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re: What happened to South Africa?

Posted on 2/1/26 at 12:36 pm to
Posted by tadman
Member since Jun 2020
5439 posts
Posted on 2/1/26 at 12:36 pm to
quote:

Well, South Africa wasn’t a British colony originally. It was a Dutch colony.



If you've ever read the history of SA, you know the Dutch-English strife is almost as important as the white-native strife. There are quite a few facets to the problem here, none of them having been net positive.
Posted by Oilfieldbiology
Member since Nov 2016
42253 posts
Posted on 2/1/26 at 12:36 pm to
Communism happened.
Posted by Oilfieldbiology
Member since Nov 2016
42253 posts
Posted on 2/1/26 at 12:37 pm to
quote:

I only hear negatives about it and I’m sure it’s mostly true, but some family of mine just went and spent 10 days there and stayed in two different places and they love it. Two of them honeymooned there 10 years ago.


And Conan Obrien loved his stay in Haiti too
Posted by CSinLC
Member since May 2018
2376 posts
Posted on 2/1/26 at 12:37 pm to
Is the answer same thing happening in various regions of the US?
Posted by Oilfieldbiology
Member since Nov 2016
42253 posts
Posted on 2/1/26 at 12:40 pm to
quote:

I still can’t detect a trend and put this together. The highlighted countries are prosperous despite being colonized.


Extraction versus parliamentary style governance.
Posted by Centinel
Idaho
Member since Sep 2016
45918 posts
Posted on 2/1/26 at 12:43 pm to
quote:

Same effect, different cause.


Oh, I agree. It was more a commentary on the effect than the cause.
Posted by subMOA
Komatipoort
Member since Jan 2010
2032 posts
Posted on 2/1/26 at 12:46 pm to
quote:

Do you honestly not know the answer to that?


This is the answer. I started working down there in the early 2000s.

It was still awesome- but the BS from Zim had started to bleed down to SA.

I haven’t been in about 15 years- but I understand that the Durban I loved is nearly unrecognizable now.
Posted by mule74
Watersound Beach
Member since Nov 2004
12845 posts
Posted on 2/1/26 at 12:49 pm to
Over/under on bans?
Posted by ShoeBang
Member since May 2012
22271 posts
Posted on 2/1/26 at 12:51 pm to
quote:

What happened to South Africa?


Political and cultural suicide by offering themselves up on the altar of good intentions.

They aren’t that far ahead of several European countries that are following them down the same path to disaster.
Posted by gizmothepug
Louisiana
Member since Apr 2015
8665 posts
Posted on 2/1/26 at 12:56 pm to
quote:

Rhodesia was put under huge political pressure from the United Kingdom, United States


Even with everything going on in the UK at present, hanging the people of Rhodesia out to dry was probably the beginning of the end for them, even if no one knew it at the time. To a lesser extent the same could be said about the US. Feelings over facts and recent history played a role then the same way it continues to do so now.
Posted by VooDude
Member since Aug 2017
3065 posts
Posted on 2/1/26 at 1:11 pm to
quote:

This is the answer. I started working down there in the early 2000s. It was still awesome- but the BS from Zim had started to bleed down to SA. I haven’t been in about 15 years- but I understand that the Durban I loved is nearly unrecognizable now.


Is there anywhere to go in SA that’s still safe to foreigners currently? I hear carjacking is almost an inevitability there if you’re white.


Or maybe I should “phone Josh and Robbie” here for backup: LINK
This post was edited on 2/1/26 at 1:21 pm
Posted by Boston911
Lafayette
Member since Dec 2013
2485 posts
Posted on 2/1/26 at 1:19 pm to
According to Grok AI;

