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bayoubengals88
Wisconsin Fan
LA
Member since Sep 2007
9648 posts

Winter thread: 3.5" officially in BR on the 8th day of meteorological winter!!
Image: https://i.imgur.com/GK6SiXn.jpg


Image: https://i.imgur.com/j0KefcG.jpg


Image: https://i.imgur.com/f7k2SZA.jpg


Image: https://i.imgur.com/k7KGJWa.jpg


Image: https://i.imgur.com/16q8CKy.png


There's not much action for Louisiana on my favorite weather forum, and I believe we've got some junkies here so let's give this a try!

I'm mainly interested in reading the opinions of others as it relates to the big climate factors for our area [(nao, pna, la nina, gulf lows (or lack thereof)...]

The more graphics and evidence, the better.

Full disclosure: I'm always rooting for cold and snow (always have), and I get emotional when I see cold air anomalies in GFS fantasy land.

I'll start us off by saying it looks like we could have a hell of a cold front approaching around 8 Dec.

and hopefully a -nao to lock in the cold...something we haven't experienced in quite a few Decembers.

Image: http://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/precip/CWlink/pna/nao.sprd2.gif


Image: https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/gfs/2017112706/gfs_T2ma_us_47.png
This post was edited on 12/9 at 10:08 am


DestrehanTiger
Houston Astros Fan
Houston, TX by way of Louisiana
Member since Nov 2005
10292 posts

re: Winter thread: 3.5" officially in BR on the 8th day of meteorological winter!!
Just like in the hurricane threads, I go a bit cross-eyed trying to figure out what these graphics are telling me.


Rouge
USA Fan
Wacanda
Member since Oct 2004
119806 posts

re: Winter thread: 3.5" officially in BR on the 8th day of meteorological winter!!
i dont know what any of this means, so here is a gif of ScarJo

Image: http://i.perezhilton.com/wp-content/uploads/2012/11/tumblr_m8vehvqfnb1rtr33v.gif


TheCurmudgeon
LSU Fan
Member since Aug 2014
805 posts

re: Winter thread: 3.5" officially in BR on the 8th day of meteorological winter!!
well that'd be awesome


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00
Motorboat
LSU Fan
At the camp
Member since Oct 2007
18104 posts

re: Winter thread: 3.5" officially in BR on the 8th day of meteorological winter!!
quote:

around 8 Dec.


Just in time for the duck season split.


CajunsTigersSaints
LA-Lafayette Fan
Member since Jan 2015
4174 posts

re: Winter thread: 3.5" officially in BR on the 8th day of meteorological winter!!
Cold as shite I'm in


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61
bayoubengals88
Wisconsin Fan
LA
Member since Sep 2007
9648 posts

re: Winter thread: 3.5" officially in BR on the 8th day of meteorological winter!!
quote:

Just like in the hurricane threads, I go a bit cross-eyed trying to figure out what these graphics are telling me.

A negative nao (-nao) means that there's a high pressure "blocking" system near Greenland, which forces the jet stream to dip lower than normal, thus allowing cold air to sink deep into the south.
Sometimes this pattern can last for quite a few weeks (see January and Feb of 2011 and 2014)



MottLaneKid
LSU Fan
Gonzales
Member since Apr 2012
4543 posts

re: Winter thread: 3.5" officially in BR on the 8th day of meteorological winter!!
What is your favorite wx forum ? I'd like to join.


bayoubengals88
Wisconsin Fan
LA
Member since Sep 2007
9648 posts

re: Winter thread: 3.5" officially in BR on the 8th day of meteorological winter!!
There was some blocking just last week, hence the nice temps.

Image: http://www.meteorologistjoecioffi.com/wp-content/uploads/2017/11/gfs240.png



Jim Rockford
LSU Fan
Member since May 2011
63384 posts

re: Winter thread: 3.5" officially in BR on the 8th day of meteorological winter!!
Cold weather sucks.


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3372
bayoubengals88
Wisconsin Fan
LA
Member since Sep 2007
9648 posts

re: Winter thread: 3.5" officially in BR on the 8th day of meteorological winter!!
quote:

What is your favorite wx forum ? I'd like to join.

