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Posted on 4/12/19 at 12:40 pm to Bigbee Hills
quote:
On April 28th, 2014 I was gassing up my truck in Starkville and storm chasing vehicles were swarming the area like flies on a chit sammich.
All of a sudden, one of those retro-fitted armored vehicles pulled in 2 or 3 gas pumps down and I knew then that we were in one hell of a bind...
An hour or two later Louisville was flattened by an EF4 and 9 people died.
Hopefully the correlation doesn't prove true again, because, if there's a tornado outbreak, east central Mississippi/west Alabama will have a 99% chance of being in the thick of it too. We always find a way.
Things are a little different now. There are a shite ton of chasers, and a shite ton of "chasers". There hasn't been too many good chase days this year, so they're itching for something. There will be a LOT of chasers out this weekend regardless of what happens.
Posted on 4/12/19 at 1:18 pm to rds dc
Afternoon update from SPC, northern extent pulled back a bit.
Posted on 4/12/19 at 1:28 pm to rds dc
Could use an opinion from some of the experts on here on two issues I have.
1) My father and sister are supposed to be traveling on Saturday from Jackson, MS to Magee, MS in the morning for a girl scout event, and then from Magee to New Orleans for a party Saturday night. Travel back to Jackson on Sunday. Apparently missing the girl scout event isn't really an option. Probably would be leaving Magee around noon to travel to NOLA. What would the weather be like then? Looks like they should be able to get to NOLA without too much of an issue, but should they be concerned?
2) Sunday morning, my wife is traveling on a bus from NOLA to Orlando with a bunch of high schoolers (no pics, keep the jokes to yourselves lol) for a senior trip. Where does this system look like it's going to go on Sunday? My concern is that they basically would be driving along with the system all the way down I-10 on Sunday. Charter buses don't seem like the greatest place to be in severe weather.
Thanks
1) My father and sister are supposed to be traveling on Saturday from Jackson, MS to Magee, MS in the morning for a girl scout event, and then from Magee to New Orleans for a party Saturday night. Travel back to Jackson on Sunday. Apparently missing the girl scout event isn't really an option. Probably would be leaving Magee around noon to travel to NOLA. What would the weather be like then? Looks like they should be able to get to NOLA without too much of an issue, but should they be concerned?
2) Sunday morning, my wife is traveling on a bus from NOLA to Orlando with a bunch of high schoolers (no pics, keep the jokes to yourselves lol) for a senior trip. Where does this system look like it's going to go on Sunday? My concern is that they basically would be driving along with the system all the way down I-10 on Sunday. Charter buses don't seem like the greatest place to be in severe weather.
Thanks
Posted on 4/12/19 at 1:44 pm to deltaland
Mother nature will find a way to curb stomp the region in question... 
No, I know it won't be anything like the LA/ MS Delta boys are gonna get, thank God.
We are hitting that "do or die" time of year where a storm can cough up one of those real nasty wedge-shaped sons a bitches that you'll never see. So here's a quick, crazy story broken up into short, handy dandy paragraphs:
In dixie alley you probably won't see that nasty wedge-shaped son of a bitch until/unless...
...it cracks your trailer in half with the ferocity of a hungry, drunk coon arse cracking open the season's first crawfish, and literally peels the front wall away from your trailer like a scab that has seen it's better days:
The same wall, with its accompanying window, that you were standing in front of and looking out of...
...and then, coupled with the above event, you have an inkling that it could be a twister when it commences to plucking you, your fat wife (who you never really liked much anyway) and all of your belongings out, one by one, like weeds in a well manicured garden...
..but then, when it sucks your britches off with the hurried tenacity of a dirty road whore without any money and a nasty crack addiction, and slings you 500 yards like a ragged piece of non-flushable wipes (the kind that your fat wife kept trying to flush) and drops you into an oak tree, and you fall the rest of the way and hit the ground...
...as you are lying there on the ground, in shock but with only a few minor injuries, goober just a danglin', as you're looking up into the heavens, you say, "Holy chit I can't believe I'm alive and relatively unscathed." and you think it might of been a good'un that hit you straight on in a trailer: worst case scenario...
...but then, in your confusion, you watch in horror as your fat wife's beloved chest of drawers falls from the sky in seemingly slow motion, all the way down, and lands directly on top of you, almost killing you, and causing multiple severe injuries requiring months of surgery and PT...
...THEN, and only then, (or after you wake up from a coma) will you know that, in fact, it was one of those nasty wedge-shaped sons a bitches.
(Yes, true story and one that happened to a crazy old Vietnam war veteran I know. He survived many hairy incidents of that war, as well as the event above, but to hear him tell the story above, if you could bottle that chit up and sell it, you'd be a millionaire.)
Good luck though, I'll be rooting for yall baws, because I'll be in the crosshairs next time!
No, I know it won't be anything like the LA/ MS Delta boys are gonna get, thank God. We are hitting that "do or die" time of year where a storm can cough up one of those real nasty wedge-shaped sons a bitches that you'll never see. So here's a quick, crazy story broken up into short, handy dandy paragraphs:
In dixie alley you probably won't see that nasty wedge-shaped son of a bitch until/unless...
...it cracks your trailer in half with the ferocity of a hungry, drunk coon arse cracking open the season's first crawfish, and literally peels the front wall away from your trailer like a scab that has seen it's better days:
The same wall, with its accompanying window, that you were standing in front of and looking out of...
...and then, coupled with the above event, you have an inkling that it could be a twister when it commences to plucking you, your fat wife (who you never really liked much anyway) and all of your belongings out, one by one, like weeds in a well manicured garden...