South Africa faces deep, longstanding challenges that have led many observers to describe it as “failing” or in prolonged crisis, particularly in economic and governance terms. While the country is not on the verge of total collapse, it has experienced stagnation, high inequality, and institutional decay over the past 15+ years. Here’s a breakdown of the main reasons, based on recent analyses from sources like the IMF, World Bank, OECD, and local reports.
Economic Stagnation and Low Growth
South Africa’s economy has grown anemically for over a decade, averaging around 0.7% annually in recent years—far below population growth and peer emerging economies. Real GDP per capita remains below 2007 levels in many assessments.
• Chronic low growth: GDP expanded by just 0.6–0.7% in 2023–2024, with projections for 2025 around 1–1.3% (IMF and World Bank estimates). This leaves the economy trapped in a low-growth rut, unable to generate enough jobs or reduce poverty.
• Energy crisis (load-shedding): Mismanagement, corruption, and underinvestment at state-owned Eskom caused severe rolling blackouts, shaving an estimated 1–2% off GDP annually at peak. While improvements occurred in 2025 (with extended periods without load-shedding due to private generation and better management), the system remains fragile, with occasional outages returning.
• Infrastructure and logistics decay: Ports, rail (Transnet), and other systems suffer from neglect, theft, and inefficiency, hampering exports and investment. Investment as a share of GDP is only ~14.5%, too low to renew infrastructure.
Extremely High Unemployment and Inequality
South Africa has one of the world’s highest unemployment rates.
• Official unemployment hovered around 32–33% in 2025, with youth rates exceeding 50–60%. This stems from deindustrialization, skills mismatches (e.g., 42% of workers lack secondary education), apartheid’s spatial legacy (people far from jobs), and slow job creation.
• Extreme inequality (among the world’s highest) and poverty affect over two-thirds of the population, fueling social tensions, crime, and unrest.
Corruption and State Capture Legacy
Widespread corruption, especially under former President Jacob Zuma’s era (state capture), drained billions and hollowed out institutions like Eskom and Transnet.
• The State Capture Commission documented systemic graft costing an estimated $26 billion (2009–2018 alone). Slow prosecutions and ongoing inefficiencies persist.
• Misallocated spending, bloated public wages, and inefficient state-owned enterprises have strained finances, leading to rising debt and fiscal pressures (e.g., budget impasses in early 2025).
Political and Governance Challenges
The African National Congress (ANC) dominated post-apartheid but lost its majority in 2024 elections due to disillusionment over corruption, mismanagement, and service delivery failures.
• The Government of National Unity (GNU)—a 10-party coalition formed in mid-2024—brought initial optimism, market confidence (stronger rand, lower borrowing costs), and progress like reduced load-shedding and fiscal stabilization.
• However, the GNU faced early tests: budget deadlocks in 2025 (first in 30 years of democracy), ideological rifts (e.g., on health policy, foreign affairs), and fragile stability ahead of 2026 local elections.
• While some reforms advanced (e.g., energy liberalization, Operation Vulindlela), critics argue structural changes lag, with growth still subdued and public trust low.
Other Contributing Factors
• Crime and social issues: High crime rates, xenophobia, and informal settlement crises (millions lack basic services) exacerbate instability.
• Global pressures: Trade uncertainties (e.g., US tariffs), commodity dependence, and slow global growth add headwinds.
• Education and skills gaps: Persistent mismatches limit productivity and labor-intensive growth.
In summary, South Africa’s struggles stem from a toxic mix of inherited inequalities, post-1994 policy failures (especially corruption and state-owned enterprise mismanagement), infrastructure collapse, and insufficient reforms to unleash private-sector-led growth. The GNU offers a potential turning point—some positive shifts occurred in 2025, like better energy reliability and modest job gains—but deep structural fixes (labor market, education, governance) are needed for sustained progress. Many analysts see it as a “tipping point” between continued stagnation and gradual recovery, with outcomes hinging on coalition cohesion and bolder implementation.
Posted by choupiquesushi
yaton rouge
Member since Jun 2006
35011 posts
Posted on 2/1/26 at 1:26 pm to
2 bans
Posted by TROLA
BATON ROUGE
Member since Apr 2004
14724 posts
Posted on 2/1/26 at 1:31 pm to
Posted by Crow Pie
Neuro ICU - Tulane Med Center
Member since Feb 2010
27758 posts
Posted on 2/1/26 at 1:31 pm to
While not an expert, I believe they under went a "change in philosophy" on how the country should work.

They plan on taking all the success that continent has enjoyed over time, bottling it up and using the collective experience .....to ruin their once great county like no African county before has been ruined. Yeah!!!
Posted by subMOA
Komatipoort
Member since Jan 2010
2032 posts
Posted on 2/1/26 at 1:37 pm to
quote:

Is there anywhere to go in SA that’s still safe to foreigners currently? I hear carjacking is almost an inevitability there if you’re white.


I quit going when one of my best friends got his face shot off over a Toyota Hilux.

Camera showed it (it happened at his house)- he was giving them
the damn truck. They still blew his brains out.

I’m sure there are good places still. But it’s just sad all around.

I could write a whole new thread and post a new story a day about someone I knew, or a person they knew who was killed or assaulted over some stupid car. Or they were coming to get your land.
Posted by Pax Regis
Alabama
Member since Sep 2007
15268 posts
Posted on 2/1/26 at 1:39 pm to
O/U 5 bans.
Posted by VooDude
Member since Aug 2017
3065 posts
Posted on 2/1/26 at 1:41 pm to
quote:

I quit going when one of my best friends got his face shot off over a Toyota Hilux. Camera showed it (it happened at his house)- he was giving them the damn truck. They still blew his brains out. I’m sure there are good places still. But it’s just sad all around. I could write a whole new thread and post a new story a day about someone I knew, or a person they knew who was killed or assaulted over some stupid car. Or they were coming to get your land.


shite. And no one even talks about it in the news/media. Trump brought it up about a year ago and he’s trying to import a lot of at risk South Africans—wonder how that’s going.
This post was edited on 2/1/26 at 1:43 pm
Posted by andwesway
Zachary, LA
Member since Jun 2016
3368 posts
Posted on 2/1/26 at 1:50 pm to
The natives were allowed to take over.
Posted by Tridentds
Sugar Land
Member since Aug 2011
23917 posts
Posted on 2/1/26 at 1:58 pm to
Clearly they didn't walk around Cape Town at night or you would be posting about family members murdered there.

Like anywhere..... it all depends on when you go and what time.
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