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Started By
Message
Posted on 7/25/20 at 8:23 pm to LegendInMyMind
They are fascinating.
Posted on 7/25/20 at 9:02 pm to deuce985
by the time we get to the 1 AM intermediate advisory... Hanna may no longer be a hurricane
already down to 75 mph winds
already down to 75 mph winds
quote:
Hurricane Hanna Tropical Cyclone Update
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL082020
900 PM CDT Sat Jul 25 2020
...900 PM CDT POSITION UPDATE...
...STRONG WINDS SPREADING ACROSS SOUTH TEXAS AS HANNA'S EASTERN
EYEWALL MOVES INLAND...
A TCOON station at Laguna Madre North, near the eastern eyewall of
Hanna, recently reported a sustained wind of 68 mph (110 km/h) and
a wind gust of 84 mph (135 km/h).
Another TCOON observing station at Baffin Bay, Texas, recently
reported a sustained wind of 47 mph (76 km/h) and a wind gust of
62 mph (100 km/h).
Corpus Christi Naval Air Station recently reported a sustained wind
of 50 mph (81 km/h) and a wind gust of 66 mph (106 km/h).
SUMMARY OF 900 PM CDT...0200 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...26.6N 97.9W
ABOUT 20 MI...30 KM NE OF EDINBURG TEXAS
ABOUT 35 MI...55 KM NE OF MCALLEN TEXAS
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...75 MPH...120 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...WSW OR 250 DEGREES AT 8 MPH...13 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...978 MB...28.88 INCHES
$$
Forecaster Brennan/Cangialosi
quote:
BULLETIN
Hurricane Hanna Intermediate Advisory Number 12A
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL082020
700 PM CDT Sat Jul 25 2020
...EYE OF HANNA OVER SOUTHERN TEXAS...
...HURRICANE CONDITIONS AND HEAVY RAINS CONTINUE...
SUMMARY OF 700 PM CDT...0000 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...26.7N 97.5W
ABOUT 10 MI...15 KM NW OF PORT MANSFIELD TEXAS
ABOUT 75 MI...125 KM S OF CORPUS CHRISTI TEXAS
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...85 MPH...140 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...WSW OR 255 DEGREES AT 8 MPH...13 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...975 MB...28.79 INCHES
WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY:
None.
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT:
A Storm Surge Warning is in effect for...
* Port Mansfield to Sargent Texas
A Hurricane Warning is in effect for...
* Port Mansfield to Port Aransas Texas
A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for...
* Barra el Mezquital Mexico to Port Mansfield Texas
* Port Aransas to Port O'Connor Texas
A Storm Surge Warning means there is a danger of life-threatening
inundation, from rising water moving inland from the coastline,
during the next 24 hours in the indicated locations. For a depiction
of areas at risk, please see the National Weather Service Storm
Surge Watch/Warning Graphic, available at hurricanes.gov. This is a
life-threatening situation. Persons located within these areas
should take all necessary actions to protect life and property from
rising water and the potential for other dangerous conditions.
Promptly follow evacuation and other instructions from local
officials.
A Hurricane Warning means that hurricane conditions are occurring
within the warning area. Preparations to protect life and property
should have already been completed.
A Tropical Storm Warning means that tropical storm conditions are
occurring within the warning areas.
Interests elsewhere along the Texas and Louisiana coasts should
monitor the progress of Hanna. Interests in northeastern Mexico
should also monitor the progress of this hurricane.
For storm information specific to your area, including possible
inland watches and warnings, please monitor products issued by your
local National Weather Service forecast office.
DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
At 700 PM CDT (0000 UTC), the eye of Hurricane Hanna was located
near latitude 26.7 North, longitude 97.5 West. Hanna is moving
toward the west-southwest near 8 mph (13 km/h) and this motion is
expected to continue through Sunday. On the forecast track, the
center of Hanna should continue to move farther inland over southern
Texas tonight and move into northeastern Mexico on Sunday.
Maximum sustained winds are near 85 mph (140 km/h) with higher
gusts. Rapid weakening is expected as Hanna moves farther inland.
Hurricane-force winds extend outward up to 30 miles (45 km) from
the center and tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 90
miles (150 km).
The estimated minimum central pressure based on surface
observations is 975 mb (28.79 inches).
HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
Key messages for Hanna can be found in the Tropical Cyclone
Discussion under AWIPS header MIATCDAT3, WMO header WTNT43 KNHC and
on the web at www.hurricanes.gov/text/MIATCDAT3.shtml.
STORM SURGE: The combination of a dangerous storm surge and the
tide will cause normally dry areas near the coast to be flooded by
rising waters moving inland from the shoreline. The water could
reach the following heights above ground somewhere in the indicated
areas if the peak surge occurs at the time of high tide...
