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Will this century see a return to the suburbs?

Posted on 6/7/20 at 12:38 pm
Posted by yaboidarrell
westbank
Member since Feb 2017
6506 posts
Posted on 6/7/20 at 12:38 pm
The 2010s saw an enormous amount of investment towards cities. Almost every large/mid-size city saw improvements to their downtown area. A big reason for this was commuters were tired of long commute times, AirBnB investors, better policing, etc. With the inevitable police shortages to come, anti-AirBnB policies and increase in remote work, I'm thinking we're going to see a noticeable movement away from inner cities and back to the safer/cheaper suburbs.
This post was edited on 6/7/20 at 12:54 pm
Posted by kingbob
Sorrento, LA
Member since Nov 2010
71232 posts
Posted on 6/7/20 at 12:40 pm to
Why would anyone ever want to live in a suburb? I think this will spark the rebound of rural areas and small towns.
Posted by OysterPoBoy
City of St. George
Member since Jul 2013
45576 posts
Posted on 6/7/20 at 12:40 pm to
St. George finna eat.
Posted by LegendInMyMind
Member since Apr 2019
76209 posts
Posted on 6/7/20 at 12:42 pm to
quote:

Why would anyone ever want to live in a suburb? I think this will spark the rebound of rural areas and small towns.

Stay the hell out of my rural area. Please.
Posted by notbilly
alter
Member since Sep 2015
7244 posts
Posted on 6/7/20 at 12:44 pm to
Remote work may have some effect on it, but most people still want to be near things to do. I've lived in the burbs and the commute to work didn't bother me. I just hated living 30+ minutes from everything. Decent restaurants, night life, entertainment, etc.
Posted by member12
Bob's Country Bunker
Member since May 2008
33146 posts
Posted on 6/7/20 at 12:44 pm to
quote:

Will this century see a return to the suburbs?


If housing prices remain flat and interest rates stay low for a while, a lot of millenials that need additional space for a growing family will make their first home purchase - quite likely in the suburbs.

While it won't ever be the 1990s era of Pulte/DR Horton/etc mass production builds in suburbs everywhere, suburbs that are well located and offer good public services (primarily schools and public safety) near jobs will do grow - especially if they offer some of the amenities of a larger city.

There's still very high upward pressure on rent prices. It seems like everything pushes rent upward. Because of that, there will still be new apartment homes in the larger cities for younger people.
This post was edited on 6/7/20 at 12:46 pm
Posted by The Third Leg
Idiot Out Wandering Around
Member since May 2014
12783 posts
Posted on 6/7/20 at 12:45 pm to
With a few higher end exceptions, the McMansions in the suburbs are the multi family ghettos of the future.
Posted by Lsupimp
Ersatz Amerika-97.6% phony & fake
Member since Nov 2003
86556 posts
Posted on 6/7/20 at 12:46 pm to
I am five minutes away from everything I need. I have great neighbors. I have a gorgeous yard on a park with beautiful trees and swing sets and grills and people playing with their kids. Meanwhile my buddy is in SF dodging human waste and heroin needles, stuck in a 600 sq foot apartment that is worth more than my beautiful home .

You do the math. People in the cities get SICK when there is societal strife. People in the suburbs just chill. And I don't see the strife going anywhere now that Democrats have set course for CHAOS.
Posted by RogerTheShrubber
Juneau, AK
Member since Jan 2009
299716 posts
Posted on 6/7/20 at 12:46 pm to
quote:

Why would anyone ever want to live in a suburb?


Millions of people

You get the safety of the burbs and the access to the city.

In times when people are crying about housing prices, it's a solid option.
Posted by Odysseus32
Member since Dec 2009
10226 posts
Posted on 6/7/20 at 12:51 pm to
quote:

I think this will spark the rebound of rural areas and small towns.


After seeing what I've seen the past week or two, buying up a 50-100 acre plot of land close to a small town (10k people), securing the perimeter, and becoming as self-sufficient as possible seems more and more desirable.

Posted by RogerTheShrubber
Juneau, AK
Member since Jan 2009
299716 posts
Posted on 6/7/20 at 12:54 pm to
quote:

With a few higher end exceptions, the McMansions in the suburbs are the multi family ghettos of the future.


Most of America will be ghetto in 50 years.
Posted by yaboidarrell
westbank
Member since Feb 2017
6506 posts
Posted on 6/7/20 at 12:55 pm to
quote:

I've lived in the burbs and the commute to work didn't bother me. I just hated living 30+ minutes from everything. Decent restaurants, night life, entertainment, etc.
Good point but there's nothing preventing these businesses from moving to the suburbs. If we see a large exodus from the inner-city, I'm sure businesses will follow.
This post was edited on 6/7/20 at 12:56 pm
Posted by Brazos
Member since Oct 2013
20557 posts
Posted on 6/7/20 at 12:57 pm to
Lol you ask why would anyone want to live in the suburbs? Really?
Posted by RogerTheShrubber
Juneau, AK
Member since Jan 2009
299716 posts
Posted on 6/7/20 at 1:00 pm to
quote:

Good point but there's nothing preventing these businesses from moving to the suburbs


I think the movement will be toward smaller cities than suburbs. Then the entire cycle repeats.
Posted by AUriptide
Member since Aug 2009
7459 posts
Posted on 6/7/20 at 1:02 pm to
I hope everyone flocks to the city. I will continue to migrate away every decade or so as I buy low and sell high.
Posted by Ignignot
Member since Mar 2009
18823 posts
Posted on 6/7/20 at 1:05 pm to
quote:

Why would anyone ever want to live in a suburb? I think this will spark the rebound of rural areas and small towns.


Small towns that are 1-2 hours away from big cities with airport access are the ticket.

Have good schools, safe shopping, plenty of distance between neighbors, but also easy access to transportation hubs
Posted by notbilly
alter
Member since Sep 2015
7244 posts
Posted on 6/7/20 at 1:06 pm to
quote:

Good point but there's nothing preventing these businesses from moving to the suburbs. If we see a large exodus from the inner-city, I'm sure businesses will follow.



Sure. But once that happens those burbs become like cities. Then they begin to have the same issues like traffic, etc. So they are basically the city without a downtown. This is what the St. George area is. It was once the 'country' and basically a suburb of BR. Over time so many people moved there that way it became indistinguishable (in terms of boundaries) from the city of Baton Rouge. Until the recent St. George movement, most people didn't even know where the city limits started and stopped. With that said, I don't think something like Zachary will ever become like South BR (St. George) in my lifetime.
Posted by AbitaFan08
Boston, MA
Member since Apr 2008
27902 posts
Posted on 6/7/20 at 1:08 pm to
No. People want convenience and entertainment. There’s nothing convenient or entertaining about the suburbs.
Posted by ThanosIsADemocrat
The Garden
Member since May 2018
9395 posts
Posted on 6/7/20 at 1:08 pm to
quote:

I think this will spark the rebound of rural areas and small towns.


Umm...rural development home loans have been doing that for years.

Posted by RogerTheShrubber
Juneau, AK
Member since Jan 2009
299716 posts
Posted on 6/7/20 at 1:08 pm to
quote:

Sure. But once that happens those burbs become like cities.


Usually takes a couple of decades. In times of growth, that's where the money will be.

It's an endless cycle but totally natural.
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