..but then, when it sucks your britches off with the hurried tenacity of a dirty road whore without any money and a nasty crack addiction, and slings you 500 yards like a ragged piece of non-flushable wipes (the kind that your fat wife kept trying to flush) and drops you into an oak tree, and you fall the rest of the way and hit the ground...
...as you are lying there on the ground, in shock but with only a few minor injuries, goober just a danglin', as you're looking up into the heavens, you say, "Holy chit I can't believe I'm alive and relatively unscathed." and you think it might of been a good'un that hit you straight on in a trailer: worst case scenario...
...but then, in your confusion, you watch in horror as your fat wife's beloved chest of drawers falls from the sky in seemingly slow motion, all the way down, and lands directly on top of you, almost killing you, and causing multiple severe injuries requiring months of surgery and PT...
...THEN, and only then, (or after you wake up from a coma) will you know that, in fact, it was one of those nasty wedge-shaped sons a bitches.
(Yes, true story and one that happened to a crazy old Vietnam war veteran I know. He survived many hairy incidents of that war, as well as the event above, but to hear him tell the story above, if you could bottle that chit up and sell it, you'd be a millionaire.)
Good luck though, I'll be rooting for yall baws, because I'll be in the crosshairs next time!
This post was edited on 4/12/19 at 2:00 pm
Posted on 4/12/19 at 2:12 pm to rds dc
quote:
northern extent pulled back a bit.
Not terribly surprised. Looking at the simulated IR from the NAM and HRRR, the cloud cover is riding the Arky/LA line heading into the afternoon. The southeastern part of the mod zone keeps the CAPE above 2000 and the high low level shear.
Roughly boxing in an area south of Shreveport - Monroe and north of a line running along Alexandria. That little boost of surface heating (77 vs 72/71) might enhance things just a little.
Of course, it looks like it would end up clustering up instead of rolling individual cells if I went out past 36 hours.
This post was edited on 4/12/19 at 2:15 pm
Posted on 4/12/19 at 2:19 pm to redstick13
quote:I'll be thinking about you and your family
Perfect weather for a funeral.
Posted on 4/12/19 at 2:51 pm to Duke
RA'd for sticky.
Posted on 4/12/19 at 3:17 pm to S
quote:
That shite that rolled thru cenla overnight was intense.
I was driving home from work at around 1:30 AM... good light show
had a couple of stiff bolts too close to home... lit up my room a few times
Posted on 4/12/19 at 3:49 pm to rds dc
My personal interests are with the Shreveport area but some recent information I've come across has me thinking the highest tornado risk will develop to the South and east of my area. But I'll let our resident experts decide if that's accurate.
^This isnt any official graphic.
just my own sketch of my unqualified opinion on an area to watch tomorrow.
^This isnt any official graphic.
just my own sketch of my unqualified opinion on an area to watch tomorrow. 
Posted on 4/12/19 at 3:52 pm to Duke
quote:
Hell my wife, who hears me drone on about weather stuff all the time, still isn't clear on enhanced vs moderate.
I bet she loves those convos.
Posted on 4/12/19 at 4:05 pm to slackster
so... the current cell down around Pitkin/DeRidder isn't looking too lovely at the moment
Posted on 4/12/19 at 4:12 pm to slackster
She definitely loves me, that's all I can figure.
Posted on 4/12/19 at 4:18 pm to Duke
What is the probability of heavy rain in Metairie/Kenner tomorrow around 3 till 10pm?
Boiling 350 lbs. of crawfish...I guess I am off to but a bunch of canopies...
Boiling 350 lbs. of crawfish...I guess I am off to but a bunch of canopies...
Posted on 4/12/19 at 4:20 pm to Marco Esquandolas
quote:
Boiling 350 lbs. of crawfish
Is this the official OT crawfish boil? My invite must’ve been lost in the mail.
Posted on 4/12/19 at 4:22 pm to Marco Esquandolas
quote:
What is the probability of heavy rain in Metairie/Kenner tomorrow around 3 till 10pm?
Boiling 350 lbs. of crawfish...I guess I am off to but a bunch of canopies...
Yeah I'd say the rain will start between 4 and 7pm in your area. Not including any storms that pop up ahead of time.
This post was edited on 4/12/19 at 4:22 pm
Posted on 4/12/19 at 4:23 pm to Bigbee Hills
I lived in starkville during the April 27 outbreak. I remember those wedge tornadoes well as when it all hit I was coming back from Philadelphia, ms to starkville
Posted on 4/12/19 at 4:45 pm to GEAUXmedic
quote:
Yeah I'd say the rain will start between 4 and 7pm in your area. Not including any storms that pop up ahead of time.
Yeah, I’ve been watching this thread hoping for the turn to the north—looked like a decent chance of dodging us late yesterday, but today’s models don’t look so good for rain in this area...I’m off to get a bunch of pop-ups—gonna have to anchor them well due to wind!
Thanks for the replies fellas!
Posted on 4/12/19 at 5:52 pm to rds dc
Notice the Northern Plains blizzard moving NE into Canada and that the associated front not sweeping into the Gulf. This left a moist tropical air mass in place across the Gulf and you can already see the return flow kicking across Coastal Texas. Then look to the SW and you can see the system that will force storms tomorrow digging into the SW US and lift associated with it already spreading into West Texas (high clouds).
another view
another view
This post was edited on 4/12/19 at 5:55 pm
Posted on 4/12/19 at 5:56 pm to rds dc
Is an EF5 coming?
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