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re: Tropical Storm Isaias - O Canada!

Posted on 7/27/20 at 6:50 am to
Posted by PhillyTiger90
Not Phillytiger9
Member since Dec 2015
11831 posts
Posted on 7/27/20 at 6:50 am to


Latest I could find. If there’s a later version out there y’all let me know so I can delete
Posted by Roll Tide Ravens
Birmingham, AL
Member since Nov 2015
51682 posts
Posted on 7/27/20 at 8:25 am to
Those are the most recent.
Posted by rmnldr
Member since Oct 2013
40297 posts
Posted on 7/27/20 at 8:37 am to
quote:

92L looks like it will be a nothingburger


Lol
Posted by CitizenK
BR
Member since Aug 2019
15591 posts
Posted on 7/27/20 at 8:50 am to
You might want to check the stream gauges.

Spoke with a friend in the area yesterday afternoon and he didn't have one drop of water hit the ground on his land.

18 months of drought soaked that shite up in a hurry near Laredo.

Basing opinion on wonderful enhanced graphics rather than real data will lead you wrong

LINK
Posted by PhillyTiger90
Not Phillytiger9
Member since Dec 2015
11831 posts
Posted on 7/27/20 at 8:54 am to
Poor Bahamas they can’t catch a break if the paths hold up
Posted by Cosmo
glassman's guest house
Member since Oct 2003
131416 posts
Posted on 7/27/20 at 9:05 am to
Serves them right for barring Americans from entering their 3rd world paradise
Posted by The Boat
Member since Oct 2008
177200 posts
Posted on 7/27/20 at 9:54 am to
How quickly do they change their tune if a major cane runs up the length of their islands?
Posted by fishfighter
RIP
Member since Apr 2008
40026 posts
Posted on 7/27/20 at 10:05 am to
So, 5 days out starts to put it close to Fla. Just keep that sucker out the Gulf.

Looking to have my coffee out on the beach next Saturday morning.
Posted by rds dc
Member since Jun 2008
21473 posts
Posted on 7/27/20 at 10:08 am to
quote:

Basing opinion on wonderful enhanced graphics rather than real data will lead you wrong


The image that I posted was actual reported totals with radar estimated totals overlaid. Here is the preliminary report from WPC. The observed totals in the right hand column come from a number of sources that use different equipment, so some of those reports might get adjusted after additional verification.

Posted by Roll Tide Ravens
Birmingham, AL
Member since Nov 2015
51682 posts
Posted on 7/27/20 at 10:09 am to
quote:

CitizenK


Posted by rds dc
Member since Jun 2008
21473 posts
Posted on 7/27/20 at 10:15 am to
quote:

Any spaghetti models worth positing on the op?


No. The system is too big and too disorganized at this time but here is the 06z Euro EPS, it only shows a few members actually developing the system through Day 6.

Posted by S
RIP Wayde
Member since Jan 2007
172080 posts
Posted on 7/27/20 at 10:19 am to
McAllen got it worse than anyone was expecting
Posted by fishfighter
RIP
Member since Apr 2008
40026 posts
Posted on 7/27/20 at 10:20 am to
Hey, thanks.
Posted by OmniPundit
Florida
Member since Sep 2018
1440 posts
Posted on 7/27/20 at 10:46 am to
quote:

92L looks like it will be a nothingburger


Nothingburger = not my problem. To hell with everyone else.
Posted by deltaland
Member since Mar 2011
102516 posts
Posted on 7/27/20 at 11:42 am to
Both GFS and Euro have 92L barely making a Depression. Dry air will kill it off
Posted by deltaland
Member since Mar 2011
102516 posts
Posted on 7/27/20 at 11:44 am to
quote:

Nothingburger = not my problem. To hell with everyone else.


No, it’s not looking like it will be anyone’s problem thankfully!

Posted by Midtiger farm
Member since Nov 2014
6153 posts
Posted on 7/27/20 at 2:49 pm to
Do you think the MJO will finally move? Been stuck in phase 1-2 for over 60 days and but predicted to move in the next couple of weeks. Wouldn't it help reduce tropical activity if it moves to phase 4?
Posted by Python
Member since May 2008
6658 posts
Posted on 7/27/20 at 2:59 pm to
Am I the only one who got excited when seeing “Phase 4”?
Posted by The Boat
Member since Oct 2008
177200 posts
Posted on 7/27/20 at 3:46 pm to
How long has Jeff Morrow been back at the weather channel? I guess the weather channel is doing what ESPN figured out which is their new anchors all suck and they’re bringing back old school glory days anchors to try to increase viewership.
Posted by rds dc
Member since Jun 2008
21473 posts
Posted on 7/27/20 at 4:18 pm to
quote:

Do you think the MJO will finally move? Been stuck in phase 1-2 for over 60 days and but predicted to move in the next couple of weeks. Wouldn't it help reduce tropical activity if it moves to phase 4?


The MJO isn't always that straight forward, esp. when using the RMM plots. Also, MJO influence on Atlantic tropical action wanes somewhat in August and September. There are some indications that a more coherent MJO wave might try to get moving but it's unclear how much of a role that will play in the upcoming pattern that could see the Atlantic MDR move into an unfavorable phase that might last a week or two (somewhat more influenced by the suppressed phase of a Kelvin Wave). AEW will continue to move off of Africa but development chances may not be favorable until they move out of the MDR.
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