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re: Tropical Storm Isaias - O Canada!
Posted on 8/1/20 at 2:11 pm to rds dc
Posted on 8/1/20 at 2:11 pm to rds dc
I was just about to post the visible satellite. Looks like shear and dry air must be kicking its butt. Deeper convection is displaced quite a ways east of the center with basically no convection on the west side. I think Isaias landfalling in FL as a hurricane is a stretch.
This post was edited on 8/1/20 at 2:14 pm
Posted on 8/1/20 at 2:17 pm to Roll Tide Ravens
Water vapor indicates plenty of drier air on the western side of Isaias that it is having to fight.
This post was edited on 8/1/20 at 2:19 pm
Posted on 8/1/20 at 2:20 pm to rds dc
I love tropical weather and studying hurricanes but if a depression forms and heads out to the northern Atlantic waters, I don’t really follow it.
Unless a pTC is a possible impact to the Gulf, I zone out and don’t really follow the advisories or Levi Cowan videos.
Unless a pTC is a possible impact to the Gulf, I zone out and don’t really follow the advisories or Levi Cowan videos.
This post was edited on 8/1/20 at 2:21 pm
Posted on 8/1/20 at 2:21 pm to Roll Tide Ravens
"hurricane"
Can't think of many uglier storms to be classified as a hurricane.
Can't think of many uglier storms to be classified as a hurricane.
Posted on 8/1/20 at 2:22 pm to rds dc
18z internal products downgraded this to a TS but will have to wait and see if NHC does the same with the next public update.
Posted on 8/1/20 at 2:23 pm to Duke
quote:
Can't think of many uglier storms to be classified as a hurricane.
It should be called "Hurricane Lena"
Posted on 8/1/20 at 2:23 pm to Duke
I’m not sure I’d even call it a tropical depression based on its IR satellite appearance.
Posted on 8/1/20 at 2:29 pm to otowntiger
quote:
I’m not sure I’d even call it a tropical depression based on its IR satellite appearance.
Wouldn't go that far but it's pretty lopsided and sloppy even relative to tropical storms.
Posted on 8/1/20 at 2:29 pm to otowntiger
quote:
I’m not sure I’d even call it a tropical depression based on its IR satellite appearance.
Incoming recon finds a pressure over 1000mb?
Posted on 8/1/20 at 2:47 pm to rds dc
quote:
18z internal products
These are the big money for profit weather boys?
Posted on 8/1/20 at 3:36 pm to Duke
Quite unimpressive looking on the Miami radar
Posted on 8/1/20 at 3:44 pm to Roll Tide Ravens
I don’t know how much they will weaken it for the upcoming advisory, but even flight level winds are below hurricane force.
ETA- tropical Storm 70 mph and pressure of 993 at 4 PM CDT
ETA- tropical Storm 70 mph and pressure of 993 at 4 PM CDT
This post was edited on 8/1/20 at 3:52 pm
Posted on 8/1/20 at 4:04 pm to NorthEndZone
Here is the new cone. NHC thinks it will regain hurricane status tonight.
quote:
A combination of Isaias moving over the warm Gulfstream waters during the convective maximum period and increasing frictional convergence due to land interaction with Florida should lead to an increase in deep convection near and over the center, as shown by simulated satellite imagery from the ECMWF model. As a result, Isaias is forecast to regain hurricane status tonight, as shown by the HWRF and HMON model fields.
This post was edited on 8/1/20 at 4:07 pm
Posted on 8/1/20 at 4:37 pm to tigerskin
I'll be at Rehoboth next week. Hope it's not a total dud.
Posted on 8/1/20 at 5:23 pm to rds dc
quote:
Incoming recon finds a pressure over 1000mb?
Convection has been creeping back towards the center and recon has seen a slight drop in pressure so far.
Posted on 8/1/20 at 6:42 pm to rds dc
quote:
National Hurricane Center
@NHC_Atlantic
Tropical Storm #Isaias Advisory 19A: Isaias Expected to Re-Strengthen to a Hurricane Overnight While it Approaches the Southeast Coast of Florida
Posted on 8/1/20 at 6:50 pm to Bobby OG Johnson
Evening gents. In 2008 we had one skirt the coast like this. It parked in the Atlantic due east of Orlando, then proceeded to dump up to 28 inches of rain in 24 hours.
Even these little ones are pretty bad if the tree is on Your house. Let's be careful over there.
Even these little ones are pretty bad if the tree is on Your house. Let's be careful over there.
Posted on 8/1/20 at 7:04 pm to Hangit
quote:
Even these little ones are pretty bad if the tree is on Your house. Let's be careful over there.
Just had 5 trees removed from near my house yesterday. I feel a little better now
Posted on 8/1/20 at 7:09 pm to FLObserver
quote:
Just had 5 trees removed from near my house yesterday
Congrats I am in the wind cone, but only have a 5% chance of getting any wind above 39 mph. Good luck up there.
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