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Roll Tide Ravens
Alabama Fan
Birmingham, AL
Member since Nov 2015
14881 posts

re: Tropical Storm Isaias - O Canada!
I was just about to post the visible satellite. Looks like shear and dry air must be kicking its butt. Deeper convection is displaced quite a ways east of the center with basically no convection on the west side. I think Isaias landfalling in FL as a hurricane is a stretch.
This post was edited on 8/1 at 2:14 pm


Roll Tide Ravens
Alabama Fan
Birmingham, AL
Member since Nov 2015
14881 posts

re: Tropical Storm Isaias - O Canada!
Water vapor indicates plenty of drier air on the western side of Isaias that it is having to fight.

This post was edited on 8/1 at 2:19 pm


Klingler7
LSU Fan
Houston
Member since Nov 2009
4934 posts

re: Tropical Storm Isaias - O Canada!
I love tropical weather and studying hurricanes but if a depression forms and heads out to the northern Atlantic waters, I don’t really follow it.

Unless a pTC is a possible impact to the Gulf, I zone out and don’t really follow the advisories or Levi Cowan videos.
This post was edited on 8/1 at 2:21 pm


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30
Duke
USA Fan
Gonzales, La
Member since Jan 2008
28581 posts

re: Tropical Storm Isaias - O Canada!
"hurricane"

Can't think of many uglier storms to be classified as a hurricane.


rds dc
Colorado Fan
Member since Jun 2008
16128 posts

re: Tropical Storm Isaias - O Canada!
18z internal products downgraded this to a TS but will have to wait and see if NHC does the same with the next public update.


SpotCheckBilly
Auburn Fan
Did you put your foot in it?
Member since May 2020
540 posts

re: Tropical Storm Isaias - O Canada!
quote:


Can't think of many uglier storms to be classified as a hurricane.



It should be called "Hurricane Lena"


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10
otowntiger
LSU Fan
O-Town
Member since Jan 2004
13721 posts

re: Tropical Storm Isaias - O Canada!
I’m not sure I’d even call it a tropical depression based on its IR satellite appearance.


Duke
USA Fan
Gonzales, La
Member since Jan 2008
28581 posts

re: Tropical Storm Isaias - O Canada!
quote:

I’m not sure I’d even call it a tropical depression based on its IR satellite appearance.



Wouldn't go that far but it's pretty lopsided and sloppy even relative to tropical storms.


rds dc
Colorado Fan
Member since Jun 2008
16128 posts

re: Tropical Storm Isaias - O Canada!
quote:

I’m not sure I’d even call it a tropical depression based on its IR satellite appearance.



Incoming recon finds a pressure over 1000mb?


Cosmo
Houston Astros Fan
glassman's guest house
Member since Oct 2003
100516 posts

re: Tropical Storm Isaias - O Canada!
quote:

18z internal products


These are the big money for profit weather boys?


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12
Roll Tide Ravens
Alabama Fan
Birmingham, AL
Member since Nov 2015
14881 posts

re: Tropical Storm Isaias - O Canada!
Quite unimpressive looking on the Miami radar



NorthEndZone
LSU Fan
Member since Dec 2008
6446 posts

re: Tropical Storm Isaias - O Canada!
I don’t know how much they will weaken it for the upcoming advisory, but even flight level winds are below hurricane force.

ETA- tropical Storm 70 mph and pressure of 993 at 4 PM CDT
This post was edited on 8/1 at 3:52 pm


Roll Tide Ravens
Alabama Fan
Birmingham, AL
Member since Nov 2015
14881 posts

re: Tropical Storm Isaias - O Canada!
Here is the new cone. NHC thinks it will regain hurricane status tonight.



quote:

A combination of Isaias moving over the warm Gulfstream waters during the convective maximum period and increasing frictional convergence due to land interaction with Florida should lead to an increase in deep convection near and over the center, as shown by simulated satellite imagery from the ECMWF model. As a result, Isaias is forecast to regain hurricane status tonight, as shown by the HWRF and HMON model fields.
This post was edited on 8/1 at 4:07 pm


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00
The Boat
Duke Fan
LA
Member since Oct 2008
115281 posts

re: Tropical Storm Isaias - O Canada!
quote:

Tropical Storm Isaias



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160
Stevo
LSU Fan
Baton Rouge
Member since Sep 2004
9056 posts

re: Tropical Storm Isaias - O Canada!
I'll be at Rehoboth next week. Hope it's not a total dud.


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10
rds dc
Colorado Fan
Member since Jun 2008
16128 posts

re: Tropical Storm Isaias - O Canada!
quote:

Incoming recon finds a pressure over 1000mb?


Convection has been creeping back towards the center and recon has seen a slight drop in pressure so far.



Bobby OG Johnson
Member since Apr 2015
4823 posts
 Online 

re: Tropical Storm Isaias - O Canada!
quote:

National Hurricane Center
@NHC_Atlantic
Tropical Storm #Isaias Advisory 19A: Isaias Expected to Re-Strengthen to a Hurricane Overnight While it Approaches the Southeast Coast of Florida


Hangit
LSU Fan
Relaxing, since 11-14-2019
Member since Aug 2014
21239 posts

re: Tropical Storm Isaias - O Canada!
Evening gents. In 2008 we had one skirt the coast like this. It parked in the Atlantic due east of Orlando, then proceeded to dump up to 28 inches of rain in 24 hours.

Even these little ones are pretty bad if the tree is on Your house. Let's be careful over there.


FLObserver
LSU Fan
Jacksonville
Member since Nov 2005
8065 posts

re: Tropical Storm Isaias - O Canada!
quote:

Even these little ones are pretty bad if the tree is on Your house. Let's be careful over there.


Just had 5 trees removed from near my house yesterday. I feel a little better now


Hangit
LSU Fan
Relaxing, since 11-14-2019
Member since Aug 2014
21239 posts

re: Tropical Storm Isaias - O Canada!
quote:

Just had 5 trees removed from near my house yesterday


Congrats I am in the wind cone, but only have a 5% chance of getting any wind above 39 mph. Good luck up there.


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