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1
Posted on 4/12/19 at 7:50 pm to Duke
My girlfriends parents are in Monroe. Should they leave early Saturday?
Posted on 4/12/19 at 7:52 pm to Scoop
The Apr 7, 1940 wasn't confirned?
Posted on 4/12/19 at 8:17 pm to SEClint
a former coworker of mine just posted a conversation to facebook he's having with a former meteorologist we both worked with
the former-meteorologist apparently said he's expecting the SPC to eventually issue a high risk area at some point
the former-meteorologist apparently said he's expecting the SPC to eventually issue a high risk area at some point
Posted on 4/12/19 at 8:44 pm to rt3
quote:
the former-meteorologist apparently said he's expecting the SPC to eventually issue a high risk area at some point
I was just coming to ask Geaux if he was still expecting a high risk as he said last night.
Posted on 4/12/19 at 8:46 pm to Chuker
quote:
My girlfriends parents are in Monroe. Should they leave early Saturday?
Should absolutely evacuate imo
Posted on 4/12/19 at 8:50 pm to rds dc
Omgonoz
Posted on 4/12/19 at 9:09 pm to Cosmo
I live in Shreveport. Everyone was telling each other to be safe at the grocery earlier. Kinda eerie.
Posted on 4/12/19 at 9:10 pm to rds dc
00z HRRR is showing multiple long track rotating updrafts moving across Louisiana with the spacing indicating at least some discreteness. That doesn't necessarily mean tornadoes but the chances of all modes of svr wx increase with a rotating updraft.
Posted on 4/12/19 at 9:12 pm to rds dc
Stormchasers sighted in Ruston
Posted on 4/12/19 at 9:13 pm to Jim Rockford
Cantore sighted in Minden
Posted on 4/12/19 at 9:15 pm to Cosmo
quote:
Cantore
I think most people would rather the POlice or IRS show up at their house than Jim Cantore show up
Posted on 4/12/19 at 9:18 pm to rds dc
In that environment though, that's ominous.
Posted on 4/12/19 at 9:20 pm to East Coast Band
quote:
I think most people would rather the POlice or IRS show up at their house than Jim Cantore show up
Yeah, dude only shows up for legit bad news.
Posted on 4/12/19 at 9:21 pm to rds dc
So for all of us nonweather experts, can you explain what’s going on there?
Posted on 4/12/19 at 9:21 pm to Duke
Ok in need a quick answer from you more educated guys. I live around Monroe. I have 4 kids very young. I’m leaving town early in the morning I’m not risking it. Is conway Arkansas far enough?
Posted on 4/12/19 at 9:26 pm to Duke
quote:
In that environment though, that's ominous.
I'm still hopeful that we will see a typically "messy" evolution across Louisiana with plenty of clusters and interactions. Also, the 00z 3k NAM is coming in a lot less ominous and seems to keep things in check south of I20 in LA.
Posted on 4/12/19 at 9:26 pm to OGtigerfan87
Yeah is monroe looking to be the ground 0, or what about the surrounding parishes
Posted on 4/12/19 at 9:37 pm to SEClint
Just for informational purposes, here are some relevant tweets from people in the know.
quote:
Teaching assistant professor of Atmospheric Sciences at the University of Illinois. I teach weather. Storm chaser. PhD, MS PSU; BS Michigan. All opinions mine.
quote:
@VORTEXJeff
10h10 hours ago
More
I have chased every spring since 2009 (along with 2004-2005), have averaged 4 weeks chasing each year, and still can't fathom chasing tomorrow solo.
quote:
@VORTEXJeff
1h1 hour ago
More Jeff Frame Retweeted Jeff Frame
Tomorrow is not a high-shear low-CAPE event. It is a high-shear moderate-CAPE event. The only thing I see that can prevent a tornado outbreak is too many storms and widespread storm interference.
quote:
@VORTEXJeff
28m28 minutes ago
More
00Z HRRR is straight fire. The big UH streak in LA is from an early morning storm, but the remainder are from what appears to be discrete supercells moving through an impressive kinematic and thermodynamic environment
quote:
Ph.D. Candidate @uahswirll. I study the severe storm-PBL interface, particularly topographic effects on tornadic storms. B.S. Valpo May '12, M.S. UAH May '15.
@tlyzawx
We haven't had a tornado threat in the U.S. this bad in quite a long time.
quote:
UCAR Associate Scientist IV, @Mizzou/@gocreighton grad. Focused on efficient/effective communication of weather info. Opinions in posts are mine.
@TTrogdon
5h5 hours ago
More
The parameters tomorrow are awfully impressive. The potential for a significant severe weather event including tornadoes is very real. That’s a 70% contour for sig tor values > 5 — very rare. Remember that oftentimes, sig severe will occur within the gradient, not the max.
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