area. I'm going later this year, and I hope it's 5 degrees
Posted by CuseTiger
On the road
Member since Jul 2013
8202 posts
Posted on 11/27/17 at 3:32 pm to
I'm keeping an eye on the system that's supposed to hit CO/WY/UT this coming weekend and provide a bunch of snow. Is that the system that will be here after causing the cool temps?
Posted by LaBR4
Baton Rouge
Member since Sep 2005
50808 posts
Posted on 11/27/17 at 3:32 pm to
quote:

we could have a hell of a cold front approaching around 8 Dec.


Pants [On] Off
Posted by bayoubengals88
LA
Member since Sep 2007
18915 posts
Posted on 11/27/17 at 3:37 pm to
quote:

I'm keeping an eye on the system that's supposed to hit CO/WY/UT this coming weekend and provide a bunch of snow. Is that the system that will be here after causing the cool temps?

That system won't make it to us as far as cold goes. It looks like there's a ridge in the way (as far as I can tell). Once that jet stream dips we get that same cold air mass though. It's coming more from out west than it is straight down from Minnesota.

Others feel free to add to this.
Posted by Chucktown_Badger
The banks of the Ashley River
Member since May 2013
31109 posts
Posted on 11/27/17 at 4:36 pm to
I love weather stuff, but don't know nearly as much as you guys apparently do. If I had it to do over again, I would have considered "weather guy" or "planetary scientist". I done screwed up.
Posted by Jake88
Member since Apr 2005
68198 posts
Posted on 11/27/17 at 4:56 pm to
You posted something like this suggesting it would snow in SE LA the Saturday after Thanksgiving. That was a bust.
Posted by Duke
Twin Lakes, CO
Member since Jan 2008
35610 posts
Posted on 11/27/17 at 5:12 pm to
quote:


You posted something like this suggesting it would snow in SE LA the Saturday after Thanksgiving. That was a bust.


GFS fantasy land. It'll happen a few times this year. There will be a cold front sweeping down with deep cold air chasing the precip. Shows up and gets us all excited about snow but always doesn't work out.

Climate models have us looking at a warmer winter and unless that volcano short circuits the La Nina (which i have no idea how this would work fwiw), it'll probably be warmish and dry for us.
Posted by StringedInstruments
Member since Oct 2013
18379 posts
Posted on 11/27/17 at 5:21 pm to
A warm dry winter in the south is the best weather in the world IMO. Maybe the Southwest has it better temp and humidity wise but I’ll take the landscape down here.

There was one winter not too long ago where it was 60, sunny, and low humidity for almost all of January.
Posted by Duke
Twin Lakes, CO
Member since Jan 2008
35610 posts
Posted on 11/27/17 at 5:31 pm to
quote:


A warm dry winter in the south is the best weather in the world IMO. Maybe the Southwest has it better temp and humidity wise but I’ll take the landscape down here.


As long as it's cool enough not to run the AC, I'm generally in.

This year it seems like it'll be a function of La Nina getting rolling, which typically means we'll pay for it come hurricane season.
Posted by bayoubengals88
LA
Member since Sep 2007
18915 posts
Posted on 11/27/17 at 5:37 pm to
quote:

You posted something like this suggesting it would snow in SE LA the Saturday after Thanksgiving. That was a bust.


You've got the wrong guy, but that was exciting for about 30 minutes until the next run came out.
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