I used to read talkweather southeast, but it no longer exists.

It got consumed by Southeast region forum in wx.
Those people love the snow, and even though I don't understand everything they say I learn a lot trying.

That region is dear to my heart anyway, specifically Asheville/Boone NC area. I'm going later this year, and I hope it's 5 degrees


CuseTiger
Syracuse Fan
Buffalo
Member since Jul 2013
5457 posts

re: Winter thread: 3.5" officially in BR on the 8th day of meteorological winter!!
I'm keeping an eye on the system that's supposed to hit CO/WY/UT this coming weekend and provide a bunch of snow. Is that the system that will be here after causing the cool temps?


LaBR4
LSU Fan
Baton Rouge
Member since Sep 2005
33198 posts

re: Winter thread: 3.5" officially in BR on the 8th day of meteorological winter!!
quote:

we could have a hell of a cold front approaching around 8 Dec.


Pants [On] Off


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420
bayoubengals88
Wisconsin Fan
LA
Member since Sep 2007
9648 posts

re: Winter thread: 3.5" officially in BR on the 8th day of meteorological winter!!
quote:

I'm keeping an eye on the system that's supposed to hit CO/WY/UT this coming weekend and provide a bunch of snow. Is that the system that will be here after causing the cool temps?

That system won't make it to us as far as cold goes. It looks like there's a ridge in the way (as far as I can tell). Once that jet stream dips we get that same cold air mass though. It's coming more from out west than it is straight down from Minnesota.

Others feel free to add to this.


Chitown_Badger
Wisconsin Fan
A one drink walk from Wrigley
Member since May 2013
7661 posts

re: Winter thread: 3.5" officially in BR on the 8th day of meteorological winter!!
I love weather stuff, but don't know nearly as much as you guys apparently do. If I had it to do over again, I would have considered "weather guy" or "planetary scientist". I done screwed up.


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20
Jake88
George Mason Fan
LSU/Saints Fan
Member since Apr 2005
32644 posts

re: Winter thread: 3.5" officially in BR on the 8th day of meteorological winter!!
You posted something like this suggesting it would snow in SE LA the Saturday after Thanksgiving. That was a bust.


Duke
USA Fan
Gonzales, La
Member since Jan 2008
25944 posts

re: Winter thread: 3.5" officially in BR on the 8th day of meteorological winter!!
quote:


You posted something like this suggesting it would snow in SE LA the Saturday after Thanksgiving. That was a bust.


GFS fantasy land. It'll happen a few times this year. There will be a cold front sweeping down with deep cold air chasing the precip. Shows up and gets us all excited about snow but always doesn't work out.

Climate models have us looking at a warmer winter and unless that volcano short circuits the La Nina (which i have no idea how this would work fwiw), it'll probably be warmish and dry for us.


StringedInstruments
Auburn Fan
Member since Oct 2013
9206 posts

re: Winter thread: 3.5" officially in BR on the 8th day of meteorological winter!!
A warm dry winter in the south is the best weather in the world IMO. Maybe the Southwest has it better temp and humidity wise but I’ll take the landscape down here.

There was one winter not too long ago where it was 60, sunny, and low humidity for almost all of January.


Duke
USA Fan
Gonzales, La
Member since Jan 2008
25944 posts

re: Winter thread: 3.5" officially in BR on the 8th day of meteorological winter!!
quote:


A warm dry winter in the south is the best weather in the world IMO. Maybe the Southwest has it better temp and humidity wise but I’ll take the landscape down here.


As long as it's cool enough not to run the AC, I'm generally in.

This year it seems like it'll be a function of La Nina getting rolling, which typically means we'll pay for it come hurricane season.


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30
bayoubengals88
Wisconsin Fan
LA
Member since Sep 2007
9648 posts

re: Winter thread: 3.5" officially in BR on the 8th day of meteorological winter!!
quote:

You posted something like this suggesting it would snow in SE LA the Saturday after Thanksgiving. That was a bust.


You've got the wrong guy, but that was exciting for about 30 minutes until the next run came out.


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