Baffin Bay to Port Aransas including Corpus Christi Bay...4-6 ft
Port Mansfield to Baffin Bay...2-4 ft
North of Port Aransas to Sargent including Copano Bay , Aransas
Bay, San Antonio Bay, and Matagorda Bay...2-4 ft
Mouth of the Rio Grande to Port Mansfield...1-3 ft
North of Sargent to High Island including Galveston Bay...1-2 ft
The deepest water will occur along the immediate coast near and to
the right of the landfall location. Surge-related flooding depends
on the relative timing of the surge and the tidal cycle, and can
vary greatly over short distances. For information specific to your
area, please see products issued by your local National Weather
Service forecast office.
WIND: Hurricane conditions will continue in portions of the
hurricane warning area through this evening. Tropical storm
conditions are occuring in portions of the tropical storm warning
area and will spread farther inland tonight and Sunday.
RAINFALL: Hanna is expected to produce total rain accumulations of
6 to 12 inches, with isolated maximum amounts of 18 inches through
Monday in south Texas and into the Mexican states of Coahuila,
Nuevo Leon, and northern Tamaulipas. This rain will produce
life-threatening flash flooding, rapid rises on small streams, and
isolated minor to moderate river flooding.
Hanna is also expected to produce 3 to 5 inches of rain along the
upper Texas and Louisiana coasts.
SURF: Swells generated by Hanna will continue to affect much
of the Texas and Louisiana coasts for another day or so. These
swells are likely to cause life-threatening surf and rip current
conditions. Please consult products from your local weather
office.
TORNADOES: A few tornadoes are possible this evening and overnight
over parts of the lower to middle Texas coastal plain.
NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next complete advisory at 1000 PM CDT.
$$
Forecaster Cangialosi
This post was edited on 7/25/20 at 9:05 pm
Posted on 7/25/20 at 10:01 pm to rds dc
Looks like 3" is about the max rainfall up to this point but that is a gnarly band just offshore.
Posted on 7/25/20 at 10:08 pm to rds dc
The valley is about to be dumped on.
Posted on 7/25/20 at 11:28 pm to rds dc
Chances of 92 L getting into the gulf?
I’d say 30%
I’d say 30%
Posted on 7/25/20 at 11:51 pm to GeauxTigers80
All the spaghetti models have it going to East Coast
Should be much clearer in 48-72 hours
Should be much clearer in 48-72 hours
Posted on 7/26/20 at 12:03 am to rds dc
That thing is holding together well
Posted on 7/26/20 at 12:12 am to PhillyTiger90
Looks like the models are showing a trough if you will coming off the US when it's near the Lesser Antilles and weakens the ride significantly to allow the turn towards the East Coast instead of it continuing westward. Hopefully RDS will give us what he thinks tomorrow. Still way too early for sure, see what the pattern looks like Tuesday/Wednesday timeframe.
Posted on 7/26/20 at 12:32 am to lsuman25
Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
200 AM EDT Sun Jul 26 2020
For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:
The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Hurricane
Hanna, located inland over south Texas.
A broad area of low pressure associated with a tropical wave located
about 1000 miles west-southwest of the Cabo Verde Islands is
producing a large area of cloudiness and disorganized showers and
thunderstorms. Environmental conditions appear conducive for
development, and a tropical depression is likely to form early this
week while the wave moves westward at around 15 mph across the
tropical Atlantic.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...60 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...high...90 percent.
$$
Forecaster Latto
Posted on 7/26/20 at 6:40 am to rt3
Tidal gauges showed a storm surge of all of 3 feet.
Posted on 7/26/20 at 9:18 am to CitizenK
quote:
CitizenK
Why do you post in these threads? Is it just wholly unacceptable to you that people who are interested in weather talk about a tropical system? Must a hurricane reach major hurricane status before we can speak of it on this board?
This post was edited on 7/26/20 at 9:20 am
Posted on 7/26/20 at 9:35 am to Roll Tide Ravens
Hopefully all of the remainder of this season's storms just go out to sea and harm no one. Sorry, fish!
This post was edited on 7/28/20 at 5:17 pm
Posted on 7/26/20 at 9:37 am to GeauxTigers80
There is zero way of putting a percentage on where this may go at this point... way to far out.
Posted on 7/26/20 at 9:39 am to dukke v
quote:Where is far out? It’s on its way there?
way to far out.
Posted on 7/26/20 at 9:42 am to jimbeam
Yes it’s on it’s way moving west. Still a long long way to go to even have an idea what it might do..... the Bermuda high is gonna help steer it more west for now but it may go away and then the is zero way of knowing where it’s going OR what it turns into.
Posted on 7/26/20 at 9:46 am to dukke v
quote:
dukke v
You nailed that rain prediction....
quote:
"A lot of rain"
"Some Rain"
"A Decent Amount of Rain"
Posted on 7/26/20 at 9:48 am to tgrbaitn08
Paying attention to my posts again????? fricking loser.....
Posted on 7/26/20 at 10:03 am to GeauxTigers80
Looks like 92L will not make it into the Caribbean or Gulf.
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